Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis
- Thread starter sndef888
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As long as China's growth in military might continues to increase in strength relative to the US
It's in China's interest to kick any invasion of Taiwan down the road.
It is in America's interest for an Invasion of Taiwan to happen sooner than latter. This is the scarier aspect to the seemly forcing the issue nature of some American politicians approach to the Taiwan issue.
If the mid terms and the next presidential election features the who's tougher on China and Russia chest beating BS. Then we are going to see the fourth Taiwan Crises play out longer than Nancy's self promotional jaunt. A trip she is making for some priceless publicity photographs ready for the mid terms. Nancy is on the race to the bottom in policy choices with the right that are goading her on. What ever antagonistic thing towards China she can do and say for her I am tough on China credentials, the right Republicans will just move one step closer to the precipice with China.
It's in China's interest to kick any invasion of Taiwan down the road.
It is in America's interest for an Invasion of Taiwan to happen sooner than latter. This is the scarier aspect to the seemly forcing the issue nature of some American politicians approach to the Taiwan issue.
If the mid terms and the next presidential election features the who's tougher on China and Russia chest beating BS. Then we are going to see the fourth Taiwan Crises play out longer than Nancy's self promotional jaunt. A trip she is making for some priceless publicity photographs ready for the mid terms. Nancy is on the race to the bottom in policy choices with the right that are goading her on. What ever antagonistic thing towards China she can do and say for her I am tough on China credentials, the right Republicans will just move one step closer to the precipice with China.
The two real red lines I see are:
1) For the US to formally recognise Taiwan as a sovereign state.
2) Install nuclear capable missile systems in Taiwan.
Anything else is just noise for now. By 2030, the US will not even dare to bluff. Time is on our hand, be patient.
1) For the US to formally recognise Taiwan as a sovereign state.
2) Install nuclear capable missile systems in Taiwan.
Anything else is just noise for now. By 2030, the US will not even dare to bluff. Time is on our hand, be patient.
Radio International France? Is that owned by the French state media or one of the many deep state apparatus owned and operated by the U.S.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
She is going to loose if she is betting her life on the assumption that China is afraid to fight the US.
China doesn’t want to fight the US, but it did exactly that in Korea when it was poor, weak, isolated, hopelessly outgunned on paper and didn’t have any nukes.
The unspoken truth is that fighting America directly and winning was always what the PLA expected it would have to do in an armed reunification scenario.
It would love it if it didn’t have to fight America, but it would never ever have banked on that.
As such, shooting down her plane actually changes almost nothing from the POV of the Chinese. If anything, it might actually make things much easier for them since there would be absolutely clarity on what needs to be done, so you avoid a similar situation as in Ukraine where the US leverages the fact Russian doesn’t want to fight them directly into allowing it to give Ukraine material intel and sensor support not even the US military could guarantee during a state of open hostility and combat between US and Russian forces.
I still think that if the PLA does use lethal force, it will be against the escorting ROCAF fighters once they are within 12nm of Taiwan.
That will be the absolute last chance for her. If her plane does not turn tail and run like hell back home after that step, the next missiles will be for her.
Patience is going to be very tough to come by when you're constantly being spat on by your bully daring you to do something about it laughing at you at the same time. Can the Chinese people stomach such indignity till then?
Hi guys,
I am new here,
Any youtube channel that gives neutral analysis on the current Taiwan crisis? I do not trust on youtube or google searches as they give biased western search results. thanks
I am new here,
Any youtube channel that gives neutral analysis on the current Taiwan crisis? I do not trust on youtube or google searches as they give biased western search results. thanks
Very interesting as to how this may play out. IF Pelosi goes, stays one night, and doesn't "officially" meet anyone, it might be argued away as just a refueling stop, so to say. This might achieve a "face-saving" situation. But this would be playing long odds!
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