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GZDRefugee

Junior Member
Registered Member
Spicy, are we going to have a EU-China trade war? Hope EU can last a bit longer than Trump
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EU considers sanctions over China's raw materials blockade


Torture chamber? Better take care of the soon-to-become (love this word) "ghost" factories of VW and rest of your automotive industry and then start dreaming about your kinky fantasies


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Germany and France Back China Trade Discussion at EU Summit​

>China cuts off access to some critical supplies
>Block off more supplies of your own volition
>???
>Win?
 

FriedButter

Brigadier
Registered Member
hmmmm, whoever could it be, Mr Bhadrakumar? in other news, Indian challenge not to dry hump trump, failed

The Russians are now aware the Indians lied to them a week ago. This has to be directed at India.

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India, US trade deal likely soon, huge tariff cuts on the horizon​

New Delhi: India and the US are closing in on a long-pending trade deal that could slash the current tariffs for Indian exports to 15-16% from a punishing 50%, according to three people aware of the matter.

With energy and agriculture emerging as key cards at the negotiating table, India may agree to gradually reduce its imports of Russian oil, the people cited above said on condition of anonymity. The purchases had prompted a punitive levy of 25% on Indian exports, which is over and above the 25% reciprocal tariffs announced in April.

Currently, Russia accounts for about 34% of India’s crude imports. About 10% (by value) of the country's current oil and gas needs are imported from the US.

India may also allow in more non-genetically modified (GM) American corn and soymeal into its markets. Further, it is pushing for a mechanism to revisit tariffs and market access over time in the agreement.

A key factor at play is China’s increasing assertiveness on trade, tariffs and American corn. China has sharply reduced US corn imports from $5.2 billion in 2022 to just $331 million in 2024. And with overall US corn exports falling from $18.57 billion in 2022 to $13.7 billion in 2024, Washington is aggressively seeking new buyers.

According to the people cited above, India is considering increasing the quota for importing non-GM maize from the US, even though the duty on these imports will remain unchanged at 15%. The current quota of American corn imports is 0.5 million tonnes annually.

New Delhi is likely to consider the US request to allow greater market access for American corn in response to rising domestic demand from poultry feed, dairy inputs, and ethanol industries, the persons cited above said.

“Talks are also advancing on permitting imports of non-GM soymeal for both human and livestock consumption. However, there is still no final clarity on tariff reductions for dairy products, including high-end cheese, even though it is a key demand from the US team,” said the second person.

The people cited earlier said that the finalisation of BTA is likely to be announced at the ASEAN Summit later this month between US president Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi. However, neither has yet officially confirmed their participation in the summit.

Queries emailed on 19 October to Union commerce minister Piyush Goyal, commerce secretary Rajesh Agarwal, the spokespersons of ministries of commerce and external affairs, and the USTR remained unanswered till press time.

In response to a media query, the US Embassy in New Delhi said, “The embassy defers to the USTR on all inquiries regarding trade negotiations.”

According to the people cited earlier, the broad contours of the agreement are in place, but sensitive areas such as agriculture and energy need political clearance before the deal can be announced.

From India’s side, the deal is being negotiated by the commerce ministry along with the external affairs ministry and the national security adviser’s office.

While both sides have previously announced and missed deadlines, the Indian side is aiming for a November 2025 conclusion.

The makings of a deal

On energy, the Indian side is considering allowing ethanol imports and gradually reducing purchases of Russian oil, with Washington expected to extend concessions on energy trade in return, said the first of the three officials cited above.

The Indian side may not make any formal announcement on this front. Instead, state-run oil marketing companies are expected to be informally advised to diversify crude sourcing towards the US, this person said.

The third person said that top Indian officials have visited Moscow and conveyed to their Russian counterparts that India will reduce crude imports from Russia. This person added that the White House has not yet agreed to match the discounts offered by Russia.

Earlier, officials in the US administration made it clear that President Trump has set stopping Russian oil imports as a precondition for finalizing the trade deal, as reported by Mint on 25 September.

