Miscellaneous News
- Thread starter bd popeye
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In the old days, (heck, who I am kidding, it still happens today), in the olds days, the Americans would stage a coup to replace leaders like this, you know, the regime change thingy.
Famous story about Lydon Johnson telling off the Greek ambassador. Things never change.
Seems like that this time, any coup would have to go through Chinese security services first.
That story that China will supply security training or police to Soloman Island, was a very strange story. Normally, something like that never happens. Why were they doing this?
Maybe they want anti-coup training.
Suppose someone hired Eric Prince's company Blackwater to provide training and police services. Obviously that is to prevent coups.
Seems like China and the Soloman Islands have the same sort of understanding.
Did not expect them to start talking so much smack.
Must be liberating.
True, but China can block or impose penalties for every action.
And why shouldn't China double military spending to 3.4%? After all, the US and Russia are routinely above this level.
A porcupine strategy and a long war means Taiwan has accepted a blockade and at a minimum, will still see the utter collapse of the civilian economy (food, fuel, water, electricity, etc). There's no way to even transport food without fuel supplies.
Yes, supplies for 23 million people in Taiwan can be stockpiled. But without electricity or fuel, how can you store, transport and then distribute these supplies?
What can the US actually project to the Western Pacific? On a practical basis, the US needs local bases within the 2nd Island Chain. Otherwise sortie rates and presence drop off dramatically.
Yes, the US is improving its long range offensive capabilities (missiles, B-21 bombers, NGAD, ships, etc) but this is really expensive and still relies on the same few bases.
In comparison, China will vastly improve its long range strike capabilities by 2035.
There's a good chance that the Chinese H-20 stealth bomber will fly before the B-21. So we'll see the H-20 in service by 2030 and in significant numbers by 2035. That gives China a new capability to mount continuous airstrikes past the 2nd Island Chain.
We will also see the introduction of a bare minimum of 100 Y-20U large tanker aircraft which will be able to support fighters and bombers operating at longer ranges. Again this is a new capability which didn't exist before.
The J-20 fleet will also be at least 4x larger than today, with a bare minimum of 600 aircraft, and these will be supported by tankers.
I also expect a large increase in low-cost DF-17 MRBMs (Japan mainly), DF-26 IRBMs (Guam mainly) and DF-27 ICBMs (for the 3rd Island Chain).
Then you've got new carriers, destroyers, frigates, submarines. My guesstimate is an overall fleet 2-3x larger than today.
So China's ability to knockout bases in the 1st and 2nd Island bases will now be comprehensive, along with a new ability to reach out to the 3rd Island Chain. Japan for example will now be in a similar position to Taiwan today, where the Chinese would be able to mount an extended blockade and prevent US resupply to Japan.
EDIT. Japan would need about 400 MRBM missiles for a first strike, then another 400 for the reload. Then it could be followed up by H-20 bombers. Just 20 could launch 40,000 SDB glide bombs in a single night all over Japan.
The conclusion is that Japan's economic and military security can only be secured with China, and that an alliance with the USA would be worthless
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US Coast Guard patrolling for illegal fishing in West Pacific.
Can't wait for the day when China kicks these anglo pirates out of the West Pacific!This Solomon Islands PM is based beyond belief.
I hope he will be ok.
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China doesn't seek an active violent resolution, but American activity around Taiwan is more and more resembling Russian activity around Donbass early 2022.
Rebel forces hiding underground is not nearly as smart as you think. If they're largely underground, they're not protecting the coasts and once a group army has landed, unless USA successfully pulls off a landing as well, it is game over.
Beijing unlike Kiev isn't gonna spend years ineffectively shelling the separatists and building up useless national battalion infanteries. Expect a total communication/necessities cutoff and 100 000+ munitions fired each day, guided by 10cm accuracy satellite intel, 3 times more accurate than NATO GPS.
ROC soldiers are forced to defend the coasts, which means they must maintain relatively static formations. Except under such bombardment, static formations will be annihilated. Beijing can since the start of day 1-2 continously feint landings, forcing a disoriented and command disrupted ROC to move columns around to defend and create many highways of death.
Once Beijing lands in earnest, the war is over. Almost every scenario even the ones considered by the US regime accepts this as fact.
KungFu machine, son
Incredible, the westerners have destroyed any post ww2 peace settlement and have chosen to return to outright Hobbesian piracy and colonialism.