U.S Colonel MacGregor who is a frequent commentator about the Ukraine war on youtube and most of the time I agree and respect his comments in the subject, raised my eyebrows while acknowledging that China had the upper hand in a land war, in naval matters the PLAN was too scared to sail too far out of home waters in a combat situation because their ships/subs weren't that good and the men were undertrained.But they didn't. They're trying to get all that, but haven't gotten it, and it's not because they're holding back but because they're afraid of the consequences.
U.S Colonel MacGregor who is a frequent commentator about the Ukraine war on youtube and most of the time I agree and respect his comments in the subject, raised my eyebrows while acknowledging that China had the upper hand in a land war, in naval matters the PLAN was too scared to sail too far out of home waters in a combat situation because their ships/subs weren't that good and the men were undertrained.
Interesting but Austria is a EU member and not in NATO and Turkeys a NATO member , but cant get into the EU.The same is true for Montenegro. Polls showed that way more people were against it, at that time, but the dictator president (who ruled for 30+ years, just yesterday lost in the elections) directly led the country into NATO without a referendum and without any kind of public opinion. As for why he did that, he is just like a narco president of the past century in South America, they blackmailed him for his criminal activities probably. He also order to used to arrest, beat down, and destroy the opposition. In the beginning, he was a pro-Serb, but later CIA acquired him and he just changed his political course overnight and turned to be genocidal against Serbs ever since then. I think they also promised something along the lines of faster joining the EU which is a fairy tale. I think they also did a similar thing in North Macedonia, I mean CIA and the West, promises of EU + covert operations, media campaigns, coups, etc. Nothing of that was legitimate.
Sorry bro don't want to insult you BUT an advise learn Chinese or better try to be a Chinese ( culturally and spiritually) all your prognosis is based on Western POV, maybe reading Sun Tzu is a good start since you won't be tired reading long phrase and it tickle the mind or if you want an epic journey try the Romance of the Three kingdom. From a young age, Eat Bitterness is inculcated to our mind as well as the teaching of Confucius about the value of PATIENCE, I'm a Hua Qiao, an overseas Chinese, these attributes help us to overcome discrimination and eventually economic success. We were taught not to show off our wealth so not to incite jealousy and fear and want to peacefully Co-exists. My little story is a microcosm of China today. And it will not follow any Western concept and policy because it doesn't want to be a hegemon, its not in our character to be one.Restraint becomes kind of a weakness when it's so beneficial for to be restrained. Then it becomes a handcuff that prevents you from taking action against provocation because you keep thinking, not yet, I need to hold on until I am stronger and my position is more favorable. China's biggest advantage is that it is so intelligent, restrained and thinks long term. But it is also its biggest weakness because everyone thinks they are too afraid to take costly actions.
If China was as unhinged as US for example, they would have banned all rare earth export to any country that bans Chip exports. That would have crippled Chip industry of US and Taiwan. It would have been such a huge action that whole world would have taken notice. It also would have deterred US to pursue more Chip sanctions.
What has China banned in response to all the Huawei bans in Europe and Australia? Did they ban Apple and German cars for example? For being a potential spy tool?
They have been extremely restrained because they cannot take these actions without huge costs to its own economy. and there is a fundamental difference between what US and the west wants and what China wants.
China's goal is to get richer and stronger, not to bring US down. But for US, they are already rich, they are already on top. They just want to bring China down. So, they can take actions that is costly for their economy, hoping that it will cost China more and maybe cause a collapse.
This is the fundamental difference between China and the USSR. China wants its own rise, USSR wanted to bring US down.
This is all very good and intelligent from China. But it is also a weakness in the Taiwan scenario. Because Taiwan and US can keep on Salami slicing all they want and China cannot take strong action without causing problems to their long term goal.
There is a difference between what is called a success for DPP vs what is a success for China. The Taiwan independence battle is battle of recognition. Taiwan is already de-facto separate from the mainland. But what Taiwan independence crowd really hated was that the west didn't interact with Taiwan on a political level. They wanted recognition from US and the west as a country.
Now they are kind of getting it. Not overtly, but bit by bit. slowly. Now politicians and ministers from western countries are visiting Taiwan as if it is a country. These ministers and official meet Tsai as if She is a president of a country. That is the recognition they seek.
When Tsai gets to visit the US or talk to US leaders, that's a win for them. When Lithuania opens a "Taiwan Representative Office", that'a huge win for them. Cause what is the difference between a "Taiwan representative office" vs a "taiwan embassy"? Very little.
Slowly but surely Taiwan is moving towards de-facto recognition of Taiwan Independence. They will not declare independence but they dont need to if presidents and leaders from US and the west openly visits Taiwan, Taiwan gets to open these representative offices and gets to openly participate in sports as "Taiwan".
They want to become independent without declaring independence. And currently they are succeeding towards moving to that goal step by step.
But China's goal is much harder. They have to actually takeover Taiwan physically. That's a much harder goal than the simple recognition game. So, China hasn't made any progress in their goal while Taiwan has been making a lot of progress in their goal.
I dont think EU can function without NATO. Germany core of EU is too weak militarily for enforcement. EU supposed to improve living standards which it did back in days but now may have outlived the utility due to regulations that causing high cost of living in the east.Interesting but Austria is a EU member and not in NATO and Turkeys a NATO member , but cant get into the EU.
*Note: Before joining the visa-free Area, the aspirant country is prone to a Schengen Evaluation. Afterwards, a member country undergoes a periodical evaluation to ensure the appropriate application of Schengen Acquis.
- To be able, on behalf of other member countries, to control the external borders of the Area as well as to issue Uniform Schengen Visas
- To possess the competence that, after the abolishment of border controls between member states, to capably collaborate with other member countries’ law enforcement agencies for a greater level of security
- To be equipped in applying “” or rules for controlling land, sea and air borders, issuing short-stay visas, police collaboration as well as protection of personal data
- To be ready to join and put in use the