Nope, whilst dozens of high ranking officers and generals within ROCA could do that, the mainstream NCOs and infantry are still comprised of native Taiwanese, who are mostly pro-independence and pro-Japan. The KMT itself is just a Shakespearean tragedy. They lost Mainland China in 1949. And they lost Taiwan in 2000 when DPP and pro-independence became mainstream. Unfortunately, the fight over Taiwan would likely be extremely bloody with the scale of mass violence unseen since the Korean War even without U.S. involvement. It is just a zero sum game for both sides.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
I am sorry, but I beg to disagree with this assessment: "Unfortunately, the fight over Taiwan would likely be extremely bloody".
the average TW soldiers and officers are born to comforts and thus complacency, and to expect them to risk their lives fighting a war against overwhelming PLA forces is simply delusional. They are not called "strawberry" soldiers for nothing.
last I heard, the enlisted officers in TW are quitting in droves, and the TW DOD is having trouble enlisting enough manpower to fill up the rank and file too.
I am not saying that should AR occur, it will be a walk in the park for the PLA forces, but extreme bloodshed and attrition is not expected.
Finally, just praying that the TW people will come to their right senses and pursue peaceful reunification with the Mainland to the joy of the great majority of the Chinese diaspora.
the average TW soldiers and officers are born to comforts and thus complacency, and to expect them to risk their lives fighting a war against overwhelming PLA forces is simply delusional. They are not called "strawberry" soldiers for nothing.
last I heard, the enlisted officers in TW are quitting in droves, and the TW DOD is having trouble enlisting enough manpower to fill up the rank and file too.
I am not saying that should AR occur, it will be a walk in the park for the PLA forces, but extreme bloodshed and attrition is not expected.
Finally, just praying that the TW people will come to their right senses and pursue peaceful reunification with the Mainland to the joy of the great majority of the Chinese diaspora.
Theoretically, it is like this, but they have been promoting this viewpoint for decades. One view is that it is more of a historical inertia, that is, they still have unrealistic delusions about the former colonies. The other people believe that this may be due to the excessive sense of crisis among Japanese people.
Of course, for island countries, their sensitivity to shipping routes is naturally higher.
——I think this explanation is also good: this viewpoint has been overemphasized and turned into a non-opposable political correctness，there are no politicians in Japan who can turn this situation around. Given the long-term media propaganda, Japanese people have an almost instinctive aversion towards China, and they will not consider the balance of power - perhaps the Chinese are not as powerful as imagined?
Oh, I have no problem with Japan getting involved in the Chinese civil war. I just hope they don’t chicken out when the time comes.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
It’s kinda hilarious that the true target of the PLAN fleet modernisation for the last generation has been Japan, not Taiwan. Rather than recognise the massive and growing sword of Damocles hanging over their heads, the Japanese are literally sticking their necks out more thinking they are intimidating China.
This is because the true threat to Chinese reunification, peaceful or armed, is American military power, and Japan is the lynchpin for said power projection in Asia. So long as Japan remains one massive American FoB, the Americans can continue to fight for as long as they want. Hence taking Japan is the only way China can end any war on its own terms rather than America’s. Or at the very least push the centre of combat far away from the mainland to allow everyday life to return to normal for the vast majority of Chinese people.
If the Japanese people have any sense of self preservation and reality itself, they should be pushing as hard as they can to kick the American bases out of their lands and to chart a course of neutrality to avoid becoming the Ukraine of the east. But sadly they seem more than happy to take on that role, and are going all in on making that a reality. Careful what you wish for.
This is because the true threat to Chinese reunification, peaceful or armed, is American military power, and Japan is the lynchpin for said power projection in Asia. So long as Japan remains one massive American FoB, the Americans can continue to fight for as long as they want. Hence taking Japan is the only way China can end any war on its own terms rather than America’s. Or at the very least push the centre of combat far away from the mainland to allow everyday life to return to normal for the vast majority of Chinese people.
If the Japanese people have any sense of self preservation and reality itself, they should be pushing as hard as they can to kick the American bases out of their lands and to chart a course of neutrality to avoid becoming the Ukraine of the east. But sadly they seem more than happy to take on that role, and are going all in on making that a reality. Careful what you wish for.
I for one am so very glad that the Chinese CG Xue Jian did not mince words and sentiments like the usual before oft said ,"the feelings of the Chinese people have been hurt by Japan's words/action" Hell no,now "stick your skinny,scrawny cuckolded-surrendered ass Jap neck out to be cut by the Chinese sword if you so much as move finger against us"Fuckin A-I am loving it.
These Japanese politicians persist in paying homage at Yasukuni Shrine, showing no remorse for their militarist past, while meddling in China's affairs concerning Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Xinjiang. It's high time to deliver a resounding slap to these demons. China's next response to Japan's outrageous rhetoric will likely be a direct warning: if you intend to obstruct China's reunification, be prepared to face the consequences of national annihilation.
Should the unfortunate happens will Japan’s core softpower export be impacted? Asking on behalf of some friends.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
I guess it depends on how old the Japanese animators are and what draft age Japan sets.
Live action production may actually increase as the war goes increasingly badly for Japan.