Couldn't you say the same about Chinese cruise missiles and thus the 1/10 ratio is still in effect?Chinese ballistic missiles are much much cheaper because of automation
Couldn't you say the same about Chinese cruise missiles and thus the 1/10 ratio is still in effect?Chinese ballistic missiles are much much cheaper because of automation
I don't know. Although turbojet and turbofan engines are complicated machines. Doubt China can get the costs down much.Couldn't you say the same about Chinese cruise missiles and thus the 1/10 ratio is still in effect?
I don't know. Although turbojet and turbofan engines are complicated machines. Doubt China can get the costs down much.
Oh, they are indeed quite expensive (as all modern ballistic missiles tend to be - nature of their solid fuel engines).
But the problem here is more about what they are - expensive, mainland-based precision, medium/long range instrument reliant on 100% external track.
Basically, when there where they will be able to get those easy tracks - enemy probably won't operate vulnerable units at all. And will risk going in only on his own terms - either knowing this kill chain can be disturbed enough, or it is already permanently degraded.
And here we come for positional fight at the outer rim of this capacity, which, in turn, will decide who'll actually degrade whom. This fight will be decided by more agile, local means of attack, agile both in strategic mobility and their lesser dependence on a huge system working exactly right.
Should it be lost - ASBMs won't be able to reverse the situation, as those juicy pinpoint real-time tracks probably won't be available.
Should it be won, and robust ISR will be moved further out (or perhaps opponent will lose his capability to contest it globally) - forward-deployed ASBM units will set in stone something that has happened already.
p.s. above-written should not be understood as "ASBMs won't contribute". They will, like hell they will. But brunt of asuw job won't likely be done by them (opponent isn't dumb and is well aware of them), and brunt of their own input won't be asuw.
The Kirov-class battlecruiser had 20 "shipwreck"missiles each weighing 7,000 kg or 140,000 kg worth of AShM.Ballistic missiles are for busting the gate open while cruise missiles are for flooding through the gate after its busted open. Both are complementary.
China can also produce cheaper cruise missiles by converting them from obsolete or older antiship missiles. For example YJ-83s.
The Kirov-class battlecruiser had 20 "shipwreck"missiles each weighing 7,000 kg or 140,000 kg worth of AShM.
If we assume the YJ-21 missile weighs 4,000 kg then it would take 35 of them to equal 20 "shipwreck" missiles at least in regards to mass equivalent. I assume it is possible for a Type 055 destroyer to carry 35 YJ-21 missiles. How's that for "busting the gate open", Is this reasonable?
How much does a YJ-21 missile weigh?
So I think one thing about having multiple attack vectors that hasn’t been brought up yet is that the point isn’t to strain an air defense system enough to land a guarantee kill shot, but to ensure that you get at least one hit somewhere, whether it’s a ship killer or not. Because even if you can’t sink a ship with one hit, you really only need one hit to degrade or even cripple a ship’s ability to contribute to a flotilla’s overall defensive net. Taking out even some of the radars or some of the VLCs or enough of the crew on one destroyer to impede effective operations will reduce efficacy of the flotilla by some multiplicative factor. And that makes the overall system more vulnerable to further hits. So single point failures can cascade very quickly to total failure, which means the side that can inflict damage to the other’s defensive system soonest will tend to build irreversible momentum faster. Systems based combat is an exponential, not linear, dynamic. What this means in a practical sense is that an AshBM or a hypersonic missile that fits into the 055’s VLC doesn’t need to have the same destructive power as a YJ-18. It just needs to make it more likely that any one missile can penetrate the defensive net.I don't know what kind of balance issues 055 might have by having too many hypersonic missiles. However, I think @Patchwork_Chimera and Shilao's podcast both mentioned the importance in having a variety of different missiles with different flight profiles. As such, if you have something with as many large VLS as 055. You could have it carry for example:
32 hypersonic anti-ship missile
32 YJ-18
16 LRASM type of anti-ship missile
16 YJ-18A (for land attack)
64 555 (quad packed)
Now in reality, I doubt they will pack it with this much fire power, but that's the flexibility they will have. That's tremendous amount of breadth in striking power when compared against even PLARF brigade and H-6K brigades. 055 in every way is like a Kirov on steroid. The ability to launch many missiles at the same time is what's really scary about 055. Now, if you have 4 of these guys looking to attack a carrier group and being provided coordination by WZ-8 and receiving AAW/ASW cover from rest of the CSG.
Even USN is not setup to defend against 100 hypersonic AShm type of saturation attacks.
I'm not sure how useful of a comparison this is. Missiles aren't darts you throw at people at the hopes of using the kinetic force to damage them. The punch of the missiles comes in the explosives and its efficacy comes from its ability to hit the target whilst evading or bypassing countermeasures. I don't think there's a single vessel that has ever existed that would stay afloat after being hit with 20 shipwreck missiles from the Kirov, but those missiles do have to make it to the vessels and detonate close enough to inflict considerable damage. I would imagine, at the very least, that the considerable more mature Chinese AI and microprocessor industry should make their missile tech much more capable than their Russian equivalents and therefore any comparison that draws on the weight of the missiles, of all things, would be largely meaningless.The Kirov-class battlecruiser had 20 "shipwreck"missiles each weighing 7,000 kg or 140,000 kg worth of AShM.
If we assume the YJ-21 missile weighs 4,000 kg then it would take 35 of them to equal 20 "shipwreck" missiles at least in regards to mass equivalent. I assume it is possible for a Type 055 destroyer to carry 35 YJ-21 missiles. How's that for "busting the gate open", Is this reasonable?
How much does a YJ-21 missile weigh?
I'm also really not sure about this particular salvo order. The primary benefit of sea-skimming missiles is the fact that they can get really, really close to ships (in naval terms, so several dozen kilometers) before they can be cued by radar suites but they are relatively easy to intercept when they have been detected. Ballistic missiles, on the other hand, are really hard to intercept but easy to detect (since they fly so high). I don't know why the Chinese navy would launch the easy to detect missile first and then follow up with the more easily intercepted but better concealed missile. It would make much more sense to open with the stealthier missiles to attempt system degradation and then follow up with a ballistic missile than the other way round. Launching ballistic missiles at the opening would just tell the defending fleet that they are being attack and cause them to jump to battle-stations, giving them a longer period of time to attempt to intercept the sea-skimmers.Ballistic missiles are for busting the gate open while cruise missiles are for flooding through the gate after its busted open. Both are complementary.
China can also produce cheaper cruise missiles by converting them from obsolete or older antiship missiles. For example YJ-83s.