Chinese Economics Thread

Jiang ZeminFanboy

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I don't see a point to tear it down. It has been built and it is waste of resources. There was similar story near Beijing. Maybe only to give an example that if you break a rule you won't earn a penny. But breaking a rules by developers or other was a major economic boost for China. It wouldn't be a 10% economic growth average.
 

voyager1

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It is natural that it is slowing down. The external environment has changed. Economic growth is slowing down, debt is going up, and Chinese leaders are now develeraging away from debt and too much credit growth

In addition with the strategic competition now on-going vs the US, it is much more urgent to divert some BRI funds to internal investment in order to accelerate China's development

I dont see this as a bad thing. I firmly believed that the BRI was obviously overxtended and it grew too much for China to support it sustainably.

Much better to focus this investment on key China's allies, friends, and important key countries.

There were also not well organised institutions for the BRI.

For example, A Green Road did not do much (support green development), Health Road (had to wait for covid to happen..), Digital Sil road was too late to ramp up, Education exchanges not set up clearly etc

The whole plan was too much of case by case deals and not as a part of clear rules and institutions. Better for China to scale it down for now, reform it, and focus the investments much better.

Anyway, the BRI is here to stay. Maybe it will be scaled down now, then scaled up, then down, then up etc. IMO the most important thing us to create a stable framework, institutions and rules on how future investments will be handled
 

voyager1

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Well Chyynnna, Your savior is here :rolleyes::rolleyes:
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I was expecting total propaganda but I was pleasantly surprised by what the article said.

It mentioned demographics which they are obviously right.

It talked about Urban-rural divide which is also true. However Xi's administration has been focusing a lot on this issue and they are succeeding on making things less-bad than before.

They also said about productivity growth and its immature financial system. This is also definetely true and the pathetically low productivity growth of 0.2% in recent years certainly supports their argument. However steps are being take to make the economy more dynamic, improve the financial system, and improve innovation


However then they transition to their propaganda about China's inward "dual-circulation" lol. Its not like Xi wanted to do it but because Trump started this and then Biden forced his hand by continuing with the sanctions..

Moving away from targeted industrial policy toward more general
Yeah nice try CNN. China is actually planning to destroy every single high-tech industry that US dominates exclusively. Have fun competing with the Chinese companies in 5-10 years
 
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