To be sure, a Bloomberg report dated 8 October pointed to the slimming discounts from Russian crude. “The price gap between Russian and benchmark crude has narrowed sharply—from over $23 a barrel in 2023 to just $2–2.50 per barrel as of mid-October—making Middle Eastern and US crude more competitive,” the report said.

As a result, India saved a modest $3.8 billion in FY25 on its oil purchases as the discount on Russian crude shrank, the Bloomberg report said, citing credit rating agency Icra Limited.

On 15 October, commerce secretary Agarwal had said that India is open to increasing its crude and gas imports from the US if prices remain viable for domestic refiners, as reported by Mint that day.

India, on average, imports $12–13 billion worth of crude oil and gas from the US every year. There is headroom for an additional $12–13 billion in purchases without requiring any changes to refinery configurations, Agarwal had said, adding that India will consider buying more energy products, keeping in view the cost dynamics.

Overall, India imported crude worth $137 billion in the previous financial year (FY25) compared to $133.4 billion in FY24, according to data from the Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell.

As per the commerce ministry data, bilateral trade between India and the US stood at $71.41 billion in H1 FY26, up by 11.8% from $63.89 billion in H1 FY25. Exports to the US grew by 13.4%, rising from $40.42 billion in H1 FY25 to $45.82 billion, while imports increased by 9% from $23.47 billion to $25.59 billion.

Analysts cautious

Trade experts believe the US now appears ready for a deal with India, especially driven by China’s hardening stance.

“China’s tighter control over rare-earth exports and the deepening US–China trade war are forcing Washington to rethink its strategy with allies as it seeks reliable partners to build alternative supply chains,” said Ajay Srivastava, co-founder of the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI), adding that this could accelerate a deal with India, with “the US likely offering 16–18% tariff access — higher than the 15% for the EU and Japan, but below the 20% for Vietnam”.

However, D.N. Pathak, executive director of the Soybean Processors Association of India (SOPA), said allowing soymeal imports from the US will not be a good move for the domestic sector.

“Farmers are already struggling to get even the minimum support price for their produce, and any relaxation for foreign soyameal will push domestic prices down further," Pathak said. “Such a move could hurt local processors and discourage soybean cultivation at a time when the sector is already under pressure.”

A senior industry person from the corn sector said that even though India already has surplus ethanol production, allowing American corn into the market could help move the trade deal forward. However, this may lower corn prices in India, even as it creates a chance for ethanol exporters to export more in global markets.

GTRI’s Srivastava said the deal may move fast because Washington wants to give relief to India from the 50% tariffs that are currently hurting its exports. “Still, India must hold firm on its red lines in agriculture, digital trade, e-commerce, and intellectual property, and avoid any anti-China clauses that could limit its strategic autonomy,” he said.

“The agreement is likely to include a review mechanism that would allow both countries to revisit tariff levels and market access conditions after a fixed period, possibly a year, or as mutually agreed upon. The provision is being designed to ensure flexibility for future trade adjustments as market conditions evolve,” the second person added.
Trump: Modi said India will capitulate.
India: No, we didn’t. That phone call never happened.
Also India: We are planning to announce our capitulation.

Reminds me of Operation Sindoor. PR Smoke and Mirrors.

Now we know who is going to buy US soybeans and propping up US farmers at the expense of Indian farmers (45% of workforce)

India may also allow in more non-genetically modified (GM) American corn and soymeal into its markets. New Delhi is likely to consider the US request to allow greater market access for American corn
India may agree to gradually reduce its imports of Russian oil, the people cited above said on condition of anonymity. “Talks are also advancing on permitting imports of non-GM soymeal for both human and livestock consumption.”
On energy, the Indian side is considering allowing ethanol imports and gradually reducing purchases of Russian oil, with Washington expected to extend concessions on energy trade in return,
 
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Randomuser

Captain
Registered Member
The Russians are now aware the Indians lied to them a week ago. This has to be directed at India.

