News on China's scientific and technological development.

hashtagpls

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Registered Member

US President Joe Biden’s CIA director creates new unit focusing on China and Technology​

Other agency moves include merging an Iran Mission Center set up by the Trump administration into a broader Middle East unit and merging a unit focusing on Korea with a broader East Asia-Pacific unit, the official said.

Burns said the CIA also was creating a position for a chief technology officer as well as a new office called the Transnational and Technology Mission Centre.

The agency will also create a programme under which it would encourage qualified employees to serve as “technology fellows” for a year or two in private industry.

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@gadgetcool5 bro sometimes I question if there is any competent bureaucrat in Washington DC? this is a mission creed or statement of the agency why proclaim it? to scare the Chinese? I think the message is on her allies, such an attitude may create a reverse reaction and here @FairAndUnbiased analyst come to mind instead of a Praque Spring we may have a multiple spring sprouting out in Tokyo, Seoul, Amsterdam and even Taipei.

it's new unit because the old unit has been killed off.
The US is the absolute leviathan of industrial espionage, proven by Snowden and Tailored Access Operations and PRISM; if the US can’t steal tech they’ll use mafia tactics to steal it eh look at TikTok and the USG last year
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
It works though. The US is stealing TSMC and Samsung technology in broad daylight right now. The US stole Japanese and Russian technology back in the 1990s. What's even better is that the more the US steals, it weakens others and strengthens the United States at the same time
SleepyStudent, is that you? Yes the US steals but this also comes with risks.

The US is now in "harvest" mode, but that also means that is making S.Korea ans other countries wary of it.

Stealing is one of the "perks" of being a hegemon. However there is a limit on how much the US can steal without incurring a backlash
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
What can they do about it?
Stop innovating because what's the point if they get robbed?
It means that China's lagging of the frontier is perpetuated
It is slightly stalled for time. The reason that the US had to resort to this is because it can't keep pace with China's development. By doing this to TSMC and Samsung, the US is essentially harvesting crops, converting long term value into immediate short term value. It will give the US a slight boost, but it is a desperation tactic because an immediate boost is a short term solution to the long term problem of moving too slowly compared to the competition. Essentially, your neighbor is earning income much faster than you are so you sold some assets to stay ahead of him... only for a bit, because a steady high income is bound to overtake large savings and assets liquidation.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
So they take themselves out of the competition and live in poverty.
No. Many first world nations have poor innovative capacity but live just fine. The majority of economic activity comes from mundane businesses like restaurants and stores, not from cutting edge tech development.
Okay then, perfectly fine for American hegemony.
Not really; your pawns weakening is bad for you, good for your rival, in this case, China.
It's as desperate as a strep throat patient taking antibiotics.
No, because taking antibiotics destroys the infection. Stealing from pawns does not destroy Chinese innovation; it has no effect. So what America is doing now is akin to taking a shot of adrenaline because it's feeling down from infection; it doesn't stop the source but can give a temporary boost. If anything, a side-effect to this is that it increases bitterness towards the US and makes it easier for China to hire from those that the US has scorn.
It's a reasoned step to advance national interests.
Well, the only solution that is real is to out-innovate your competitor. The US can't do that so as far as it's choices go, maybe robbing its allies is reasonable; I don't know. But it's still a short term plan for a long term problem.
it's not desperate as much as it's a realization that science crosses national borders.
If it's not desperate, then why does the US refrain from this when China cannot challenge it technologically? Saying that science crosses national borders so robbing IP is ok is like saying love transcends blood so rape incest is ok.
These are means of production and hence, my point, China's scientific and technological development relies only on resources in China (and even not then given brain drain from China) while US scientific and technological development relies on theft from the entire world, endogenous capabilities and brain drain.
China's innovation relies mostly from Chinese blood but they are educated all over the world and China produces more STEM talent than all of America's first world allies combined. Regardless of your reasoning, the real world situation is that US is panicked that it cannot keep step with Chinese innovation and it's taking steps in desperation and disregard for its national image. Despite this, it cannot change anything because America always relied on immigration and IP theft; this is nothing groundbreaking in terms of tech, only in terms of ugliness. There is no game-changer there and China will continue to overtake despite a slight boost to American position, not speed, and not acceleration, both of which the US simply cannot raise above China.

And by the way, saying that the US has successfully robbed TSMC and Samsung is premature. As the situation stands, both have given refusals, and the US has not even asked for true tech transfer yet; it is only testing the water asking for production times and client lists. The ROC has no self-respect so the chances of a crumble are greater there but South Korea at least understands that it's a sovereign nation entitled to keep their IP; Samsung is the pride of Korea. Nothing is certain there.
 
