ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
one month after, I looked at posts since I had left because of conspiracies here:

Feb 18, 2016


how condescending ... and today:


am leaving this Thread for good
hmm, I don't see a point that you are making.

There are two points that you are "attacking", 1. the claim of SA and Turkey being delusional of invading Syria. 2. the claim that they are finding excuses. What is your percieved contradiction in the two points? SA and Turkey is searching and have produced excuses in their acts in Syria, but searching/producing/possessing excuses do not make them not delusional. Contrary to what you implied, taking excuses to do something one is not supposed to do (for their own sake) is exactly very delusional, because that one person is far away from the reality. So, educate us how you come up with your logic, humour us where is the irony?
 

bruceb1959

Junior Member
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it may well be that Palmyra is on the cusp of being recaptured. what is interesting ( to me at least) is the suggestion that the SAA ( and allies) attack at Palmyra is potentially being coordinated by IRGC advisors, and that the SAA attacks are also being coordinated with Iraqi attcks on Isil in the Al-‘Anbar Governorate.
 

nicky

Junior Member
russians issued an ultimatum to ... the usa: either they cooperate with the truce issues in the joint commission or bombing resume tuesday.
 
Either a bluff or a slippery slope for Russia. With its economy in bad shape and multiple other players with more resources, differences, and staying power because they are local, it would be wise for Russia to stay out while it's ahead.
 

nicky

Junior Member
new birds just arrived

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delft

Brigadier
From Yahoo:
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Syria regime digs in on Assad as Hezbollah vows to fight on

Geneva (AFP) - Syria's peace talks hit a fresh impasse over President Bashar al-Assad Monday, as the head of Lebanon's Hezbollah vowed his Shiite movement would keep fighting alongside the regime until Islamic State jihadists are defeated.

The UN's Syria envoy, Staffan de Mistura, said he had pressured Damacus to outline its approach to the crucial issue of a political transition, as negotiations in Geneva entered their second week.

De Mistura said the regime's lead negotiator Bashar al-Jaafari told him "it was... premature to talk about it. My message was (that) premature (for him) means imminent as far as we are concerned".

Assad's fate has been a key obstacle in the latest talks aimed at ending Syria's devastating five-year war, which has killed more than 270,000 people and displaced millions.

A partial ceasefire brought in last month had raised hopes for an end to the violence, which were further fuelled when Russia -- a key backer of Assad -- announced last week it would withdraw most of its troops from Syria.

But tensions have flared since, with Moscow accusing the US of "unacceptable" delays in agreeing how to punish those who break the ceasefire and warning it could resort to force against violators.

There have also been concerns about whether any peace deal could be enforced on Syria's complex battlefields, and Hezbollah vowed to stay in Syria until the Islamic State group (IS) and Al-Qaeda's Syria branch are beaten.

"All that has been said about our withdrawal from Syria is false," Hezbollah's leader Hassan Nasrallah told Lebanese channel Al-Mayadeen on Monday.

"We went to Syria to help keep the country from falling into the hands of Daesh (IS) and Al-Nusra Front... So long as we have a responsibility to be there, we will be there."

- Assad hampers talks -

Hezbollah first announced it was fighting alongside Assad's troops in 2013 and has since sent thousands of fighters to battle Syria's rebels, who are backed by its arch rival Saudi Arabia and a US-led coalition.

Its support has been crucial for keeping the regime in power, but the opposition has insisted the president's departure must be part of any peace deal agreed at the talks.

Member of the High Negotiations Committee (HNC) opposition umbrella group, Yahya Kodmani, on Sunday accused the regime of being "obstinate".

"We hope that Russia will use its powers to pressure the Assad regime in order to move into serious negotiations," he said.

But Jaafari rejected any suggestion that Assad would step down from any new government, saying his future and the political transition were "two separate issues".

"President Assad has nothing to do with the... talks," he said, insisting that the subject of the president "is something that is already excluded from the scene".

He also insisted Damascus was committed to the peace process, and that his delegation had "clear instructions from our leadership to engage seriously in these talks".

Conceding that progress remained slow, de Mistura stressed it was vital that opposing sides reach a basic understanding on how to move to a second round of talks, tentatively scheduled for next month.

- Russia warns on ceasefire -

He highlighted the positive impact of the negotiations, which he said have helped to maintain a fragile ceasefire declared on February 27.

But tensions flared between Russia and the US over the truce, with Russian Lieutenant General Sergei Rudskoy accusing Washington of showing "no readiness" to agree how to enforce it and warning Russia would resort to force itself if necessary.

"The delay in the entry into force of the rules agreed upon for responding to violations of the ceasefire in Syria is unacceptable," he said in a statement.

Moscow would only use force "after receiving credible evidence of armed groups' systematic violations" of the truce, he added.

The truce has broadly held since being declared last month and allowed life-saving aid to reach tens of thousands of Syrians stranded in besieged areas.

It does not include the Islamic State group (IS) and Al-Qaeda linked Al-Nusra Front, however, who continue to be targeted in Russian air strikes and government offensives.

At least 26 pro-government fighters were killed battling Islamic State near Palmyra on Monday as Damascus stepped up a bid to recapture the ancient city, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said.
US still thinks it can continue sponsorship, together with Saudi Arabia and Qatar, of armed politicians and delay the destruction of Daesh to effect a regime change in Damascus. That sponsorship has already cost the lives of more than a quarter of a million Syrians. Elections are cheaper.
 
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Zool

Junior Member
I'm not sure if rejecting an urgent request to discuss ceasefire violations is the best way to go here...

Russia has been meticulous about identifying the number of daily violations since the ceasefire went into effect (Reuters has covered much of it if anyone wants the background) and has requested observer support from the US. If these 'moderate rebel' groups go on a new offensive, the optics won't be good for US efforts to contain the situation, and Russia will be in a strong position to directly engage these groups regardless of protest from their sponsors.

Something will have to give and right now the talks surrounding stability and a political way forward are looking deadlocked. April should be an interesting month.

World|Mon Mar 21, 2016 1:46pm EDT
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r

REUTERS/BASSAM KHABIEH

The United States on Monday rejected Russia's call for an urgent meeting over violations of Syria's three-week cessation of hostilities, saying that its concerns were already being handled in a constructive manner.

Russia's general staff of the armed forces proposed on Monday to hold an urgent meeting with U.S. representatives to agree on the mechanism of controlling the ceasefire in Syria, saying it would act unilaterally starting from March 22 if it gets no response.

"We have seen the media reports on alleged Russian concerns over ceasefire violations. Whoever is making such statements must be misinformed, because these issues have been discussed at length already, and continue to be discussed, in a constructive manner," a U.S. official told Reuters in Geneva.
 
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