Nope, whilst dozens of high ranking officers and generals within ROCA could do that, the mainstream NCOs and infantry are still comprised of native Taiwanese, who are mostly pro-independence and pro-Japan. The KMT itself is just a Shakespearean tragedy. They lost Mainland China in 1949. And they lost Taiwan in 2000 when DPP and pro-independence became mainstream. Unfortunately, the fight over Taiwan would likely be extremely bloody with the scale of mass violence unseen since the Korean War even without U.S. involvement. It is just a zero sum game for both sides.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
I am sorry, but I beg to disagree with this assessment: "Unfortunately, the fight over Taiwan would likely be extremely bloody".
the average TW soldiers and officers are born to comforts and thus complacency, and to expect them to risk their lives fighting a war against overwhelming PLA forces is simply delusional. They are not called "strawberry" soldiers for nothing.
last I heard, the enlisted officers in TW are quitting in droves, and the TW DOD is having trouble enlisting enough manpower to fill up the rank and file too.
I am not saying that should AR occur, it will be a walk in the park for the PLA forces, but extreme bloodshed and attrition is not expected.
Finally, just praying that the TW people will come to their right senses and pursue peaceful reunification with the Mainland to the joy of the great majority of the Chinese diaspora.
the average TW soldiers and officers are born to comforts and thus complacency, and to expect them to risk their lives fighting a war against overwhelming PLA forces is simply delusional. They are not called "strawberry" soldiers for nothing.
last I heard, the enlisted officers in TW are quitting in droves, and the TW DOD is having trouble enlisting enough manpower to fill up the rank and file too.
I am not saying that should AR occur, it will be a walk in the park for the PLA forces, but extreme bloodshed and attrition is not expected.
Finally, just praying that the TW people will come to their right senses and pursue peaceful reunification with the Mainland to the joy of the great majority of the Chinese diaspora.
Theoretically, it is like this, but they have been promoting this viewpoint for decades. One view is that it is more of a historical inertia, that is, they still have unrealistic delusions about the former colonies. The other people believe that this may be due to the excessive sense of crisis among Japanese people.
Of course, for island countries, their sensitivity to shipping routes is naturally higher.
——I think this explanation is also good: this viewpoint has been overemphasized and turned into a non-opposable political correctness，there are no politicians in Japan who can turn this situation around. Given the long-term media propaganda, Japanese people have an almost instinctive aversion towards China, and they will not consider the balance of power - perhaps the Chinese are not as powerful as imagined?