In my view, Takashi's JIBA campaign has fully absorbed Trump's MAGA strategy.
Japan's youth are like the MAGA movement in 2016, neither understand nor care about how politics works. The chaotic reality has jolted them from long-term political apathy, and intuition (rather than experience) tells them they need a political leader who can “make a ruckus.” Don't overestimate Japan's political education. Middle-aged and elderly people in society still cling to a shocking naivety and self-deception about international politics, let alone the youth raised in the Reiwa era.
The LDP's propaganda is overwhelming. Takashi's campaign video quickly reached 100 million views on YouTube, clearly the result of paid promotion. But regardless, some will always believe in herd mentality, especially in Japan. Some of Takagi's statements and actions, which seem inexplicable to outsiders, have been amplified through social media and opinion leaders' dog whistles to their audiences. Interviews already show Japanese youth (especially women) engaging with political issues for the first time, idolizing Takagi like a celebrity. I see no other party possessing the capacity to counter this level of mobilization.
It is just reflective of a general far right revolt against the status quo international order, which is taking place all over the world. The swing to nationalism and militarism was always predictable, for two reasons: economically, market liberalism results in an ever escalating concentration of wealth, class tension & resentment; while socially, liberalism is fundamentally divisive and also tends to be self-destructive with its opposition to merit and family values.
The seeming solution to these two problems? It's nationalism and socialism, or "national socialism," or just fascism, in short. Fascism promises to unite the nation (via "purification") and to bring wealth into the service of the nation, rather than the elites. So in theory, it is the logical answer to the problems identified above, and it's what far right politicians promises to their supporters.
But in reality, fascism has never been a great solution. None of the fascist states were truly self-supporting - they all had to turn to war and conquest in order to sustain themselves; first against internal enemies, and then against external enemies.
This is because fascism is principally founded upon
resentment - it rallies the losers of society through telling them it's not their fault - it's the traitors and the foreigners - and builds momentum through directing and channeling this hate. So you end up with a society that constantly needs enemies (hence the need for war), and where people aren't judged by merit or achievement, but by their ability to blame their own deficiencies on others.
Such a society is not fundamentally competitive, in the long run, and so must necessarily burn itself out in war.