Euro crisis

getready

Senior Member
Thing is, China isn't even interested in getting involved yet anyways. It is some Euros who are looking hungrily at China's bank account and thinking China will bail them out for 'goodwill'. What ridiculous wishful thinking that China would pile billions in to cover Euro's butt for a condescending pat on the head. :rolleyes:

China has made it clear that if it is to lend the EU money, it will be a loan, not a handout, and on purely commercial transaction and that China would want solid assurances that it would get it's money back, with interest.

China will only consider coming in to bail the EU out if the Euro zone is really in seriously trouble that it cannot get out of by itself. However, China will still want assurances that it is not throwing money away, and will demand real, solid concessions and benefits for its largeness. And no, a pat on the head will still not do.

no shit man, investors want returns on investment, its like business 101. They are not running a foking charity, excuse my french.

the chinese leaders didnt lead china to where it is now by being idiots. No such thing as permanent friendship between nations, only national interests. besides, they know money would not bring goodwill or even a pat on the back. Heck chinese investment will bring more resentment from the west as it sees them being "controlled or taken over" by china, judging by comments. No matter wut they do, china will get bashed by those on high horses. The chinese officials already realize that by years of experience dealing with the west.

Moreover, public opinion in china is overwhelming against lending money to euro. This has been a long time coming for nations living well above their means and now everything is going into the shitters. Consensus is let them deal with their self induced problems, we got our own stuff to worry about.
 

delft

Brigadier
Despite being in considerable economic trouble two European countries still think of themselves as Great Powers: France and Great Britain. And that while the economy of Brazil this year overtakes that of Great Britain.
 

bladerunner

Banned Idiot
Its still the declining powers way of life millions wish to emulate as well as place to live.
 
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Player 0

Junior Member
Its still the declining powers way of life millions wish to emulate as well as place to live.

And?

The way of life that these declining powers have embraced since the Reagan period is why they're declining in the first place, living based solely on debt you refuse to repay isn't economically sustainable, even creditors never once complain these economies collapse because their revenue is generated by bubbles and cheap credit, and when that goes bad no one has any means to survive.
 

bladerunner

Banned Idiot

and nothing, I was merely reply to Defts statement.... its just my observation that these countries with a sick economy don't lack people wanting to immigrate there while there does not appair to be a stampede to migrate to the BRICS. There will always be people that want the comforts that a modern society will give them, its just that a different model will have to be utilised to get there.If those wants are seriously curtailed then a manufacturing exporter like China will be in deep stook as well.
IMO these EU countries have been too wrapped up in protecting the intergreity of the Euro.perhaps it would have been better to let the Greeces and the Portugals default. Other countries have come back from that position.
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
There is actually a surprising amount of glee in parts of UK politics regarding the Euro crisis because the UK is not part of the Eurozone, so some politicians seem to think the UK won't be affected. Boy are they in for a surprise.

Letting Greece default is probably the least bad of all the alternatives at present, but even that is will be a massive blow to the entire Eurozone as once you open that door, you can never close it again and investors will never again have the same level of confidence in many Eurozone sovereign debt as they did. Since if Greece defaulted when the going gets tough, what's to stopping other Eurozone countries doing the same?
if the also run into trouble?

That will be a hit to many of the weaker Eurozone nations, the Euro itself, and it deal a massive blow to Eurozone banks as they did not make any distinction between sovereign debt of Eurozone countries before this crisis, so are massively exposed in the event of a Greek default.

Kicking Greece out of the Eurozone would carry a whole host of its own problems, for the Eurozone and Greece. It would be easier to leave them in, but the Germans can't seem to stomach the idea as they feel that would be letting the Greeks off too lightly and may not discourage others from following a similar path in the future.

There is no easy 'right answer' to this crisis, you have to give the Euros some sympathy in that regard as its not like there was an easy solution to this mess that they missed. But the dithering and lack of decisiveness and leadership is total unacceptable.
 

bladerunner

Banned Idiot
Greece is a tough nut to crack. I dont think loaning it more money is going to help. They have a deep seated structural/cultural attitudinal problem which they appear loath to get on top of.
eg better implementation and collection of their taxes would apparently be a good start.
 

delft

Brigadier
I found a short article in my Dutch newspaper a short while ago by a man I have met about his sailing in the Aegean sea and visiting Greek and Turkish harbors. The man in a very small Turkish harbor was young and extremely helpful, in a comparable Greek harbor the man was old and didn't leave his chair. The explanation is not that Greeks are lazy and Turks are not. It is that the young people have left to work in the Greek cities, in other EU countries, In the US, Australia, China, because there was no need to invest in Greece if the Greek banks and rich people wanted to earn money, so a large part of Greece is economically dying under the economic regime of the EU. How will that change now, or will it not?
 