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Reminds me of Operation Sindoor. PR Smoke and Mirrors.

Now we know who is going to buy US soybeans and propping up US farmers at the expense of Indian farmers (45% of workforce)
So did Trump get what he wanted?
 

Expert1324

Junior Member
Registered Member
Seems like some of you guy's reply to my this comment were somehow not notified to me. And all of you guys' comment were so Anti-China and Pro-Russian I feel that I must make a reply!

Ukraine only had tiny blips of actual independence over the last several hundred years. And they do share a cultural matrix with Russia.
Ok, good and so what? As I said, at the end of the day, the fact is that Ukraine is a sovereign nation that is internationally recognized, including Russia itself. Russia recognized it on its own accord without any duress or under unequal terms, that is literally what they did. So IDK what is the argument here and how is that relevant here.
Your argument that Ukraine legitimately owned Crimea is also tenuous.
No, it is not my job to argue for Ukraine or for Russia. Nor do I care about that. That is NOT my argument.

I just simply stand by the facts: All I know is that Russia recognized Crimea as a part of Ukraine on its own accord without any duress or under any unequal terms. So why did they do that then? well, I don't know. They really should not have done that, but they did! so who is to blame? And is this somehow your burden to twist against blatant facts and logic (even contradictory to China's own interest) to argue for them? Are you Russian?

Also, as far as I know, the "Crimean referendum" occurs after Russian's invasion of Ukraine in 2014. And when I say "Russian's invasion of Ukraine in 2014", I am not saying it as a western rhetoric, I say this as a factual statement as Russia does indeed recognized Ukraine (inclusive of Crimea) as an independent sovereign country before 2014. So are you saying that a foreign nation, can just invade another internationally recognized sovereign nation, make a foreign-organized puppet referendum and it should be somehow deemed as valid? Do you know how fking insane and dumb this sounds???

Are you also aware the number of countless parallels this kind of BS can be drawn against China if we accept such a BS imperialist logic??? (Such as foreign infiltration in our Taiwan province or even the false British organised conference when they invaded Tibet). There is a reason China is smart to be consistent with logic, and all our claim are all legal to the point where Sinophobes can only resort to smearing when they want to talk shit. This is just basic fundamentals of legality and principles, Russia is imperialistic and does not care any of that, so why would it be your burden to defend them for the path they had chosen to take?
Ukraine also forefeited any right to peaceful co-existence with Russia when they tore down the neutrality clauses in their constitution.
You misunderstand, Ukraine ceased to be a sovereign nation after NATO coup and occupation in 2014, Russia is simply trying to free Ukraine from NATO occupation so they can return to being a sovereign independent country.
I really want to agree with this, and NATO is a fking shameless organization.

But let's be objective here, we really need to understand what a sovereign nation means. Regardless how much we hate what government a certain foreign country elects, we just simply cannot argue a foreign invasion is somehow a valid move, because that is literally a foreign nation. You guys are completely repeating nationalistic Russian talking points! And look, it is OK to support Russia due to common interest, I do support them to an extent, but as I said, we cannot support them fully and must be cautious where to draw the line. Let alone going full on pro-Russia mode even against Chinese interest! That is not acceptable.

A neighboring country to China, such as Thailand or Myanmar, if installed a government that is extremely Anti-China, that alone does not make it right for us to invade them, or will it make them suddenly "ceased to be a sovereign nation", unless 3rd party foreign boots had already been on the ground or it turned aggressive in a quantifiable way, if not you can only play political games. Our actions had always been consistent with this logic!

However, you could argue that Western countries did the same things as Russia like invading Iraq, but that is literally condemnable just like Russia! This just proved that both of them are imperialistic nations and we are nothing like them!
Ukraine just made neutral and pro-Russia parties illegal after 2014. The current regime came through power in a foreign sponsored coup. The government is illegitimate in the first place.
Russia should be doing a huge infiltration operation to rigg Ukraine back on favorable grounds, go ahead and sponsor a new coup or anything similar.

