Japanese ships disrupted Chinese naval exercises

montyp165

Junior Member
Similarly, unless the Japanese actually fire the first shot, and likely even if they did, any violence would be blamed entirely on China irrespective of the facts. So short of returning fire after being attacked, any escalation into actual violence would be a loss for China and should be avoided at all costs.

Although I feel that China needs to avoid unnecessary conflicts wherever possible, from my own readings from western websites of varying types (from yahoo to alt history forums etc) it isn't automatically assumed from the public at large about China being the bad guy even if Japan shot first if western media biases try to portray China as the aggressor. A good example again is how the Georgia-Russia conflict was handled, in the end maintaining one's position and having the domestic support for it is far more important than whatever foreign media spins may be. This doesn't mean China should ignore counter-media activities to negate hostile propaganda in any event.
 

volleyballer

Banned Idiot
By the way, is it possible that the JMSDF engaged their EW suite and was active interfering with PLAN ships sensors/communication? Could this be why the Chinese got so agitated?
 

rhino123

Pencil Pusher
VIP Professional
By the way, is it possible that the JMSDF engaged their EW suite and was active interfering with PLAN ships sensors/communication? Could this be why the Chinese got so agitated?

If that is the case, the Chinese shouldn't feel too agitated. They could lodge a formal complaint but through this issues, they should also reviewed their EW defence suite and exercise. In actuality, they should thank the Japanese in showing them their weaknesses and since it is not wartime, the Chinese could refine their strategies and tactics, as well as the EW defences....
 

Blackstone

Brigadier
jacksprat;252911Orig posted by PLAWOLF

The truth might be that the Chinese leaders are "not so enslaved to public opinion" because they control what the public reads, sees and hears in the public media and on the internet.
Dude, wake up and smell the bacon; this isn't your father's CCP and ordinary Chinese citizens have a great deal of freedom, compared to their fathers in Mao's era.

Its pretty much a propaganda campaign and both China and Japan are playing it full tilt both to achieve their own ends. The truth is very likely somewhere in the middle...
We finally agree on something.

... but is very hard to discern due to all the noise being generated by personal biases and long standing historical grudges and nationalistic attitudes, not only from the government and medias involved, but by some of the participants in this forum.
Of course, you include yourself, yes?
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
You're assuming that if such an incident occurs, it will be clear who fired the first shot. That is far from true. Take for example the FC radar lock incident, almost every west-sourced news article points out that a ship's captain would be justified in firing first if he finds himself painted by a FC radar.

This is why China needs to start working on documenting Japanese provocations. If violence ever erupts, the more hard evidence China can present to the world, the more difficult it will be for certain interest groups to spin it against China.

What I'm saying is that China should not count on the fact that Japan won't fire the first shot.

It doesn't matter what the facts are in documentations, what plawolf trying to say is the bias western media would spin it or will start accusing China for not taking the initiative to cooperate with its neighbors for more peaceful friendly terms even though the Japanese navy was the guilty one for initiating the problem in the first place.
 

antiterror13

Brigadier
The thing is ... now the Chinese have a very good reason (a precedent) to do exactly the same to any Japanese naval exercise ..... time will tell :)
 

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
And who drew the line at actual endangering another ship?
Hazarding another vessel is fairly well defined, wolf.

That is a pretty low bar to set, and I am sure you would feel very differently if it was an American fleet and exercise that was being harassed and interfered with.
I saw it over and over during the Cold War with the Russians. And unless they actually hazarded the vessel, or (as they did in some cases) collided with the vessel, we in the US knew that this was part of the game of being on the high seas in international waters and having an adversary trying to gain intelligence on you.

The Chinese are now getting out on the high seas and will see the same. Again, if a vessel is actually hazarded, meaning there is a clear danger of collision if one or the other vessel does not take drastic action, and that action on both parts could still have them bump or collide, then that is grounds for very significant complain, censure, and warning.

In the US vs Russian case there were several times when sailors were actually killed in such antics...yet there was no war or firing. This led to the agreements that the US and Soviets made in the 70s to help avoid such drastic issues. it did not however keep vessels from gathering intelligence and interfering in exercise zones...it did establish clear rules about hazarding one another.

