ISIS/ISIL conflict in Syria/Iraq (No OpEd, No Politics)

Jun 25, 2016
... I tried to look at Damascus area ...

secZb7B.jpg

(it's
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... and now I read the Government carved out "Maydaa" (in the red ellipse below) from the Eastern Ghouta Pocket (which automatically shows at
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) most recently:
btLlk.jpg
for scale, I now measured the walking distance between "Maydaa" and
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and the result was twelve km
 
from bad to worse (the article dated July 6 at 4:51 PM):
U.S. jets abandoned Syrian rebels in the desert. Then they lost a battle to ISIS.
American warplanes were diverted from an offensive launched against the Islamic State last week by U.S.-backed rebels in Syria in order to bomb a more enticing target in Iraq, withdrawing air support at a critical moment and contributing to the failure of the rebel operation, according to U.S. officials familiar with the incident.

Aircraft assigned to provide cover for the offensive, launched June 28 to capture the eastern Syrian town of Bukamal, were ordered in the middle of the operation to leave the area and head instead to the outskirts of Fallujah, in neighboring Iraq, the officials said.

A large convoy of Islamic State fighters had been seen trying to escape across the desert after the city was recaptured by the Iraqi army, and U.S. commanders decided that the convoy represented a “strategic target,” said Col. Chris Garver, a U.S. military spokesman.

The convoy was destroyed by the U.S. and British planes along with gunships and aircraft from the Iraqi air force, which began striking the long line of Islamic State vehicles before the U.S. Air Force arrived. Hundreds of Islamic State fighters were killed and scores of their vehicles were destroyed in one of the more spectacular single assaults against the militants in the nearly two-year-old war against them.

By that time, however, the fighters of the Pentagon-trained New Syrian Army were in retreat, beaten back by the Islamic State to their desert base more than 200 miles away at Tanf, on the Syrian-Iraqi border. The failure of the operation was a significant blow to the Pentagon’s Syria strategy of building a Syrian Arab force capable of taking on the Islamic State.

The diversion of air forces also calls into question whether the U.S. military and its coalition allies have committed enough resources to the war against the Islamic State, which is now being waged on multiple fronts across a large swath of territory in Syria and Iraq.

Defending the decision to withdraw air support from the battle in Syria, Garver said: “You have a finite number of resources and you try to get the biggest bang for buck that you can out of the resources you have. … Prioritization was given to one target over another.”

The U.S. military’s daily record of air strikes conducted in Iraq and Syria shows that eight strikes were conducted in Bukamal on the day the offensive was launched — but only one on the day it crumbled. For the bombing of the Fallujah convoy, the U.S. Air Force “put everything up in the air,” Garver said, including B-52 bombers and AC-130 Spectre gunships.

“The priority here appeared to be going after the target, going after the big shiny object,” said David Maxwell, a former Special Forces officer and the associate director of Georgetown University’s Security Studies Program, after being informed of the strikes. “It’s the manifestation of a mind-set of the last 15 years, of these drone strikes and Special Operations force raids, where we want to achieve immediate effects on the battlefield without thinking about what might fall to the wayside.”

The decision to attack the convoy left the New Syrian Army without air cover and struggling to maintain early gains in an operation that was already teetering on the brink of failure.

There were other reasons for the operation’s collapse, according to New Syrian Army fighters involved in the operation. They include failed hopes that residents of Bukamal would rise up to support the offensive. The New Syrian Army succeeded on the first day to seize a foothold at a rudimentary airstrip outside the town. A rebel radio station, Bu Kamal Liberation Radio, broadcast appeals to the local population to stage an insurrection.

But the calls were not heeded, said Abdulsalam Muzil, a member of the Authenticity and Development Front, the rebel group that formed the New Syrian Army. “We put out messages on our radio station but it was difficult for people to join us because the Islamic state has an iron fist,” he said. “Also, now people are not listening to the radio so much because they consider it old-fashioned.”

The Islamic State soon counterattacked, pushing the rebel forces out of the town and back into the desert, where they were forced to drive back to their border garrison base.

The New Syrian Army initially said it lost two men in the fight, one who was killed in the ensuing gun battle and another who was captured and beheaded. The Islamic State displayed their brutalized bodies in a video, as well as quantities of captured weapons, including U.S. .50-caliber heavy machine guns. Three others later died in an ambush as the group retreated back across the desert.

New Syrian Army commanders said they noticed U.S. warplanes disappear from the skies overhead for a while during the battle, but they were unaware that the reason was the bombing of the Fallujah convoy. The air support later returned, said Muhammed Tallaa, the commander of the New Syrian Army, who has in the past criticized the meager support given by the U.S. military to his group.

