PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

meez

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A “factory floor” is an extremely ambiguous description and might as well be indistinguishable in size from a truck. Not all factory floors are the size of giant warehouses, and it’s not clear to me if the factory floor description is just a reflection of the prototype being in a modularly assembled state to make it easier to do development work. When everything is packed together it’s much harder to do the constant repair, adjustment, and component swapping that’s typical of the development process. Either way size of the equipment is not really an issue here since they basically are all large enough to require very large exclusively dedicated spaces in fabs.



ASML’s light source power was only at 10 watts in 2010. Figures thrown around for the Shenzhen instrument seem to range between 150 and 400 watts.
Yes it is clearly a leap in euv lithograph that the loght source is 150 kw to 400 kw however mass production of these machine remains an issue , other problems might be ziess lens which are incredibly hard to replicate cuz they have just 50 pecometer accuracy however we must consider china should have other ways to get euv machine maybe second hand who knows or other particle accelerator project
 

sunnymaxi

Colonel
Registered Member
Yes it is clearly a leap in euv lithograph that the loght source is 150 kw to 400 kw however mass production of these machine remains an issue , other problems might be ziess lens which are incredibly hard to replicate cuz they have just 50 pecometer accuracy however we must consider china should have other ways to get euv machine maybe second hand who knows or other particle accelerator project
There are so many mistakes in Reuters article.

EUV mirrors are the critical component of entire EUV optical system.

China is been world class in optics at least since mid 2010's decade. EUV optics and Mirrors have completed in 2024. i can even send you the authorized patent of EUV optical system that Chinese institute applied.

just one example, in 2019 China made this highly complex large aspheric mirror. link is down below.

Image


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meez

New Member
Registered Member
There are so many mistakes in Reuters article.

EUV mirrors are the critical component of entire EUV optical system.

China is been world class in optics at least since mid 2010's decade. EUV optics and Mirrors have completed in 2024. i can even send you the authorized patent of EUV optical system that Chinese institute applied.

just one example, in 2019 China made this highly complex large aspheric mirror. link is down below.

Image


Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
Zeiss EUV mirrors are the most precise human-made surfaces in the world, polished to a smoothness with an unevenness of just tens of picometers (pm), which is a fraction of a nanometer (nm). The required surface accuracy for a single mirror, THERE IS SOME MORE CACHING TO DO BUT THEY WILL DO IT NO MATTAR WHAT
 

sunnymaxi

Colonel
Registered Member
Zeiss EUV mirrors are the most precise human-made surfaces in the world, polished to a smoothness with an unevenness of just tens of picometers (pm), which is a fraction of a nanometer (nm). The required surface accuracy for a single mirror, THERE IS SOME MORE CACHING TO DO BUT THEY WILL DO IT NO MATTAR WHAT
i m not denying the complexity. there is plenty of valuable information about China's EUV on semiconductor thread include optics/mirrors. we have posted each and every possible information on that thread. China successfully build entire supply chain of mirrors include tools/equipment and coating infrastructure.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
Zeiss EUV mirrors are the most precise human-made surfaces in the world, polished to a smoothness with an unevenness of just tens of picometers (pm), which is a fraction of a nanometer (nm). The required surface accuracy for a single mirror, THERE IS SOME MORE CACHING TO DO BUT THEY WILL DO IT NO MATTAR WHAT
They’ve already done it. Please look at more Chinese supply chain news. Don’t believe every marketing hype you see. Just because some performance numbers look impressive doesn’t mean the engineering process used to get those results are hard to replicate.

Yes it is clearly a leap in euv lithograph that the loght source is 150 kw to 400 kw however mass production of these machine remains an issue , other problems might be ziess lens which are incredibly hard to replicate cuz they have just 50 pecometer accuracy however we must consider china should have other ways to get euv machine maybe second hand who knows or other particle accelerator project


“Mass production” isn’t a challenge with this kind of equipment because what qualifies as “mass production” is not thousands or tens of thousands or millions of these machines a year but tens to hundreds.
 

meez

New Member
Registered Member
They’ve already done it. Please look at more Chinese supply chain news. Don’t believe every marketing hype you see. Just because some performance numbers look impressive doesn’t mean the engineering process used to get those results are hard to replicate.




“Mass production” isn’t a challenge with this kind of equipment because what qualifies as “mass production” is not thousands or tens of thousands or millions of these machines a year but tens to hundreds.
So your telling china already has euv lithograph machines making chips sure they have progress and will make it however what are they compared to like asml euv nxe 3400 nxe 3600 etc ???
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
So your telling china already has euv lithograph machines making chips sure they have progress and will make it however what are they compared to like asml euv nxe 3400 nxe 3600 etc ???
I’m telling you China already has all the components figured out. You can’t assemble a functional prototype without achieving that level of development first. They’re in the last stage of development and that last stage is all about optimization and calibration of prototypes units so that they can perform at a commercially acceptable level. I would recommend you learn how R&D for these complex systems work.

A Chinese EUV instrument doesn’t need to be as good as ASML’s to enable mass production of advanced nodes. Matching performance only matters for sales in an open market competition context, which doesn’t apply in an environment where ASML is banned.
 
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