Go ahead you can bash my analysis but I know what's up with you refusing to answer whether you would abort if meeting resistance beyond certain time frame. Shallow.
What’s up is that I’m not wasting my time with questions that are frankly divorced from reality. You cannot generate useful questions and comments if you do not first have a basic understanding of the subject matter you’re trying to talk about, and you have shown persistently that you regurgitate a fictional understanding of the current force balance on the ground and how these weapons systems and the combat operations they’re tied to work. I ask you to show the math that Taiwan can last a month under blockade and you duck the request for some substantive analysis and instead of answering my request for substantiation you deflect and try to shift to some other point that you have also clearly decided not to do any concrete substantive analysis on (like whether the ROC can even defend a landing if it cannot mass ground forces against landing points because they’re exposed to aerial strikes).
What bottom line lol. If China chooses to fight this war it is fighting it to the hilt and it is bringing the full force of its massive and still accumulating local force advantage against the US and Taiwan. There’s no backing out for the PLA. They haven’t investing in the mass of capabilities that they’ve built up over the last 30 years just to play chickenshit games when it’s go time. Your “stalemate” scenario has literally no concrete analysis behind it, just a vague reference to some US simulation that you haven’t cited directly which conveniently means we can’t study the details of the simulation or any of the specific claims you’re making. You seem only capable of talking fictional narratives and anytime anyone tries to bring in real details into the picture you get smarmy and shifty. How dare the rest of us scrutinize your hand wavey claims with facts eh?
What simulation? There are US simulations where they are obliterated by China.
1. There is no 1 month deadline.
There is no such thing as a worst case scenario. Worst case scenario China implodes and we don't have to worry about Taiwan anymore.
Uh... no. We go until we take it.
Who says there is a stalemate? We hit them until they surrender.
Right. When I go step on a cockroach in my kitched, I don't consider the possibility it can fight me to a stalemate.
You making up bullshit because of some "US simulation" is a disaster that is in your mind. Real life is under control.
Nor are you going to be earning it from anyone here.
This does not qualify as analysis. This is what happens when a person knows nothing about military affairs tries to imagine a conflict based on some random analysis that is not even presented here.
No. Days is a generous estimate given the amount of damage they will be taking.
"Analysis" LOL
A number that is less than what the CCP has and that number is reduced the more you use artillery and air strikes to clear the threat.
Analyze where the threat is coming from, kill it, summon more reserves.
Where's the time limit coming from? Russia's been fighting for 3 years. Fight until you win.
Not analysis; you don't have the basic knowledge to do analysis.
Honestly it's because your questions are really stupid.
No, there is no time limit except the one you imagined.
There is nothing here more shallow than you pretending to "analyze" but with clearly no military knowledge.
The bottom line is to fight until we win. We have already declared to the US that over Taiwan, we will trade every city with America in a nuclear exchange. There is no time limit and there is no abort option. It's WWIII if necessary.
Let's assume you are correct and aid ships can reach Taiwan.
in fact they not only have to contest the air, they need air supremacy over the entire length of those highways. Even a 10 km stretch of mere air superiority is enough for air mining or FPV drones to stop tanker trucks.
I mean realistically if Taiwan loses control over its airspace those eastern ports aren’t staying open anyways, even if the PLAN couldn’t blockade them outright. The whole scenario being suggested is just detached from today’s military realities. If the US wants to hang back taking potshots 1000 km away it’s not going to be a factor in the area where the fighting actually matters for the objectives at hand. Even if they could land a few hits playing standoff “hit and run” to the total amount of damage they could inflict would be tiny relative to what they would need to do to slow the PLA down in the part of the fight that matters, over Taiwan’s local geography, never mind trying to “win”.