PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

latenlazy

Brigadier
US likes taiwan troops to follow Ukraine. Hiding and fighting within urban structure and hideouts like warfare. Or fighting around jungle areas.

China air superiority doesn't mean whole lot in urban warfares.

First month of war US planning to use bombers to hit and run from far distance.
Taiwan is not Ukraine. It is an island. If the ROC tries to make Taiwan an urban guerrilla battle the PLA will just blockade and siege the cities.

US bombers can’t just teleport in and out undetected against a modern air defense sensor net, but even if they could what are US bombers trying to attack with “hit and run”. Will they even be able deliver enough munitions to meaningfully damage the PLA’s operational capacity with low frequency attacks? You can invent all sorts of fictional war situations if you forget about mass.

The missile itself has own sensors to search .
Missiles can’t see 1000 miles lol. Even if they had the onboard power to see that far (they do not) there’s something called the horizon. Please put down the science fiction.
 

CMP

Senior Member
Registered Member
US likes taiwan troops to follow Ukraine. Hiding and fighting within urban structure and hideouts like warfare. Or fighting around jungle areas.

China air superiority doesn't mean whole lot in urban warfares.

First month of war US planning to use bombers to hit and run from far distance.
Ukraine is a massive territory with long borders for easy resupply. Hence the urban warfare approach was working for Ukraine. Taiwan is a small island right next to China. Full air and sea blockade would be relatively easy. There would be no need to participate in urban war as Taiwan would quickly run out of food, water, supplies, etc. It would also be easy to completely eliminate their electrical grid. You seem to have a very poor understanding of Taiwan's geographical size and distance from China relative to Guam or Hawaii. You also seem to have a very poor understanding of the performance of different weapon systems. You are engaged in a lot of magical thinking concerning China's unwillingness to defend itself and US weapons technical capabilities vis a vis China.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
Ukraine is a massive territory with long borders for easy resupply. Hence the urban warfare approach was working for Ukraine. Taiwan is a small island right next to China. Full air and sea blockade would be relatively easy. There would be no need to participate in urban war as Taiwan would quickly run out of food, water, supplies, etc. It would also be easy to completely eliminate their electrical grid. You seem to have a very poor understanding of Taiwan's geographical size and distance from China relative to Guam or Hawaii.
I think he reads a lot of fiction without any understanding of how these things work in real life.
 

LanceD23

Junior Member
Registered Member
That's why US setting up missiles and HIMArs at small Philippines islands south of Taiwan.
.Japanese islands has hypersonic missiles north of Taiwan.

North, South, East of taiwan have vectors of missiles hitting Chinese warships.

It's bad idea for China sending out carrier groups out to block incoming help.
 

LanceD23

Junior Member
Registered Member
Ukraine is a massive territory with long borders for easy resupply. Hence the urban warfare approach was working for Ukraine. Taiwan is a small island right next to China. Full air and sea blockade would be relatively easy. There would be no need to participate in urban war as Taiwan would quickly run out of food, water, supplies, etc. It would also be easy to completely eliminate their electrical grid. You seem to have a very poor understanding of Taiwan's geographical size and distance from China relative to Guam or Hawaii. You also seem to have a very poor understanding of the performance of different weapon systems. You are engaged in a lot of magical thinking concerning China's unwillingness to defend itself and US weapons technical capabilities vis a vis China.
Urban fortresses like Bakmut, chasiv yar bogged down Russian force for very long time. Let alone like Taipei.

It has nothing to do with size of territory.
Urkianinans been fighting there without electricity.
You can stop oil and natural gas into Taiwan but food and water , I think Taiwan troops can find or stored. It's allies can bring food, water, medicine from east side. China cannot blockade on the east due to threat.

Attack but don't invade Taiwan island
Blockade till the people in tawain surrender willingly
 
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CMP

Senior Member
Registered Member
That's why US setting up missiles and HIMArs at small Philippines islands south of Taiwan.
.Japanese islands has hypersonic missiles north of Taiwan.

North, South, East of taiwan have vectors of missiles hitting Chinese warships.

It's bad idea for China sending out carrier groups out to block incoming help.
The US and its puppets do not have hypersonic missiles. Japanese bases would be destroyed by Chinese missiles and be unable to continue if they get involved to begin with. HIMARS are not guided weapons and Filipino bases would be destroyed by Chinese missiles as well if they get involved.
 

latenlazy

Brigadier
That's why US setting up missiles and HIMArs at small Philippines islands south of Taiwan.
.Japanese islands has hypersonic missiles north of Taiwan.

North, South, East of taiwan have vectors of missiles hitting Chinese warships.

It's bad idea for China sending out carrier groups out to block incoming help.
“You can invent all sorts of fictional war situations if you forget about mass”.

But you’re right, if America’s assets and positions are impervious and untouchable and have infinite attack frequency volume and mass and every one of China’s assets and positions die after being touched just a little then China stands no chance against America. Whether that’s the actual case will require more concrete determinations than an infinite merry go round of fictional rationales.
 
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