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Yuan to see increased use in bilateral trade between China and Russia as dollar, euro share declines, ‘pushing internationalization drive’

By Global Times Published: Dec 02, 2022 05:26 PM



More Chinese yuan is expected to be used in cross-border settlement between China and Russia, further promoting yuan's internationalization process, a Chinese expert said on Friday, after Russia's central bank said international settlements and payments in alternative currencies have soared at the expense of the US dollar and the euro.

The comments were made as the US-led West tightens their sanctions against Russia, as most recently seen by efforts of the Group of Seven nations trying to impose a price cap on Russian seaborne oil.

Against the backdrop of Russia cutting its usage of US dollar and the euro, while increasing settlement in local currencies in foreign trade, the Chinese yuan has become an ideal choice for Russian businesses due to China's status as the world's second largest economy and the engine of global economic growth, Li Xin, director of the Institute for Eurasian Studies at the Shanghai University of Political Science and Law, told the Global Times on Friday.

As more Russian companies seek to settle their exports in yuan, the yuan faces a historic opportunity in speeding up its internationalization process, Li said.

The share of international settlements and payments in currencies other than the dollar and the euro has moved up from 21 percent to almost 50 percent, Russian news agency TASS reported on Thursday, citing the Financial Stability Review by the Bank of Russia.

The share of friendly countries' currencies in export payments reached 46.6 percent, up from February's 13.6 percent, according to the Russian Central Bank.

As a number of Western countries try to remove Russia from their economic system, choosing to work with partners on local currency settlement has become Russia's goal.

The yuan comprised about 17.9 percent of Russia's trade settlements with China in 2021, up from 2014's 3.1 percent, according to media reports.

In September, Russian state energy giant Gazprom said it has reached several agreements with China National Petroleum Corporation, including on the use of Russian roubles and Chinese yuan to pay for Russian natural gas supplies to China.

More Russian companies will seek yuan as the currency in cross-border payment, though whether a certain company decides to let the buyer of its products pay in yuan will still be subject to the company's circumstance, Li said, when asked whether more Russian energy companies will choose to settle their exports in yuan due to reduced access by companies to traditional payment methods and the freezing of Russian overseas gold and foreign exchange reserves by some Western countries.

The increase of yuan in the Russian market is also demonstrated by the currency's increased weight in the Russian bond and forex market.

Yuan-rouble trading has totaled 185 billion yuan ($26.27 billion) in October, more than 80 times the level seen in February when the Russia-Ukraine conflict started, Reuters reported this week, citing exchange data.

The surge of interest has seen the yuan's share of the currency market jump to 40-45 percent from less than 1 percent at the start of the year, according to the report, citing an executive with the Moscow Exchange's foreign-exchange market department. The dollar/rouble pair, by comparison, has seen its share drop from over 80 percent in January to 40 percent as of October.

A growing list of Russian companies, including aluminum giant Rusal and largest oil company Rosneft have also completed yuan-denominated bond sales this year or are planning to do so.

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is on track to hit a new high this year. In the first 10 months of this year, bilateral trade totaled $153.94 billion, up 33 percent year-on-year, according to data from China's General Administration of Customs.


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Ideally this should have been posted in the 'What did you think thread'

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It isn't actually just Australia.

The same is the case for EU and in some parts the US as well (in terms of decoupling and finding other new markets).

In fact, if they go and look around the world for other countries to sell their various products to, they will find that they will most likely will have to compete with chinese companies + a lot of the global south really doesn't have a 'big enough appetite' to actually consume and buy as much as China does.


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China Concerned Over Kazakhstan’s Ability To Deliver Contracted Gas Supplies​

Nov 30, 2022
The Energy Ministry had previously forecast that gas exports in 2022 would reach 3.3 billion cubic meters, with most of it earmarked for China.
“We hope that Kazakhstan will in keeping with its contract ensure stable deliveries of gas to China and maximally increase them during the winter months,” Chinese Prime Li Keqiang told his Kazakh counterpart, Alikhan Smailov, in a video conference call on November 29.
Li’s comments were carried on Chinese state television and reported by TASS news agency.
In June, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev ordered his government to reduce gas exports and to make certain that an additional 2 billion cubic meters of the fuel was made available to customers inside Kazakhstan.
“Meeting domestic demand for gas has an unconditional priority over export,” the president told a conference of foreign investors.
Tokayev said at the time that the additional gas earmarked for domestic consumption should be sourced from the Tengiz field being developed by a consortium led by U.S. energy giant Chevron.
While gas exports are flagging over the long term, domestic needs are increasing. This is in part because of the conversion of major electricity-generating plants in the country’s business capital, Almaty, from running on coal to being powered by gas.
The annual gas deficit on the domestic market could reach around 1.7 billion cubic meters by 2024, he said. Exports might cease altogether by 2023, he forecast.
In a separate development, Tokayev and Russian President Vladimir Putin on November 28 discussed the creation of what has been termed a "tripartite gas union" that would also comprise Uzbekistan. The purpose of the union would be to coordinate the delivery of Russian gas to Central Asia, Tokayev said in remarks during a visit to Moscow.
Kazakhstan is said to be studying the proposal but has yet to adopt any firm decisions.
Uzbekistan, like Kazakhstan, is confronting the challenge of intensifying gas shortages, despite being a major commodity producer.