plawolf
Lieutenant General
China has been in active war prep for at least the last decade. It’s only that the signs are finally becoming unmistakable to the idiots leading the west.
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- Thread starter bd popeye
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China has been in active war prep for at least the last decade. It’s only that the signs are finally becoming unmistakable to the idiots leading the west.
@enroger This is exactly what I mean by a population and leadership that is fundamentally tired, conservative and unwilling to budge.
They are trying the same 1980s tricks for a world that has long since moved on and the game has already fundamentally changed for years. The same tricks only work twice on those who are willfully blind.
manqiangrexue
Brigadier
LMFAO, that's the equivalent of combing through Trump's sofa cushions and vacuuming his rug to get the last of his food crumbs. Do they really think Trump hasn't already exhausted everything in the pantry and fridge trying to budge China in the trade wars?
The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.
You know, we have the ongoing destruction of the US industry on the one hand, coincide with the inevitable AI bubble burst in the near future.... it is not going to be pretty
China used it back in 2012, it's been 13 years.
The common fallacy is China is a competitor and Chinese dominance come from being competitive, so if China doesn't play someone else can. Reality is China IS the game, the modern world that is defined by the abundance of extremely advanced materials can only exist because China and only China has the industrial capacity to make them abundant.
this misplace assumption that only secular can excel in STEM they may be less in number but they can be extremely bright. You still need tech (surveillance, decision support systems) to win elections and maintain power. Putin has been dealing with them since his teacher and Putin is bright because of this interaction but Ukraine conflict was shock to him. now there is more effective layers of screening that include Belarus.
I have a different take.
The Chinese leadership has to assume the West has the capability to build up their rare earth supply chain (not saying it will), thus the rare earth card has a shelf life. Playing this card means Chinese leadership considers there is considerable risk of the West starting a war against China in the next few years and want to discourage that for as long as possible, while China build up her arsenal and be ready when the time comes.
Yup. That's exactly my take too. The next 10 or 20 years are a critical point when the West would be most tempted to take the most extreme measures to reverse this situation. There is no better time to play the RE card than now. Let's not forget, even after the supply chain is reproduced, it will take time to rearm.