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manqiangrexue

Brigadier
The only way to have a high GDPpc is to have technological innovation or be a small oil sheikdom. Those technology multiples end up expanding out into various other sectors. In any case, your hypothesis is wrong.
Mine is not a hypothesis; mine is a real world observation so it cannot be wrong. Your hypothesis that a country that stops innovating in high tech will fall into poverty is wrong. Many first world countries in the EU enjoy a high GDPpc but have poor innovative capacity in high tech. Understand the key term is in high tech.
The US harvested Japan (Plaza/Semiconductor Trade Accords/Toshiba) in the 1990s but that didn't stop Japanese innovation;
It did. Japan didn't go to shit but many sectors where Japan was at the forefront back then, Japan is no longer now. It may have a presence, but it is no challenge to the world leaders. Hence, there is no semi/IC tech that the US wishes to harvest from Japan now.
ditto with Russia and its aerospace sector.
That's totally different; it was from the fall of the Soviet Union. Russia never got bullied into handing over tech to the US.
They trade more with China than the United States so China is hurt more.
They may trade more with China in volume but they cooperate more in high tech with the US. No, China has moved on from that mentality. Any foreign high tech input is a stopgap. China is going on self-reliance. In a world where small rivals are gone and it's one-on-one with the US in tech innovation, America has no chance against China.
The slaveowner doesn't care about their slaves.
Except when the slaves are injured or can no longer work like they did before.
It doesn't hurt Chinese innovation except that it reduces Chinese cooperative partners with institutions and it widens the gap between the US & China.
It temporarily widens the gap, as I said, but it doesn't do anything against Chinese speed and acceleration. China relies on itself now; cooperative partners were the past and the current stopgap. All of these "cooperative partners" cooperate at least as much, most of them far more, with the US than with China when it comes to high tech areas. Losing them undoubtedly hurts the US more than China.
Innovation is procedural and thus stealing from pawns enhances the US competitive position (and over time, US speed by weakening others and enhancing brain drain and forced FDI to the US).
Yes, it enhances position, but not speed or acceleration and in a race with no finish, the latter are for more important and in China's favor.
The US has co-opted enough political stooges that it doesn't matter. The LDP still kisses America's ass even after the Semiconductor Trade Agreements and the Plaza Accord
It may or may not matter. Both Samsung and TSMC have complained to their governments about American bullying and even if the government caves, individual people are free to leave, and work for China in revenge. But even if it didn't matter in the sense that you speak of, the problem is still that it doesn't matter to the pattern that China is moving faster and accelerating faster.
The US used theft as a way to advance S&T way before China could possibly challenge the US - including by stealing Mexican land and German patents and seizing Merck in broad daylight. Other people have good scientific innovation, the US absolutely should steal it for advancing American science.
Why do you mention this history including stealing Mexican land? It's all old stuff that is covered by the current description that the US is innovating slower than China today.
Chinese blood, American blood, whatever, national origin of the scientist doesn't matter as much as the country in which it is done.
That's just wrong. Foreign scientists have a much higher rate of brain circulation back to their origin nations after they've become useful. Relying in foreigners is an addictive and dangerous drug.
The US has an unassailable position from theft, immigration, and endogenous capabilities.
If it were unassailable, the US wouldn't be all about China, and all about stopping Chinese tech innovation. Trump started saying that China was advancing by stealing IP. By Biden, Raimondo already dropped all pretenses and said that the US and EU must work together to slow Chinese innovation. Their panic betrays your false confidence.
US universities such as Berkeley, Stanford, UCLA, UIUC, GaTech, CMU, JHU, MIT, etc get a ton of foreign students because of their domestic capabilities. Even China now wants foreign talents to stay in Chuna but lel.
And a ton of them go back after graduation of work experience.
TSMC has forced FDI in Arizona and Samsung has forced FDI in Texas
We're talking about the current situation of the US being refused by these 2 companies to provide information. The Arizona plant is snagged actually and nowhere near where the US was hoping it would move forward. Present the Samsung article and let's see.
 