The U.S.-backed forces sought after the event to portray the operation as hit-and-run attack — or “deep penetration raid” — behind enemy lines, and described it as a success. The Islamic State “is no longer safe in what was formerly one of their most secure areas,” the group said in a statement.

But the characterization did not match earlier statements, including by the United States, that the operation was aimed at capturing Bukamal.

“The announced purpose of this attack by the New Syrian Army … is to liberate Bukamal and cut [the Islamic State’s] military supply lines in the Euphrates Valley between Syria and Iraq,” said Garver during a news conference shortly before the offensive collapsed.

Garver said that operations at Bukamal are continuing, suggesting the offensive is not over yet. But the Islamic State is also on the attack: Tallaa, the commander of the New Syrian Army, said his men were coming under rocket fire at their desert base in Tanf late Wednesday night.

The small force never numbered more than 100 men, but was backed in the offensive by a different, CIA-backed group. The New Syrian Army comprises rebels drawn from the local population of Bukamal who were recruited mostly in Turkey in 2015, trained in Jordan and sent into Syria earlier this year with the goal of confronting the Islamic State.

But the force has always been vulnerable. A sizable percentage of the fighters were killed in an Islamic State suicide bombing in May, and in June it was bombed twice by the Russian air force, despite U.S. military attempts to halt the strikes.

The contingent had received training and support from the United States, Jordan and the United Kingdom before driving 10 hours across the Syrian desert to assault Bukamal, and its perceived defeat there is one more blow to a highly criticized Pentagon program that has produced only marginal battlefield gains despite a $500 million budget and an initial promise of churning out 5,000 trained fighters a year.

“Hanging out our supposed allies to dry doesn’t achieve much and undermines our legitimacy and credibility,” Maxwell said. “It’s hard to establish and maintain rapport with these organizations if we say one thing and do another.”
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EDIT
I think I noticed the failed attack, and watched some videos with the aviation working on that convoy (and saw pictures of what remained from it), but I didn't connect these two events, of course
 
Last edited:
Monday at 9:52 AM
... and now I added to that map
xb8U5.jpg

in green, based on the map which I noticed in Twitter

Cmdnq08WIAQnGPg.jpg


and in the related blog by "Cassad"
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what's reportedly now within the Government reach after a successful Mallah Farms Campaign of the last week ...
the story goes on with the most recent pro-Government Twitter account announcement:
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launch fierce attack on the remaining farms in Mallah that are under Nusra & Zinki control
"fierce attack" ... "remaining" ... could be interesting to see what "Mallah Farms" the Government actually controls now
 
Today at 8:03 AM
... could be interesting to see what "Mallah Farms" the Government actually controls now
CmwPkq7XEAAp0Pl.jpg

(
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or
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according to the above, most recent "peto lucem" map, the Government cut the supply route I previously posted about (https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-389#post-403729), in its segment I marked in green dots, and I approximated "the wedge toward Aleppo" by red lines in the map below (for scale: it's about ten kilometers from east to west):
6y4b.jpg
I'm going to update this post.
 
Today at 2:56 PM
Today at 8:03 AM

CmwPkq7XEAAp0Pl.jpg

(
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or
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according to the above, most recent "peto lucem" map, the Government cut the supply route I previously posted about (https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-389#post-403729), in its segment I marked in green dots, and I approximated "the wedge toward Aleppo" by red lines in the map below (for scale: it's about ten kilometers from east to west):
6y4b.jpg
...
... but now several pro-Government Twitter accounts say something like one mile to go to the Castello Road (I think they would've posted pictures/videos by now if the Government had gotten to it), for example "miladvisor":
r70WLYy.jpg

(it's
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perhaps I should mention the Government attacks from the south (from within the town), too (as the above map indicates) ... let's see tomorrow
 
Yesterday at 8:11 PM
... but now several pro-Government Twitter accounts say something like one mile to go to the Castello Road (I think they would've posted pictures/videos by now if the Government had gotten to it ...
... and now (about twenty minutes ago) these pictures appeared:
Cm1ISYYWcAA99J9.jpg


Cm1HX-1WcAAYwON.jpg

Cm1HZGHXgAEfy-z.jpg


there's also a pro-Goverment map available, reportedly showing the area actually taken most recently ... I'll try to redraw it now (I'm on a bus which drives me through Southern Poland :)
 
