2025 Israel - Iranian conflict
- Thread starter Maikeru
- Start date
Missile Launch and Impact Stats on Israel – Full Breakdown Based on Visuals and Official Reports
Two major trends have clearly emerged from the recent missile exchanges between Iran and Israel:
— In the first three days of the conflict, Iran launched salvos of 40–50 ballistic missiles at a time, with only a few hours between each wave.
But as time went on, those windows widened and the number of missiles per salvo dropped significantly — now down to 10–20 missiles once every 12 hours.
That’s a 50% reduction in volume.
This decline is likely a direct result of Israeli airstrikes and Mossad operations, which are systematically disabling both missile launchers and storage sites in western Iran.
Iran is now increasingly forced to rely on longer-range, less numerous missiles from deeper inside the country, which take longer to prepare and are harder to launch in bulk.
— Yet despite fewer missiles in each wave, the number of confirmed impacts in Israel remains steady — typically 4–5 direct hits per salvo.
This rate of successful strikes has been observed both when Iran launched 50 missiles and when it launched just 20.
What this suggests:
— Iran is now using more advanced and accurate long-range missiles, even if in smaller numbers.
— Israel's air defense systems may be showing signs of fatigue or strain, a possibility raised by several foreign media outlets.
This is further supported by the ongoing U.S. airlift delivering munitions to replenish Israel’s missile defense stockpiles.
Bottom line:
Iran still maintains a functional missile arsenal, but its capacity has been significantly degraded due to Israeli strikes and earlier high-volume attacks.
Meanwhile, Israel’s air defenses are still intercepting most missiles, but their effectiveness has declined compared to the early days of the conflict — pointing to both the use of more sophisticated Iranian missiles and growing exhaustion within Israeli defense systems.
One of Iran's Boeing 707 air tankers were destroyed in Israeli strikes.
The numbers of impacts is much larger because people is not filming every missile that come, of course everyone is panic mode, and Israeli censorship. The firsts wave had a lot of decoys to fool air defenses.
This one is so obviously AI (the flag appears from nowhere). There's enough disinformation out there without your help; could you be a bit more discerning?
solarz
Brigadier
Sorry but that's just not true. Official Iranian accounts themselves have published the arrest of many Iranian and non-Iranians taking part in the covert ops. This is not a spy movie, there's no super tight OPSEC, just good old corruption and incompetence on the part of Iranian authorities.
What was the target?
The most curious thing I noticed that there was no Air warning sirens