probably not a fantasy, seriously. UUV can even be launched drones underwater. Cross-medium drones are nothing new.
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PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
Rather than weapons, I would be more concerned with the detecting, targeting and tracking segments of the whole equation.
Those are actually the much harder parts than actually intercepting those drone swarms with soft-kill and hard-kill weapons.
This is it right here. A hard-kill system coupled with soft-kill measures. This is what is needed.
Thanks to today's event, the world will take anti-drone measures seriously. We will see more system like this in the future.
Base hardening alone would probably deter most attempts at reproducing these kinds of attacks. The problem here for Russia was that no one, not even NATO, ever thought these bases could be reached because they were nested so deep into Russian territory, so Russia never invested in hardening them.
Key thing is as always fundamental systems redundancy, of a level that no action by the enemy even at their most favorable combination of circumstances changes the course and outcome whatsoever, and this also means being able to grind down the enemy strategically in all aspects down to their backyards as well. This is what I mean when saying China vs US is more like WW2 US facing Imperial Japan, but with even greater strategic/industrial strength to back it up.
That's not a new problem at all. Terrorist attacks historically used different platforms, but the underlying requirement to organize a group of people to commit a coordinated attack on enemy soil is identical. The answer is the same as ever: police/surveillance/etc so you either catch them during the planning stages or deter their ability to plan an effective attack altogether. The more complicated a plan, the more likely one or more steps goes wrong on the day of.
If anything, China is probably the best country in the world when it comes to preventing those kind of threats.
There have to be extreme measures taken to ensure 100% internal state stability. Every highway movement including motorcycle can be tracked with traffic cameras. Trucks can be required to be digitally geofenced with a forcible engine shutoff if deviating from route without approval.
Human movement can be tracked the same way with traffic cameras for motorcycles and extensive use of biometric IDs for travel registration. Expect every single person in China, including immigrants and short term visitors, to be entered in a biometric database and to tie it not just to 身份证 number but to immutable biological traits.
I recently saw a video by a Taiwanese pro-independence supporter talking about the advantages of Taiwan acquiring nuclear weapons, and then I saw this article in the Taipei Times:
So my question is "Are people really this stupid?"
China has two well publicized red lines regarding Taiwan. The first is Taiwan declaring independence, and the second is Taiwan acquiring nuclear weapons. Both of these will automatically lead to war, and of the two, the latter is far more suicidal. Taiwan being independent is a serious blow to the CPC so the PLA will fight tooth and nail to prevent it. Things might get very serious if China were to lose, but there's a good chance that the conflict will stay conventional. But Taiwan getting nuclear weapons is a threat to the survival of China as a nation so China is far more likely to turn the whole island into a nuclear wasteland. I just get the feeling that too many observers outside of China think of emotionally satisfying solutions without ever considering how other players will react to said solutions. (Also note the entire American Info-Pacific strategy.)
So my question is "Are people really this stupid?"
China has two well publicized red lines regarding Taiwan. The first is Taiwan declaring independence, and the second is Taiwan acquiring nuclear weapons. Both of these will automatically lead to war, and of the two, the latter is far more suicidal. Taiwan being independent is a serious blow to the CPC so the PLA will fight tooth and nail to prevent it. Things might get very serious if China were to lose, but there's a good chance that the conflict will stay conventional. But Taiwan getting nuclear weapons is a threat to the survival of China as a nation so China is far more likely to turn the whole island into a nuclear wasteland. I just get the feeling that too many observers outside of China think of emotionally satisfying solutions without ever considering how other players will react to said solutions. (Also note the entire American Info-Pacific strategy.)
Any attempt will lead to a disarming first strike.
Guess why the United States the withdrawal of nuclear weapons in 1972 and tried every means to prevent Taiwan from having nuclear weapons since then? Because at that time, mainland could and would undoubtedly strike first before Taiwan developed it's nuclear power.
When containment measures fail, don't continue to do it anyway, or others will find out that you have no real ability. Americans at that time had such wisdom, but the Taiwanese independence activists today don’t even have it.
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