Thanks for the series of informative post @MarKoz81
Re: Tanker requirements.
With regard to the sorties run by the coalition in Desert Storm, how much of that was required due to the distances to the AOO, from the bases they were staging out of?
How much will the requirements of the PLAF be similar in a Taiwan Straits scenario?
Gut feeling tells me that the majority of ops the PLAF will run will probably not require AAR and as such, it may not be correct to straight extrapolate requirements based on raw data of ODS
Desert Storm involved approximately 1668 coalition combat aircraft. That's looks roughly the size of the entire Chinese combat air fleet.
Looking at the Desert Storm bases, they look mostly around 800-1200km from their targets.
I'd call it at least 600 Chinese combat aircraft which can comfortably operate to Taiwan without airborne refuelling.
And given the difference in precision guided weapons and also drones these days, they should be able to match the 272 Air Interdiction sorties per day seen during Desert Storm.
But of course, the Chinese Air Force could easily use 200 airborne tankers to add aircraft based further away, or to extend Chinese air patrols offshore.