The Japanese operate very much on US doctrine and I imagine they are following those rules.

For example, if the PLAN deployed targets for naval gun fire or missile firing practice and the IJN ship put itself in between the Chinese fleet and those targets, would the PLAN be able to carry on with the live fire exercise? That does not create any navigational hazards by your extremely narrow standard, so is that not harassing and being provocative?
In that case the JMSDF vessel would be hazarding itself and no sane captain would do such a thing. The Chinese would also indicate in their release and publication regarding those firing zones.



just how would video of the ship sailing beside the Chinese fleet prove anything?
Come on Wolf, you are better than this. They could easily show their release to the public about their planned fire exercise, and then show the video with the time and date stamp, and the senor data showing the location. This would show that a JMSDF vessel hazarded itself by plowing into a planned fire zone in the manner you indicated.

What differentiate this from the normal kind of harassment from the IJN is that this time it seems the Japanese crossed the line from merely closely monitoring to actively interfering with what the PLAN was doing, and that was what drew the strong official reaction from Beijing.
You do not know that. The Chinese say they were provoked, but have not said they were collided with, hazarded, or that the JMSDF tried to collide with them. The Japanese say they simply monitored the exercise closely for three days.

If the Chinese want us to believe otherwise, show us the evidence. Damaged vessels, videos, data. If they do, and it is clear the JMSDF did this, then the censor holds and action should be taken and a captain relieved.

But if they do not, then we must presume that the Japanese ignored a PLAN zone on the high seas in international waters and that the JMSDF captain got as close as he could to fulfill his mission without hazarding or damaging anything.
 

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
Well, IMHO, this so-called technical point also demonstrates that all the points made by the author are also based on political spin, and to support their assertions that the Japanese are trying to provoke a war. Hogwash.

100 ships, really?

Let's just analyze that statement.

I assume it would include smaller FACs, submarines, smaller auxiliaries, and other assets (aircraft?) as well, not just large ocean going surface ships?

That said, the article's content can definitely be challenged in some areas.


Funny you mentioned that. Please define close enough. Japan has a huge "air defense identification zone" that is very very close to China
ryoukuu8ew.jpg


Japan scramble jets whenever another military plane enters the zone. How on earth one can say China is being aggressive when they send her jets just outside of her doorsteps?

Edit:
Another map from the same
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:

japanadiz2wo.jpg

Dotted lines are the disputed EEZ and the solid red line is the air defense identification zone

Unfortunately close maritime proximity of east asian countries means everyone wants a big buffer zone lol...


But Japan will have to get used to increased PLAAF and PLAN presence as they transit beyond the first island chain. Of course there are other routes they can take as well, but fact is that's the quickest out into the open pacific.
Not every transit between Japanese islands are a political statement.
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
I assume it would include smaller FACs, submarines, smaller auxiliaries, and other assets (aircraft?) as well, not just large ocean going surface ships?

That said, the article's content can definitely be challenged in some areas.




Unfortunately close maritime proximity of east asian countries means everyone wants a big buffer zone lol...


But Japan will have to get used to increased PLAAF and PLAN presence as they transit beyond the first island chain. Of course there are other routes they can take as well, but fact is that's the quickest out into the open pacific.
Not every transit between Japanese islands are a political statement.

I think a lot of this has to do with the irresponsible media spinning things out of control. "Chinese fleet enroute to international waters for exercise" just doesn't have the same vibe as "Chinese fleet trespassing between Japanese islands", especially in light of recent disputes over the Diaoyu Island. Then we got unscrupulous politicians cashing in on this by making bellicose statements. Basically a vicious cycle.
 

solarz

Brigadier
It doesn't matter what the facts are in documentations, what plawolf trying to say is the bias western media would spin it or will start accusing China for not taking the initiative to cooperate with its neighbors for more peaceful friendly terms even though the Japanese navy was the guilty one for initiating the problem in the first place.

That is far from certain. Look at Snowden and Syria. Two typical examples of how mainstream western media tried to create a spin, and the public just didn't buy it. Even if public opinion is 50-50, that's enough to deter any military action.
 
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