The War in the Ukraine

Surpluswarrior

Junior Member
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Here is a pretty comprehensive analysis of the conflict by a retired French general:


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It is originally in French, of course, but you can read it in English via Google Translate.

Faced with the war in Ukraine which could and should have been avoided, do we still have the right, in a world that is said to be free, to apprehend this dramatic situation with a non-Manichean reading grid or are we summoned to submit to the only truth officially dispensed under pain of being reviled and insulted?

Because yes, this conflict could be avoided by objectively admitting, after the continuous expansion of NATO since the end of the Cold War towards the Russian borders – an obsession that has become pathological for some – that the admission of Ukraine into this organization is not acceptable because it constitutes a casus belli for Russia.


Russia's security issues , as legitimate as those of EU member countries, cannot be ignored and want to exclude it, while it is a stakeholder, from an architecture on European security which concerns the he whole of the European continent seems neither judicious nor responsible.


Such a situation is likely to create unnecessary and dangerous tensions.


So, to make a bad calculation today, after having created the conditions for the outbreak of this conflict, by underestimating Russia's determination would be a culpable mistake with dramatic consequences for Europe as a whole.


Because when Vladimir Poutine affirms that the question of Ukraine became an existential question , it is necessary to believe it. So he will go all the way.


The lack of historical culture of many current leaders and many journalists, even their lack of discernment or their ignorance can lead to deadly excesses.

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Aegis21

Junior Member
Registered Member
Some more equipment into the grinder. Don't know if it's for replacement or upgrading DPR arsenal. I think that I saw in some post that they were giving some Msta to DPR lately.
It’s going through Crimea so probably for Russian forces in Zaporozhye or Kherson. If it was for the DPR, they would probably send it from Western Russia.

Edit: Been seeing a resurgence of V vehicles in Southern Ukraine again. A few days ago I saw a convoy of combat engineering vehicles and bridge layers. So there’s either a large defense being mounted for the heavily anticipated “Kherson Offensive” or the Russians have degraded Ukrainians in Nikolaev so much from missile/rocket attacks (over 70 in one day), they’re willing to do a Round 2 offensive.
 

FriedButter

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“Yet we are unable to break the Russian army’s advantage in artillery and manpower, and this is very much felt in the fighting, especially in Donbass. Peski, Avdeevka, other directions … It’s just hell there. It cannot even be described in words,” the Ukrainian president added.

Anyone catch that? Russia has an advantage in manpower? The Russians may not be all that outnumbered in Eastern Ukraine. Either Ukrainian forces are spread too thinly or they are taking significantly more casualties than the official numbers.
 

RottenPanzer

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Anyone catch that? Russia has an advantage in manpower? The Russians may not be all that outnumbered in Eastern Ukraine. Either Ukrainian forces are spread too thinly or they are taking significantly more casualties than the official numbers.
I think it's obviously because of taking more casualties, just look at the Ukrainian casualties report last month, even to the point of taking like 500-1000 casualties in a day!
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
I think it's obviously because of taking more casualties, just look at the Ukrainian casualties report last month, even to the point of taking like 500-1000 casualties in a day!
And you cannot compare manpower at equal ratio if your troops have no training and have one rusty ak per 5 starving man vs full armed well feeded trained soldiers...

Russia is like a steamroller in Ukraine, they are advancing very slowly and steadily. A meat grinder indeed.
 

FriedButter

Major
Registered Member
I think it's obviously because of taking more casualties, just look at the Ukrainian casualties report last month, even to the point of taking like 500-1000 casualties in a day!

Alex Mer. said in a couple videos a few days ago that he heard reports or rumors that Ukraine was transferring some troops from Donbas for the Kherson offensive. If that is true, then I really doubt the Ukrainian Army is going to last long enough if they commit to such an offensive. The drain on manpower will be severe.
 

reservior dogs

Junior Member
Registered Member
I think it's obviously because of taking more casualties, just look at the Ukrainian casualties report last month, even to the point of taking like 500-1000 casualties in a day!
Anyone saying that Ukraine has comparable manpower to Russia is just detached from reality. Russia has done some stealth mobilization where volunteers signed up to fight. Ukraine did multiple full mobilizations and has seen its young leave the country in droves. After each area of Ukraine was conquered, the Russians gain large number of Ukrainians who sign up not only to defend the area, but to add to the fighting force to fight the Ukrainian army. Russia can afford to take the months to train these people properly and to slowly immerse these new troops in war so they gain experience while not being slaughtered wholesale. Russia is rotating and resting their troops so the entire army share in the losses and gain fighting experience together. There are still large number of troops fully equipped and trained sitting by different places like Khersen and Kharkiv ready to open a different front. There are troops in Belarus just sitting.
 

Storm bombardier

New Member
Registered Member
The two most crucial weapons used by Russia in the conflict in Ukraine are cruise missiles and short-range ballistic missiles.

With the ability to strike all of Ukraine, these missiles aid Russia in attacking key military infrastructure, particularly in western Ukraine, where Kiev stores Western weapons and equipment.

Since beginning a special military campaign in Ukraine in February, Russia has fired hundreds of missiles. Even though Moscow has a sizable number of advanced missiles that can execute precise strikes, it still uses older, Soviet-era weapons.


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Stealthflanker

Senior Member
Registered Member
it still uses older, Soviet-era weapons.

well this is kinda natural... gotta clear the warehouse for new stuff sometime. although unfortunately old stocks may have defects or no longer meet the "modern merit" e.g the Kh-22MA.. it appear to still relies on INS and maybe its radar seeker and not seem to get mid-life Satellite navigation updates.
 
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