China's strategy in Afghanistan.


solarz

Brigadier
some interesting developments in Afghanistan in recent days. The taliban is making a legitimate attempt on Lashkar gah, herat and kandahar city. so far it seems that lashkar gah is most likely to fall first. this will change the conflict in a profound manner as it will be the first time a major city/provincial capital falls to the taliban. should this come to pass the taliban will be strengthened in the way of additional tax revenue and man-power. I wonder if it will also weaken the resolve of defenders in other isolated afghan cities.

the afghan government, in an attempt to prevent cities from being lost, seem to have sent a large number of SF to Herat by air, I thought it was a stupid move. either these SF guys wont make a difference, or if they do change the balance of power, the taliban can simply sit back and maintain a seige on the city, while the afghan government is left with the choice of leaving their SF assets tied up there, or pulling them out to other places of need, making Herat vulnerable again. it seems increasingly likely that isolated cities will start to fall soon. I imagine a few could fall to the taliban this month.

How are SF supposed to help defend a city?

Seems to me the Kabul govt is getting desperate
 

drowingfish

Junior Member
Registered Member
How are SF supposed to help defend a city?

Seems to me the Kabul govt is getting desperate
I am guessing just by nature of them being loyal to the afghan government and therefore willing to fight, and being well organized and well trained. those traits alone will put them leaps and bounds above most middle eastern counterpart. just look at lebanese hezbollah for example.
 

drowingfish

Junior Member
Registered Member
Seems to me the Kabul govt is getting desperate
it does seem like kabul really does not want the taliban to take a city. I think kabul already accepted that the taliban will dominate the majority of the country, but if it is able to retain control of all the cities and its population, then it is something to bargain with. if the taliban were to even take one city, all others except kabul will feel vulnerable, and lose the will to fight. that explains why kabul is willing to deploy its best units, not only to fight the taliban but as a gesture to all the cities under seige.
 

Bigboii

Junior Member
Registered Member
Illuminating perspectives and insights from one of Pakistans decorated general (Gen.Tariq Khan) on Afghanistan.



Thanks for sharing it here too (He fought in an area similar to Afghanistan in terrain, is ethnically an Afghan, finished the Taliban on the Pakistani side)

So he is probably one of the most knowledgeable people in the world when it comes to these issues


The last 10 minutes as a Pakistani got me scared sh***ss for the future/survival of the country...
 

Mohsin77

Senior Member
Registered Member
Illuminating perspectives and insights from one of Pakistans decorated general (Gen.Tariq Khan) on Afghanistan.


His conclusion is wrong, but his threat assessment of the US-India nexus to CPEC is correct. Pakistan can't influence US policy, nor is crying about Indian actions in the media going to work.

What is useful about this interview, is his warning that over the next 10 years, India and the US will try very hard to damage CPEC, especially via covert (CIA-RAW) operations, and there will be fallout from this on Pakistani soil. People will die, bombs will explode, officials will be bribed to try and sabotage projects etc. It's going to be messy, and there will be casualties, both Pakistani and Chinese. It will test the Pak-China relationship. Resolve will be needed by both Pakistan and China to get through this period.
 

SampanViking

The Capitalist
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
The big MSM news story today (at least from the BBC) is that the Taliban are being assisted by hard line Jihadi groups such as Al-Qidea and even ETIM to bolster their attempts to seize the key southern cities and that if the Taliban win this new civil war, it will pose a danger to whole world
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
This is being attributed to an Afghan General leading the defense of these cities.
Obviously, he has good reason to try and send up as many alarm signals as he can. If true (or even partially true) however, this would fly in the face of the assurances given by the Taliban representatives that visited both Moscow and China recently.
Can the Taliban be trusted? are they playing a blatant double game or is this simply more black propaganda from the West?
 

Mohsin77

Senior Member
Registered Member
The big MSM news story today (at least from the BBC) is that the Taliban are being assisted by hard line Jihadi groups such as Al-Qidea and even ETIM to bolster their attempts to seize the key southern cities............. Can the Taliban be trusted? are they playing a blatant double game or is this simply more black propaganda from the West?

I have a better question: Since when have the Taliban needed Al-Qaida's "assistance" ?
 

Bigboii

Junior Member
Registered Member
The big MSM news story today (at least from the BBC) is that the Taliban are being assisted by hard line Jihadi groups such as Al-Qidea and even ETIM to bolster their attempts to seize the key southern cities and that if the Taliban win this new civil war, it will pose a danger to whole world
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
This is being attributed to an Afghan General leading the defense of these cities.
Obviously, he has good reason to try and send up as many alarm signals as he can. If true (or even partially true) however, this would fly in the face of the assurances given by the Taliban representatives that visited both Moscow and China recently.
Can the Taliban be trusted? are they playing a blatant double game or is this simply more black propaganda from the West?
I believe

They'll rely on all these groups until they reach Kabul and then phase em out
 

drowingfish

Junior Member
Registered Member

seems like afghan government just contributed more of their SOF to Lashkar Gah. They seem to have to resolve to stop the taliban from taking over the city. I imagine aside from the actual fighting, SOF is going in to coordinate US airstrikes? In either case it is a gamble because if it does not payoff it is likely that a lot of these guys will be lost, and kabul can't afford that.
 

solarz

Brigadier
some interesting developments in Afghanistan in recent days. The taliban is making a legitimate attempt on Lashkar gah, herat and kandahar city. so far it seems that lashkar gah is most likely to fall first. this will change the conflict in a profound manner as it will be the first time a major city/provincial capital falls to the taliban. should this come to pass the taliban will be strengthened in the way of additional tax revenue and man-power. I wonder if it will also weaken the resolve of defenders in other isolated afghan cities.

the afghan government, in an attempt to prevent cities from being lost, seem to have sent a large number of SF to Herat by air, I thought it was a stupid move. either these SF guys wont make a difference, or if they do change the balance of power, the taliban can simply sit back and maintain a seige on the city, while the afghan government is left with the choice of leaving their SF assets tied up there, or pulling them out to other places of need, making Herat vulnerable again. it seems increasingly likely that isolated cities will start to fall soon. I imagine a few could fall to the taliban this month.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Looks like they took a different provincial capital instead.
 

Top