COMAC C919

Iron Man

Major
Registered Member
Because priority should be given to systems necessary for military use. You would do the same yourself if you think of it.:)
I am talking about not relying on external sources of military-related parts because these can easily be embargoed by Western countries. If you are diverting Western aircraft supply chains into your military planes, it would most definitely be a violation of current embargo laws and could and would be shut down immediately if discovered. It's not like these parts aren't inventoried and tracked; it's not like Western suppliers are stupid and don't know that China could try to divert their parts into military planes. If you are sourcing the 20% of remaining external suppliers from Russia, then that would be another story. But let's get real, these suppliers are almost invariably Western companies.
 

schrage musik

Junior Member
Registered Member
Let's not get ahead of ourselves. They most definitely do NOT have domestic suppliers or options for most of the other onboard systems. They plan to have 80% domestic suppliers by 2025, but even this will not be enough. Only when the aircraft is 100% domestic can they turn the C919 into a military aircraft. You're looking at the 2030-2040 timeframe for a militarized C919.

You're thinking of the civil version of the C919, which is to be offered for international and domestic markets and needs to be competitive with the A320neo/B737Max. The parts that go into it must perform equal to or better than what the C919 is sourcing from foreign suppliers now, and these also need to go through certification procedures of the CAAC and hopefully the FAA/EASA.

A militarized version wont have to be made competitive with the Airbus/Boeing planes and wont need to go through such rigorous civil certification procedures. Hence its subsystems can be developed much faster and integrated faster as well. Now most of these are already within the technological capability of Chinese companies (re: the Y-20), soo your timeframe of 2030 is an extremely pessimistic one, to say the least.

I expect a militarized fully domestic variant to enter service in the early 20s. The significance of this aircraft for China is probably even more than that of the Y-20.
 

delft

Brigadier
I am talking about not relying on external sources of military-related parts because these can easily be embargoed by Western countries. If you are diverting Western aircraft supply chains into your military planes, it would most definitely be a violation of current embargo laws and could and would be shut down immediately if discovered. It's not like these parts aren't inventoried and tracked; it's not like Western suppliers are stupid and don't know that China could try to divert their parts into military planes. If you are sourcing the 20% of remaining external suppliers from Russia, then that would be another story. But let's get real, these suppliers are almost invariably Western companies.
If systems are to be developed in China for C919, and the talk is that 80% will be available by 2025, than those systems that are not needed for the military version can be delayed in favour of those that are needed.
 

Iron Man

Major
Registered Member
You're thinking of the civil version of the C919, which is to be offered for international and domestic markets and needs to be competitive with the A320neo/B737Max. The parts that go into it must perform equal to or better than what the C919 is sourcing from foreign suppliers now, and these also need to go through certification procedures of the CAAC and hopefully the FAA/EASA.

A militarized version wont have to be made competitive with the Airbus/Boeing planes and wont need to go through such rigorous civil certification procedures. Hence its subsystems can be developed much faster and integrated faster as well. Now most of these are already within the technological capability of Chinese companies (re: the Y-20), soo your timeframe of 2030 is an extremely pessimistic one, to say the least.

I expect a militarized fully domestic variant to enter service in the early 20s. The significance of this aircraft for China is probably even more than that of the Y-20.
This wildly fanboistic enthusiasm is extremely humorous. The C919 hasn't even gone into service yet, and won't do so until 2020 at the earliest, and you expect a militarized version "in the early 20s"??? ROFLMAO! So within like 3 years of C919's civilian induction we will see a military C919 in service according to you. I SERIOUSLY hope you are still around SDF in 2023 for us to revisit this issue.

If systems are to be developed in China for C919, and the talk is that 80% will be available by 2025, than those systems that are not needed for the military version can be delayed in favour of those that are needed.
I don't even remotely know what this means. Whatever you are trying to do with your 80% in this post, you still have the 20% that are foreign-sourced from Western suppliers that can be embargoed at will.
 

supercat

Major
This is one of the more positive opinion piece about China's aviation industry from AW&ST.
Opinion: China’s Commercial Aerospace Dream Edges Closer To Reality

Sep 11, 2017
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| Aviation Week & Space Technology

China’s commercial aerospace ambition has long been known, but a few recent milestones are bringing it closer to realization.

Since the establishment of Avic 1 and Avic 2 in 1999, which really marked the beginning of China’s push into the commercial aerospace market, there has been no doubt about China’s intent and the direction it wants its industry to take. But the pace at which it would achieve this ambition was less uncertain. Almost 20 years on, things have become much more clear, and there is now little doubt that China is well on its way to succeeding where several other countries have failed in becoming a full-fledged player in the large commercial aircraft manufacturing sector, with the potential to disrupt the long-standing duopoly of
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and
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.

To be fair though, no other country has ever had China’s assets: a stable government with an unequivocal, long-term financial and strategic commitment and a huge domestic—hence mostly captive—market. According to market forecasts, China’s domestic air traffic is expected to almost quadruple between now and 2036 to reach 1.6 billion passengers, which will be more than twice the U.S.’s domestic traffic by 2036.

And while there is still a long way to go before airplanes designed and made in China compete on the world stage with the likes of the
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or Airbus
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, the momentum is there, and the country’s aerospace industry is entering a new phase of development and maturity.