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manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Euros don't have high-tech is an odd take given say, Euro aerospace, machine tools, chemicals, biotech, shipbuilding, automotive, optical, etc. Weaker in ICT, sure but that's not the only high-tech field. ASML, Airbus, Air Liquide, AkzoNobel, BASF, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Leonardo, Merck, Elekta, Fincanteri, Evonik, Rolls-Royce, Sanofi, Thales, etc.
Ugh... not ALL Euros; you have to read English. Those things come from a select few countries but there are many countries in the EU, which consists of over 30 countries, that enjoy a high standard of living without being at the cutting edge of technology.
Wrong. Japan kept innovating and that is why the US just harvested EUV photoresists from Japanese chemical firms as well some equipment tech it will harvest
Link articles. As far as I can tell, the US asked Samsung and TSMC. It sent no request to any Japanese company.
The US shoved the USSR into the ground and caused it to collapse, then steal its technology
Nice bully fantasy but actually the US dared not touch the Soviet Union but tricked it into mismanagement and stole its tech as a vulture does. It never bullied Russia into handing over anything.
No, they don't. Their high-tech trade with China is more voluminous than their high-tech trade with the United States.
Now you have yourself in a catch 22. If you maintain that trade is synonymous with tech cooperation, then it is China who harvests the most, not the US. If you say that trade is trade and cooperation is different, then the US would harm itself by draining them.
And the US will just import more high-skilled migrants.
At a slower rate than China can grow and bring them home.
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. Eh, honestly dependent on the scientific field and country. A lot of them have very heavy collaboration with China.
You just showed me a link that says the US is more reliant on cooperation than anyone else.
Speed and acceleration don't matter when you are hopelessly behind.
That is so incredibly stupid and wrong. First of all, China is nowhere near hopelessly behind; China is the leader in several technologies today and it is chopping down America's door with the US huddled and desperately calling for allies in the other areas.

Regardless of this, from a pure logic point of view, speed and acceleration will always defeat positional lead, as long as the endpoint is not defined too close to the leading position. There is no endpoint in tech competition.
They can complain but they are going to comply.
As of now, they have not and everyone has their lines. And this request is not even a TOT; this is just some logistics data. Wait for the TOT request.
The US holds all the cards, esp. given their dependence on Applied Materials, KLA, and Lam Research. TSMC didn't want to comply with not shipping to Huawei until the US made it with the FDPR.
If they are ultimately forced, the individual engineers are more easily hired by Chinese from their bitterness. The US can gain a positional advantage, but position is a short term solution to the long term challenge of speed and acceleration.
My point is that stealing is a sustainable way of increasing strength.
It is, and China does some too, but my point is that stealing is only a supplement to self-innovation. An overreliance on theft will succumb you to an enemy who has superior inner power.
The vast majority of them stay in the United States.
We just did this with your other account summing up that some 80-90% of Chinese going back to China.
The TSMC Arizona plant is going as planned.
Incorrect.
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As for Samsung. The US will steal and plunder in multiple ways: forced FDI, forced information requests, legal warfare through sanctions/FCPA/etc. It's quite beautiful, really
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Estimated to operate in 2024. Then we'll see how fast the US can steal. At this rate, it's stealing slower than China can innovate. And also, you are conflating FDI with TOT. There is no given that the US will take the tech in that plant and it's even more questionable if they can do it in time before China overtakes it.
A final note on scientific collaborations: China needs them more than the United States because China has less of developed scientific infrastructure and capabilities as well as operating from a lesser level. So even when the US collaborates more with a particular partner, the % impact that ending those collaborations for China has could be substantially more for China than the United States - disparate impact, so to speak
No, the US needs them more because the US depends on foreigners holding up its scientific fields. China already as an extremely powerful scientific base and the highest STEM population in the world to keep building with.
 
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Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
A final note on scientific collaborations: China needs them more than the United States because China has less of developed scientific infrastructure and capabilities as well as operating from a lesser level. So even when the US collaborates more with a particular partner, the % impact that ending those collaborations for China has could be substantially more for China than the United States - disparate impact, so to speak
I think you should check on where the top papers are coming from. In some fields China is already dominating, while on others it is quickly catching up.

What you are saying about scientific infrastructure was true 20 years ago and maybe 10 or even 5 years ago. Today, universities are setting up new departments and labs with brand new cutting edge equipment waiting for advanced research to be made.

Also, many national and regional scientific laboratories have been set up with a lot of budget available to research on their own specialised fields.

In fact, foreign researchers are coming to China to perform their research due to high budgets allocated to them, while also having good scientific infrastructure and most importantly, there are a lot of Chinese PhD researchers who want to do actual research with them instead of just drawing a salary every month

TLDR: You dont anything about the state of scientific research in China
 
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