Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis

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supersnoop

Major
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Abominable said:
The PLAAF don't know that and it's a lot harder to justify shoot down a civilian airliner than a USAF marked one regardless of who's on board.

Not sure on the veracity but I called this. In the circumstances it seems suicide for the Taiwanese authorities to agree to let Pelosi in.

It seems suicidal for America as a political entity as well, it makes me wonder whether Pelosi is trying to sabotage America....
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Protecting freedom and democracy by starting wars, it’s the American way
 
plawolf

plawolf

Lieutenant General
I’m surprised China has not yet issue NOTAM for commercial aircraft to avoid Taiwan. If they suspected Nancy to be prancing around in a commercial airliner, that would be a pretty easy way to cancel her trip. The fact that they have not is telling, especially in light of all the commercial flight cancellations on the mainland side.

I’m expecting Nancy to be onboard SPAR19, and China has confirmation, which is why it’s no bothering with NOTAM games.

I would expect NOTAM to be issued as soon as SPAR19 crosses the 12nm line, as part of the final warning measures before the point of no return is reached.
 
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Abominable

Major
Registered Member
plawolf said:
I’m surprised China has not yet issue NOTAM for commercial aircraft to avoid Taiwan. If they suspected Nancy to be prancing around in a commercial airliner, that would be a pretty easy way to cancel her trip. The fact that they have not is telling, especially in light of all the commercial flight cancellations on the mainland side.

I’m expecting Nancy to be onboard SPAR19, and China has confirmation, which is why it’s no bothering with NOTAM games.

I would expect NOTAM to be issued as soon as SPAR19 crosses the 12nm line, as part of the final warning measures before the point of no return is reached.
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I think at this point the best thing to do is allow Pelosi's plane to land. There are a lot of civilian aircraft in the air and even if only Pelosi's plane is shot down, it could cause needless deaths on the ground.

Let the plane land, let Pelosi disembark and go to her hotel.

Then announce a no fly zone over Taiwan and send a telegram to the ROC regime to negotiate terms of surrender based around a one China two systems with full demilitarisation. Causus belli - an official visit from a US delegation abrogating the protocols agreed with America.

If terms aren't agreed to within 24 hours full scale war commences. Once a surrender has been achieved (whether it takes a few days or a year), the US delegation are transferred to America as a gesture of goodwill providing America accepts the new status quo.
 
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