Most observers would think the single-aisle
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’s first flight last May (pictured) is illustrative of this, but while it is a key milestone, it does not represent the whole story about what is happening in the industry. Two other events are much more telling.

The first is the establishment of the Aero Engine Corp. of China (AECC) last year, which consolidates Chinese aero-engine know-how and capabilities, indicating that the indigenous development of aircraft engines is now a strategic priority for China. This focus is even more striking when one realizes that China now has access to rhenium, a rare metal that helps create strong superalloys necessary for the manufacture of high-pressure jet engine turbine blades. Since the 2010 discovery in the Shaanxi province of reserves, which account for 7% of the world’s total, considerable effort has been made to exploit and process this metal. Moreover, a major technological milestone was recently achieved that opens the door for mass production of single-crystal turbine blades, a key component of modern jet engines. It is thus no surprise that one of the cornerstones of the newly established joint Sino-Russian widebody aircraft program is the development of a dedicated, state-of-the-art engine.

The second event of note is Comac’s latest round of financing—it raised 15 billion yuan ($2.3 billion) last month in the form of a 10-year debt investment plan—combined with the memorandum of understanding (MOU) signed in June by Airbus and the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC). The financing and MOU are intended to help bring about a fully developed, competitive domestic supply chain, the former through the injection of research and development money down the supply chain and the latter through the integration of Chinese suppliers in Airbus’s global supply network. The objective, as outlined in the “Made in China 2025” plan, is for Chinese suppliers to provide 80% of all parts by 2025.

Taken together, these events and strategic initiatives highlight the Chinese aerospace industry’s realization that, in order to become a globally competitive player, it will need depth as much as breadth. After getting their hands on both ends of the value chain—aircraft design and final assembly—the Chinese now understand that what will make or break their industry over the long term is what happens in the middle of the value chain, at the component and subsystem levels. And that is why China’s ambition to compete with Boeing and Airbus, as well as with
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and
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for aircraft engines, is now more credible than ever.

By investing deep in the industrial fabric of the country, from the coastal cities of Tianjin and Shanghai to the new industrial frontiers of the Western provinces of Shaanxi and Sichuan, from the processing of rare metals to the manufacturing and assembly of complex aircraft parts, China is adding substance to form and showing the world that, as far as its commercial aerospace achievements are concerned, the best is yet to come.

Contributing columnist Antoine Gelain is the managing director of Paragon European Partners. He is based in London.

The views expressed are not necessarily shared by Aviation Week.
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
I don't even remotely know what this means. Whatever you are trying to do with your 80% in this post, you still have the 20% that are foreign-sourced from Western suppliers that can be embargoed at will.

Name me a single country on Earth that is 100% self sufficient from everything. I'm talking about from high tech to rare earth minerals and processing to productions.o_O
 

Iron Man

Major
Registered Member
Name me a single country on Earth that is 100% self sufficient from everything. I'm talking about from high tech to rare earth minerals and processing to productions.o_O
Boeing 737s and other variants are definitely sourced from multiple countries outside of the US, including military variants. Are any of those countries going to embargo parts that are used in military planes? Not even remotely. So what's your point?
 

schrage musik

Junior Member
Registered Member
This wildly fanboistic enthusiasm is extremely humorous. The C919 hasn't even gone into service yet, and won't do so until 2020 at the earliest, and you expect a militarized version "in the early 20s"??? ROFLMAO! So within like 3 years of C919's civilian induction we will see a military C919 in service according to you. I SERIOUSLY hope you are still around SDF in 2023 for us to revisit this issue.


I don't even remotely know what this means. Whatever you are trying to do with your 80% in this post, you still have the 20% that are foreign-sourced from Western suppliers that can be embargoed at will.

Umm.. are you forgetting the C919 is preparing for flight testing right this year--in 2017. If they were to start now, from 2018-2025 it is 8 years to design, manufacture and flight test domestic subsystems that Chinese companies are already mass producing for the Y-20A. Yes, all of them have already been developed by Chinese companies for the Y-20 including avionics, flight control systems, hydraulics, landing gear, environmental control, electric and power systems and so on. So unless you think that cabin interiors or seating represents a major design challenge for the C919 that time frame is more than enough to get the job done. This is assuming that COMAC hasn't already put in place a Plan B for developing domestic alternatives for the foreign gear in the C919 by now, which would be very surprising to me, given the strategic importance of this program since its inception.

You do realize that the most risky part is always the engine, which also happens to be the component most vulnerable to development delays. And guess what, assuming the original news is accurate, the prototype of the domestic engine will be completed this year and 8 years is enough to complete all flight testing. So yes, a domestic version could be made ready well before 2030-40 :)

The question here isn't if they can, but whether they will. COMAC may want to focus all resources on readying the commercial version for service entry, particularly if there are major problems encountered during flight testing. That, I believe, is the thing that can actually delay the military version.
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
Boeing 737s and other variants are definitely sourced from multiple countries outside of the US, including military variants. Are any of those countries going to embargo parts that are used in military planes? Not even remotely. So what's your point?
Are those countries relied on China for rare earth metals or high tech parts and softwares as well? My point is the US military DOES NOT have absolute independence when it comes to building and providing from start to finish. For example all major high tech parts relies on rare earth elements and processing in which China has 97% control of the world supplies. China can simply cut off that supply if push comes to shove.
 
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