delft

Brigadier
I found the article in The Daily Telegraph on the European democratic deficit:
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Europe's democratic deficit grows wider by the day
The Eurocracy's contempt for the nation-states it governs is growing ever more flagrant.
By Janet Daley
9:00PM GMT 05 Nov 2011
It isn’t often that you are aware of the world order changing before your eyes. Last week, the European Union effectively undermined the democratically elected government of one member state and put another one on notice. The snuffing out of that little gasp of desperate rebellion in Greece, and the political chaos that followed, caused a moment’s embarrassment when the EU leadership had to face down questions about its commitment to democracy. But that blew over quickly enough: there could be no question of disregarding the will of the people, Angela Merkel insisted. The electorate of a country had every right to express its opinion in a referendum if its government saw fit to hold one.
She was seconded in this acceptance of sacred democratic principle by Nicolas Sarkozy, although he was rather less successful in concealing his disgust at the insolence of one wretched little country’s defiance of the great European oligarchy. But the tact and facile diplomacy ran out fast. Pretty soon, the European Union was setting the terms for this impertinent plebiscite: it could not – repeat not – simply be on the bail-out deal. The question would have to be whether Greece was to remain in the euro at all. This pronouncement was then almost immediately ramped up (with questionable legality) to mean that departure from the euro would necessitate leaving the EU itself. And it was this nuclear threat that almost certainly saved George Papandreou.
So the Eurocracy that had been saying only days earlier that Greece could never, ever leave the euro, whatever its people or government said they wanted, was now threatening to expel Greece not just from the single currency, but from the European Union. And Italy got the message soon enough: the EU is out of patience with the bad boys. No more messing around. So having once been adamant that no external agency would be allowed to oversee its country’s accounts, the Italian government announced that it was ready to open its books to the EU and the IMF. Its fiscal policy will no longer be a matter for purely national decision-making, and will therefore be beyond the reach of its electorate.
So which is it? Is membership of the euro (or the EU) like being a Soviet satellite: a prisoner nation held in bondage to a superior power? Or is it more akin to being the client state of an imperial benefactor, which can call the shots on internal policy and replace elected governments with puppet regimes when it sees fit?
In the midst of all the earnest blather about respecting the democratic will of countries, there were some revealing slips. (Or were they slips? The proclamations were getting cruder and more unguarded by the minute.) At one point, Mr Sarkozy said: “In no way would I want to give the impression that I’m interfering in [the Greeks’] domestic politics, [but] Europe is our homeland…” Is it? Has Europe – the EU – become the nation state to which all citizens of its member countries are expected to give their allegiance?
Maybe so, and perhaps this is something that a good many of those citizens who regard themselves as enlightened would accept: the Italians who fear the clowns and neo-fascists among their politicians, the French who fear American hegemony, and the Germans who fear the impulses of their countrymen. But if this is the future – if the Eurocracy is determined to dictate the political make-up of all the governments within its membership, declaring out of order or defining out of existence any opposition to what Jose Manuel Barroso calls “consensus and collective spirit” – then how is Mrs Merkel’s precious “will of the people” to assert itself?
If this is now one “homeland”, as Mr Sarkozy would have it, who are its enfranchised electors? Where does the power lie to overthrow or replace its rulers? What are the mechanisms for recalling the governing elite? Apparently, they will have to be foregone in the present emergency. (But where is the promise that they will ever return?) The future of the euro – that grand ideological folly which was supposed to remove any possibility of national self-aggrandisement – must take precedence now. All those quaint assumptions about the legitimacy of government coming from the consent of the governed must be cashed in for the “economic stability” that the rules of euro membership will provide.
What those rules actually provide, of course, is a guidebook for all European peoples in how to behave like Germans – even if their temperaments and historical experience are quite unsuited to this. It begins to look as if those countries least able to do plausible impersonations of German orderliness and productivity will be knuckling under none the less, for fear of being cast out of the European club – or, less sentimentally, being cut off from the feeding tube of support which is all that can sustain them in their present fix.
The governments that might be displaced are unlikely to be missed – incompetent and corrupt as they may have been. But what will go with them is more important: the possibility of electing or rejecting whatever political leadership you, or a majority of your countrymen, choose.
The Greeks have been given a brutal lesson and the Italians a firm warning. Welcome to post-democratic Europe. What an irony that the rise of freedom in the Middle East – the Arab Spring – should coincide with the acceptance of its decline in the West. (The European Autumn?) Is this going to be the big story of the 21st century? Not just the West’s loss of economic dominance to the East, but the wilful dismantling of its political inheritance?
Thus far it has been politicians bending the knee. Whatever their governing classes decide, will Europe’s populations be prepared to sacrifice electoral self-determination? In peacetime, the voluntary renunciation of democratic rights is, so far as I know, unprecedented. But modern standards of prosperity have become so addictive – and Europeans so dependent on “social protection” (another favourite Barroso phrase) – that even the temporary loss of them may be too great a price to pay for an abstraction like political liberty.
Benjamin Franklin once said: “People willing to trade their freedom for temporary security deserve neither and will lose both.” In the present case, you have to insert the word “economic” in front of security, but the lesson still holds. If you lose the right to choose who governs you – or allow some greater authority to determine the limits of their power – what recourse do you have when the promises are broken and “security” becomes a prison?
 
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