PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

HAHAHAHA

I just discovered 1 simple question that will shut up every bad faith and bullshit conversations made up by sinophobic racists or green frogs.

Just simply ask, "can you give me the definition of a 'civil war'"?

Suddenly none of them can answer me, or refused to answer, and then pretend to suddenly lose grasp of all their English abilities.

Do trainers cross the red line? If so, how many? Seems like this is an active Salami slicing started by Biden but continues under Trump 2.0.

RoastGooseHKer said:

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Do trainers cross the red line? If so, how many? Seems like this is an active Salami slicing started by Biden but continues under Trump 2.0.

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Will they stay, if ever armed reunification occur?

RoastGooseHKer said:

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Do trainers cross the red line? If so, how many? Seems like this is an active Salami slicing started by Biden but continues under Trump 2.0.

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They serve as a tripwire for US involvement during AR.

siegecrossbow said:

They serve as a tripwire for US involvement during AR.

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That's what I am thinking. Could be a tripwire should White House decide to intervene militarily.

Or they could be withdrawn (on a single C-17) at a moment's notice similar to the withdrawal of US Embassy in Kiev in 2022 to avoid direct involvement. It still gives the POTUS maximum flexibility in both peacetime and during a crisis. By labeling these GIs as trainers, the PRC would have little justification to use their very presence as a justification to attack.

Chinese coastguard to patrol Jinmen area.

RoastGooseHKer said:

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Do trainers cross the red line? If so, how many? Seems like this is an active Salami slicing started by Biden but continues under Trump 2.0.

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In my opinion this is a clear crossing of red line. It's not the 41 soldiers you can say they protect embassy or so. They should be given some period of time to leave and if not, wiped out, but this is a dilemma, if China should take the bait or not. If next year it's not 500 but 5000 it's clear violation of Chinese sovereignity, then it's not saying if China should take a bait or not but war is imminent.

It is an open secret that there are US troops training the Taiwanese army (like green berets) and EW and intelligence personnel in Taiwan. These US troops are not hiding it and take photos everywhere in military uniforms.

I don’t think the mainland will escalate the situation because of this, or this kind of thing can no longer affect the speed of escalation. Whether there are 500 or 5,000 US troops on the island, the real influence on the trend of the war is still the naval and air force competition between China and the United States in the Pacific. Combined with the US military’s recent withdrawal of 4,500 troops from South Korea to the second island chain, I think the US military is still pessimistic about the survivability of the first island chain.

PLA air around the island today.



It’s worth noting that (if my memory serves me correctly) this is the first time we’ve seen three UAVs operating in a coordinated manner east of Taiwan like this. Previously, it’s only ever been single UAVs, except for one time where two circumnavigated the island in opposite directions

Also relevant is that Liaoning is currently east of Taiwan in the PH Sea

Jiang ZeminFanboy said:

In my opinion this is a clear crossing of red line. It's not the 41 soldiers you can say they protect embassy or so. They should be given some period of time to leave and if not, wiped out, but this is a dilemma, if China should take the bait or not. If next year it's not 500 but 5000 it's clear violation of Chinese sovereignity, then it's not saying if China should take a bait or not but war is imminent.

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The more troops the Americans puts on Taiwan in secret the better. Just means more body bags for them immediately if AR kicks off.

Unlike US troops in Korea, who are there officially, these guys are really not supposed to be there. So their deaths will be a massive embarrassment for the US military, just like US military deaths in Ukraine need to be explained away as suicides and accidents.

Having hundreds to thousands of US military deaths in the opening minutes of AR as collateral damage should also serve as a last minute wake up call for the US public of what war with China will actually mean.