Yesterday at 2:56 PM
... the Government cut the supply route I previously posted about (https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/is...no-oped-no-policis.t6913/page-389#post-403729), in its segment I marked in green dots, and I approximated "the wedge toward Aleppo" by red lines in the map below (for scale: it's about ten kilometers from east to west):
6y4b.jpg
I'm going to update this post.
the most recent pro-Government map I saw shows something like I schematically added in blue:
DzGW.jpg


alas! now there are "unidentified" corpses lying on Castello Road (I just saw a video of an ambulance picking them up)
 
Yesterday at 7:47 AM
from bad to worse (the article dated July 6 at 4:51 PM):
U.S. jets abandoned Syrian rebels in the desert. Then they lost a battle to ISIS.

source:
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EDIT
I think I noticed the failed attack, and watched some videos with the aviation working on that convoy (and saw pictures of what remained from it), but I didn't connect these two events, of course
here's what Military.com has to say:
Loss of US Air Cover Led to Syrian Rebels Defeat by ISIS
What would have been the first victory for New Syrian Army rebels against the Islamic State quickly turned into an embarrassing rout last week when U.S. warplanes covering the advance diverted to another target 200 miles away in Iraq.

The diversion, first reported by The Washington Post and later confirmed by Pentagon officials, contributed to the collapse of the rebels’ offensive against the southeastern Syrian border town of al-Bukamal.

NSA fighters fled into the desert, leaving behind their equipment, including U.S.-supplied .50 caliber machineguns. The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) claimed to have killed 40 of the U.S.-trained and equipped NSA fighters while capturing 15.

U.S. warplanes conducting airstrikes to clear the way for the NSA offensive on June 28 suddenly departed under orders to join air attacks by U.S., British and Iraqi aircraft on a massive ISIS convoy moving toward the Syrian border from the area southwest of Fallujah, about 40 miles from Baghdad.

More than 100 vehicles reportedly were destroyed and hundreds of ISIS fighters were killed, according to the U.S. military and the Iraqi Security Forces.

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Col. Chris Garver, a spokesman for Combined Joint Task Force-Operation Inherent Resolve, hinted at the diversion of air power in a briefing to the Pentagon on Wednesday but told the Washington Post that "You have a finite number of resources, and you try to get the biggest bang you can out of the resources you have. Prioritization was given to one target over another."

In the Pentagon briefing, Garver said that the NSA was regrouping following the failed offensive on al-Bukamal, which had been billed as an attempt to sever one of the last ISIS lines of re-supply and communications between Syria and Iraq through the Iraqi border town of al-Qaim.

"It's not an overwhelming defeat because the New Syrian Army is still in the fight," Garver said. "They're still partnered with us. We're still providing them support and whenever they go, conduct another operation, you know, we'll -- we'll be sure to let you know."

"Al-Bukamal is an important area, as is Al-Qaim," Garver said. "That's a place where Daesh (an Arabic acronym for ISIS) had never been attacked on the ground before. And now they have been attacked on the ground. And that operation, frankly, was very confusing for them and we see movement right now" by ISIS to reposition forces."

The NSA reportedly has received military training in U.S.-run camps in Jordan, but most of their training and equipping was conducted at their base in the southeastern Syrian town of al-Tanf. Garver stressed that U.S. advisors were not with the NSA on the ground in the offensive. "This was not an accompanied mission," he said.

The base at al-Tanf was hit twice earlier this month by Russian air strikes, even after the U.S. military used emergency channels to ask Moscow to stop after the first strike, according to U.S. officials.

In a statement Thursday, the New Syrian Army pledged to continue the fight against ISIS and appeared to characterize the defeat at al-Bukamal more as a raid or probing attack rather than an offensive aimed at capturing the city.

"Our forces successfully departed at the conclusion of the raid," the statement said. "We will continue to conduct operations to remove Daesh." The statement contrasted with remarks by NSA spokesmen after the retreat into the desert.

Muzahem al Saloum, a spokesman for the NSA, told Reuters "We have withdrawn to the outlying desert and the first stage of the campaign has ended."

"The news is not good," another NSA source told Reuters. "I can say our troops were trapped and suffered many casualties and several fighters were captured and even weapons were taken."

In another briefing to the Pentagon last week as the attack began, Garver also said the intent was to capture al-Bukamal. "The announced purpose of this attack by the New Syrian Army, also known as the Ketab Allah Akbar, or KAA, is to liberate Abu Kamal (al-Bukamal) and cut Daesh military supply lines in the Euphrates Valley between Syria and Iraq," Garver said.

"As with our other partner forces, we are providing advice and assistance to KAA and strikes in support of their operations. Last night, we conducted eight large strikes on Daesh targets near Abu Kamal, including two tactical Daesh units, an intelligence training center, a headquarters, a training camp, a known bed-down location for fighters and a Daesh vehicle," Garver said.
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