So one question - what effect will the new American "dual military" regulations have on China's development?
I'm not sure to what extent companies are dependent on these American exports, nor the extent to which they can be replaced.
They talk about several things:
Civil aviation parts and components - I guess this is an attack on COMAC? COMAC is so weak it can be killed a bunch of ways (e.g. jet engines, American FAA refusing to give approval). It's also doing a great job of killing itself without any outside help lol.
Semiconductor production equipment - Prohibiting export of Applied Materials, KLA-Tencor, and Lam Research? I think their equipment is actually more replaceable than the Americans think, especially with Japanese suppliers.
Certain integrated circuits, telecommunications equipment - I think this is an attack on ZTE, specifically things like Xilinx's field programmable gate arrays. I'm not sure how how much affect it has on Huawei.
Radar - An attack on COMAC? Not sure how many other Chinese companies really depend on American radar.
High-end computers - ???