PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

00CuriousObserver

00CuriousObserver

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Japan frustrated at Trump administration’s silence over row with China - Tokyo asks US to be more vocal in its support after Beijing reacted furiously to prime minister’s comments about Taiwan

Our good friend Colby makes an appearance:

Some people said the lack of US support was ironic given that Elbridge Colby, the under-secretary of defence for policy, had pushed Japan to make clear what role it would play if the US and China went to war over Taiwan.
 
Wrought

Wrought

Captain
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Aaa said:
Any Chinese move on Taiwan would require first annexing Myanmar and perhaps Mongolia. This would be relatively trivial with UAV/UGV as well as artillery dominance as well as air dominance. China is the undisputed world benchmark for local pacification, would be trivial in Myanmar and Mongolia. Annexing Myanmar would secure China's Indian ocean access and bypass the Malacca dilemma, while also providing a strongpoint to project power across the Indian ocean to secure shipping lanes. Annexing Myanmar would also secure China access to an enormous quantity of renewable freshwater, to partially mitigate climate change threats. If India intervenes in Chinese annexation of Myanmar, China would have the perfect opportunity to annex Sinitic portion of India (the entire Indian northeast). If Russia intervenes in Chinese annexation of Mongolia, China would have the perfect opportunity to annex the Russian Far East. Nuclear weapons are a paper tiger if both states have equal stockpiles. In 2025, the world has already entered the era of the transparent battlefield. 4th generation warfare is now nearly totally obsolete. FPV drones now decisively counter irregular forces. Chinese laser CIWS/C-RAM ensure Chinese ground dominance. China is a global logistics superpower. Logistics with a country China shares a land border with will be manageable. Mongolia is further basically entirely traversable with off road trucks easily. China would also need to reach nuclear parity with the U.S.. China would also need to increase it's strategic rocket forces conventional anti-ship ICBMs to a large enough stockpile to sink 3 carrier strike groups. Not doing so would allow the U.S. to activate every single proxy on China's borders as well as choke raw materials imports to China easily. U.S. would be able to enact a distant seas naval blockade. This is absolutely required as China is losing tens to hundreds of billions of dollars in investments overseas annually due to all the various forms of expropriation. Annexation is the only viable way to spread socialism.
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Nevermore

Nevermore

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Foreign Ministry: Such provocative actions against China, aimed at grabbing attention and reaping political capital, are of a malicious nature and extremely dangerous.

【Global Times-Global Network Report, Reporter Bai Yunyi】At the regular press conference of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs held on the 8th, a media outlet asked: According to reports, on December 3, regarding Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's remarks on Taiwan, Liberal Democratic Party Vice President Taro Aso expressed approval of Takaichi's stance. What is China's comment on this?
In response, Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jia Kun stated that the remarks by this Japanese politician reflect that Prime Minister Takaichi and the Japanese right-wing forces behind her continue to misjudge the situation, show no remorse, turn a deaf ear to domestic and international criticism, and downplay, distort, and disregard right and wrong regarding acts of interfering in other countries' internal affairs and threatening them with military force. and disregard for right and wrong. They show no basic respect for international law and fundamental norms of international relations, recklessly attempting to stir up conflict and confrontation to undermine the post-war international order and resurrect Japanese militarism. Asian neighbors and the international community should remain highly vigilant against this.
He emphasized that it must be pointed out that such provocative actions against China, used to grab attention and win public support, are of a malicious and extremely dangerous nature. We urge Japan to earnestly reflect and repent, to sincerely retract the prime minister's erroneous remarks, and to refrain from continuing to play with fire or straying further down the wrong path.
 
Z

zhangjim

Junior Member
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I missed some things. I don't know if the things I want to share were mentioned in the forum. But I don't think there is any relevant content under this topic.
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The length of the video is a bit annoying, and it's an AI translation, with no subtitles.
This TV program interviewed retired generals of the JSDF, so the program has a strong political propaganda color. They call it the 'dawn of the new era'
I don't want to translate other nonsense because they are all political propaganda based on supporting the policies of the ruling party and support for the Prime Minister. For them, strengthening the military through "defense" is naturally a good thing.
The most astonishing part is the following:
1、 There is no clear provision that Japan can‘t have（me：really？） aircraft carriers, ICBM and strategic bombers.
2、The ability to take preemptive action（attack） is necessary. Like Israel and the United States bombing Iran.
3、Russia's nuclear threat violates the principle of nuclear non-proliferation, therefore Japan should negotiate with the United States to deploy nuclear weapons in Japan, and Japan should be granted the authority to decide whether to use (US) nuclear weapons.
screenshot-1765282575409.png
——They seem to want to rebuild the island fortresses（absolute zone of national defense）from the World War II era.


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screenshot-1765283421513.png
——It has to be said that the civilian scholars are more radical than the military.
His idea is in wartime, the JMSDF will enter the "dangerous area" in the name of evacuate their citizens. They will explicitly warn China not to obstruct. If their "humanitarian assistance" is blocked, it is an attack on Japan. And PLA as “inexperienced army' may pull the trigger first.
 
L

latenlazy

Brigadier
zhangjim said:
I missed some things. I don't know if the things I want to share were mentioned in the forum. But I don't think there is any relevant content under this topic.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

The length of the video is a bit annoying, and it's an AI translation, with no subtitles.
This TV program interviewed retired generals of the JSDF, so the program has a strong political propaganda color. They call it the 'dawn of the new era'
I don't want to translate other nonsense because they are all political propaganda based on supporting the policies of the ruling party and support for the Prime Minister. For them, strengthening the military through "defense" is naturally a good thing.
The most astonishing part is the following:
1、 There is no clear provision that Japan can‘t have（me：really？） aircraft carriers, ICBM and strategic bombers.
2、The ability to take preemptive action（attack） is necessary. Like Israel and the United States bombing Iran.
3、Russia's nuclear threat violates the principle of nuclear non-proliferation, therefore Japan should negotiate with the United States to deploy nuclear weapons in Japan, and Japan should be granted the authority to decide whether to use (US) nuclear weapons.
View attachment 165977
——They seem to want to rebuild the island fortresses（absolute zone of national defense）from the World War II era.


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View attachment 165978
——It has to be said that the civilian scholars are more radical than the military.
His idea is in wartime, the JMSDF will enter the "dangerous area" in the name of evacuate their citizens. They will explicitly warn China not to obstruct. If their "humanitarian assistance" is blocked, it is an attack on Japan. And PLA as “inexperienced army' may pull the trigger first.
Click to expand...
…so they’re suicidal.
 
plawolf

plawolf

Lieutenant General
Remember, they hanged the propagandists alongside the executioners at Nuremberg, as they should have. If these armchair nazis succeed in pushing Japan into another war with China, they should get their same justice.
 
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