Miscellaneous News
- Thread starter bd popeye
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The plan is in high gear. Biden today confirmed that the US would militarily protect Taiwan so expect more provocations by Taipei and the US ostensibly to goad China
I don't think anything is going to happen, this is just a repeat of their vague provocative statement that will get clarified or retracted later. The leaders in China won't be goaded to armed reunification over these silly tricks, unless the military or geopolitical reality changes on the ground.
The current Taiwan administration should be more focused on their pandemic response, instead of playing this game, unless they wanna take a massive hit at their chances of their party winning the next election. Same goes with Biden over economy and Ukraine.
Already walked back but strategic ambiguity no longer exists. Let's not kid ourselves
And absolutely nothing changed, just gave China more reason and excuse to act more aggressive, well done Biden.
Imagine you're neither US or China, and you keep seeing US doing this, say something then immediately walk back, does that look like the expected behavior of a self-confident hegemon?
Going one step further, we know US is doing provocation just as they did with Ukraine, to provoke China into taking military action so they can then play the economic war game. Nevermind that it didn't work against Russia so is even less likely to work against China, the number 1 flaw in that plan is they don't actually control Tsai the same way that they control Zelenskyy.
Tsai is many things, power hungry, money grabbing, but also observant of world affairs and understands the relation between big countries and smaller countries much better compared to Zelenskyy. Notice how she use to make a lot of noise about independence, but even since the US jumped into this has she done anything? Any plans to change the constitutions?
As hard as the US is trying to push her to make a move she's just hanging around eating popcorn like a random person from the street. I get the feeling she well knows where the red line is and does not in fact believe in Taiwanese Independence and only uses it a a political banner. That's why die hard independantists in her party doesn't like her and are trying to expose the thing with her university degree.
I don't think she really is a CPC agent, but she sure acts like one at times.
This thing is going to a dangerous place. Biden nowadays says stup*d things everywhere all the way to calling other presidents with wrong names. But this is serious stuff. The end of ambiguity may trigger extreme reactions from China. I hope I am wrong but we may watch a Ukraine 2 before 2025. China at the gov level probably sees the economy as something that can be built later. The CPC may very well decide Taiwan is inducing too much uncertainty in China's future and that conquering it is the best course. If Biden doesn't walk back from this like it did the previous time China would challenge this soon.
Edit: Turns out they had already done:
Edit: Turns out they had already done:
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Its mentioned in the previous post that they walked back.
But it wouldn't change much since China is preparing their military with the expectation of US intervening, do they think that China would fall for their ambiguity nonsense? As for when a war might happen, I don't think we'll see one in the foreseeable future, unless there's a big change in military or geopolitical reality, like Taiwan being given a nuke or the US planning to do a first strike.
solarz
Brigadier
If the US was preparing to defend Taiwan, they wouldn't be trying to get Taiwan to fight a guerilla war.