But NO, the Russians are too damn lazy to go the false "moral" and "justifiable" pretentious route which is a way smarter tactic politically, that is how every smart nation plays. Russians are impatient and strategically unrefined, why should we be sacrificing our own legitimate positions for their own self-chosen apathy towards international political maneuvering?

So all our efforts in political maneuvering all these years for our own self-interest, showing huge restrains against flat out naked military actions, and staying on consistent logic and legitimate frameworks, should all be thrown down the drain for Russia? So I ask you again, are you Russian?
Russia has held Ukraine as part of its Empire for longer than the US has existed. Modern Russia would have accepted an independent neutral Ukraine, but not an hostile member of an aggressive expansionistic military block.
Then Russia should not have anyhow recognised Ukraine willingly and also without duress or any unequal terms then. Should've written those things in the requirement for Ukrainian independence. Your own political missteps are not our duty to remedy. Seriously, I already said this multiple times!
What is sacred about post 1945 internationally recognized borders? In fact, post 1945 borders have immense injustice, just as you stated about Russia.

Russia uses your exact logic applied to Ukraine.
Either post 1945 borders are all solid and can't be touched or borders are fluid and nobody has any rights other than what they can defend. Can't have it both ways.
Absolutely not the same, our lands were stolen by illegal invasions and treaties made under unequal terms!!! Both are fundamentally different, DO NOT make the false equivalence between Russia and China. One is for expansionism while the other is simply seeking justice and righting wrongs.

Also, I never mentioned about 1945 boundaries! You are putting words in my mouth and making false equivalences, all for defending Russia! I always talked about the invasions and unequal treaties signed during the Century of Humiliation of China, as well as the Soviet infiltration in Outer-Mongolia and balkanizing of China, these are very condemnable imperialistic moves done against us! I never once mentioned 1945 boundaries! In fact 1945 boundaries is not even relevant as USSR is a big player in 1945, they did not sign any kind of unequal treaty like China did!!!

I DO NOT remember Russia had made any decision or signed any treaties regarding Ukraine from a position of duress or unequal terms. Russian were always dominant from the start, especially in 1945, and they choose their own path. And now dragging our very legitimate position down to their level to make up for Russia's own political mistakes and lack of political maneuvering is something only a Russian and a Sinophobe would do!

I am absolutely disappointed in every single one of your comments, you are basically defending Russian with delusions and bad logics, even at the detriment of China. If you tell me you are Russian, I might understand why you say these things, if not, then that is really a huge shame and disappointment!
 

Clango

New Member
Registered Member
The Russians are now aware the Indians lied to them a week ago. This has to be directed at India.

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Reminds me of Operation Sindoor. PR Smoke and Mirrors.

Now we know who is going to buy US soybeans and propping up US farmers at the expense of Indian farmers (45% of workforce)
lmfao I can't believe modi is actually footing the bill at the expense of his own people
 

Randomuser

Captain
Registered Member
They don’t treat a large segment of their population as people though.
Yeah. A lot people seem to forget this. While Indians boast about being a superpowa, big family or whatever, the guys on top would happily sacrifice millions of them to die in some eclipse event for even a small benefit. Psychos do this everywhere but India's caste system makes it a lot easier to justify and make any excuses to comply with law. Also the west will turn a blind eye. Despite what western media claims, the government in China cannot screw over it's people right now as easily and think it will get away without receiving some real damage. They might think that since they look down on it's people.
 
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manqiangrexue

Brigadier
The Dutch need to reinstate the board of Nexperia with all Chinese executives and then move the HQ back to China. Otherwise no more exports of Nexperia products from China.
Nah, not good enough. This chicken needs to die as an example. Don't give them an off ramp, even if they beg with no conditions or threats. Slowly choke the life out of them; the world is better with Western industries gone. They're still trying to talk tough now.
 
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