PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

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HighGround

Senior Member
Registered Member
ACuriousPLAFan said:
If Murican military planes can venture this close to the Chinese coastline (and much closer even) on a constant basis and with impunity, what's stopping them from (secretly) mining the entire Chinese coastline with discreet methods over the past years and decades, and going into the coming years?

Basically attempting a repeat of how they starved Japan towards the end of WW2, that is.

This, apart from LO missile swarms, are among a series of worrying developments which could significantly impact China's military power projection into the WestPac in the future.
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The American planes didn't fly in secret or whatever. China clearly allowed it. So I don't think this is proof that American planes can mine China's coastline in secret whenever it wants to. The article even says that we had to destroy our own equipment to prevent it from falling into China's hands.
 
K

Kich

Junior Member
Registered Member
HighGround said:
The American planes didn't fly in secret or whatever. China clearly allowed it. So I don't think this is proof that American planes can mine China's coastline in secret whenever it wants to. The article even says that we had to destroy our own equipment to prevent it from falling into China's hands.
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Well right now US is expecting a war with China sometime this decade. It won't be a stretched to say someone mining some waters during this peace time. You might not get the chance to during war times.
 
Maikeru

Maikeru

Captain
Registered Member
CMP said:
What's interesting is the seeming absence of a Chinese response. One would think this is an obvious red line.
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Perhaps PRC takes the view that they have a no first use policy and/or they wouldn't nuke what they consider to be part of their own country in any event, so this is just a big nothingburger? A bit like if China extended its "nuclear umbrella" to Puerto Rico.
 
H

Hood_Rat

New Member
Registered Member
CMP said:
What's interesting is the seeming absence of a Chinese response. One would think this is an obvious red line.
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The only real response you can have to something like this is to shut up and prepare for the actual war. The PRC gambled on peaceful reunification or at least the giga war not breaking out until the 2030s or late 2020s. It is becoming increasingly clear that was not exactly a good bet.
 
H

HighGround

Senior Member
Registered Member
Hood_Rat said:
The only real response you can have to something like this is to shut up and prepare for the actual war. The PRC gambled on peaceful reunification or at least the giga war not breaking out until the 2030s or late 2020s. It is becoming increasingly clear that was not exactly a good bet.
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Time is on China's side, why start escalating when you don't have to?
 
sr338

sr338

New Member
Registered Member
Hood_Rat said:
The only real response you can have to something like this is to shut up and prepare for the actual war. The PRC gambled on peaceful reunification or at least the giga war not breaking out until the 2030s or late 2020s. It is becoming increasingly clear that was not exactly a good bet.
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Building 60% of all Warships in the world in tonnage for the last 10 years is "betting on peace" to you? See my comment:
sr338 said:
I'm of the camps that an invasion of Taiwan is only worth it if the USA get dragged into.

-If you just invade Taiwan, you get a small island and a tons of Sanctions.
-If the US get dragged into it and get defeated, USA will be out of Asia, US will lose it's status as Superpower.

If you check the number of 055/052D vs 071 being build. The PLAN is clearly made to fight the USN
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D

Deleted member 24525

Guest
ACuriousPLAFan said:
Well, if I'm going to be frank, I believe we have to talk about the Muricans looking forward towards mining the entire China Seas with these kinds of mines and hidden torpedoes in order to impede PLAN warships and submarines from even leaving their bases entirely:
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Taiwan is just a small piece of the entire equation.

Recall this?
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If Murican military planes can venture this close to the Chinese coastline (and much closer even) on a constant basis and with impunity, what's stopping them from (secretly) mining the entire Chinese coastline with discreet methods over the past years and decades, and going into the coming years?

Basically attempting a repeat of how they starved Japan towards the end of WW2, that is.

This, apart from LO missile swarms, are among a series of worrying developments which could significantly impact China's military power projection into the WestPac in the future.
Click to expand...
American flights over the SCS are frequently surveilled. If even one plane gets caught dropping mines then it's basically right to war. Not even the US is this reckless. As for ships, even if the mines can be rendered inert until wartime via remote activation, I would imagine that they can still be detected with sonar. If the US had been doing this on anything approaching a large scale it would have been detected by now.
 
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