I actually think that in the near future, the U.S. will step on the red lines of China and/or Russia in order to assuage allies in the West Pacific and Europe. Said measures may be excessive and will be an attempt to overcompensate for the perceived failures in Afghanistan. The Tsai government will feel reassured after those measures have been implemented, at least for the short term.
My prediction is based on the reactionary approach the Biden administration has taken to geopolitical issues. We’ll see shortly whether they are realized.
I came to the same conclusion; plus, the fact that he’s under the old white man’s assumption/delusion that AmerKKKa was once morally righteous and justified, and will be, again, under his guidance.
1. The White Man Burden is strong like the force in those Biden bozos. That is to be expected.
2. The wind is blowing the other way. Does not matter if White Man Burden exists or not.
In Central Asia, after the fall of Saigon, the east is rising the west is in decline. Also with the Iran-China 25 year deal, and the BRI, not sure what the Americans can hope to do to reverse all this integration of the Eurasian land mass.
3. No one controls the battlefield.
Who is to say the Russians or Chinese will move aggressive against US interests somewhere first?
China signed the RCEP with the region. Immediately, the Chinese agree with the EU on the Comprehensive Agreement on Investment. Ironically the CAI then being put on ice, makes the Americans wait too, taking away their power.
The key issue between China-EU-America is still Huawei 5G.
The Germans will elect someone to replace Merkel next month. If nothing changes there and the Germans allow Huawei 5G, then does not matter how much muscle flexing the Americans can or will do, it will not impress anyone.