I think as tension rise to a certain point in the future, the ASEAN countries may have to conduct diplomacy with the Taiwan administration to try to convince them not to pull the trigger.
I think as tension rise to a certain point in the future, the ASEAN countries may have to conduct diplomacy with the Taiwan administration to try to convince them not to pull the trigger.
No, I think Biden has been mispeaking (lots of evidence of him often doing that as well).
Just reverse sanctions British officials who hold assets in HK and China.Just get it done.
This looks like extortion. Guess the West has gone back to its root of pirate.
Who is going to balance US overwhelming power in the North/South Americas?Nobody is ditching anyone.
ASEAN is desperate for the US to remain involved in the Asia-Pacific in order to balance China's overwhelming power.
If the US is not enough, don't be surprised when in the future they start courting EU/India.
That's how International Relations work in geopolitics. The moment someone gets too powerful, you start inviting outside parties to balance him out. Why else do you think that ASEAN loves involving the US in the SCS dispute
There are other aspects to it. One is threat perception where states are more likely to balance against hostile powers than friendly ones. The other is bandwagoning where the weaker state ally with stronger state due to its overwhelming power in order to gain benefits. Could end up with a situation where some members want to balance against China while others want to bandwagon.Nobody is ditching anyone.
ASEAN is desperate for the US to remain involved in the Asia-Pacific in order to balance China's overwhelming power.
If the US is not enough, don't be surprised when in the future they start courting EU/India.
That's how International Relations work in geopolitics. The moment someone gets too powerful, you start inviting outside parties to balance him out. Why else do you think that ASEAN loves involving the US in the SCS dispute
Tiny nations are easier to govern and usually have a higher HDI, with a responsive government.LKY and the current generation of political leaders also believe that China will have a larger military footprint than the US in the Singapore Straits in the future.
So should Singapore ditch the USA in such a scenario?
True. SCS dispute is still alive and kicking though. Until that is resolved don't expect any progress on thisOne is threat perception where states are more likely to balance against hostile powers than friendly ones.
Possible. However imo this can only happen seriously when China enjoys overwhelming regional military superiority. When that happens, everyone will become obedient.The other is bandwagoning where the weaker state ally with stronger state due to its overwhelming power in order to gain benefits. Could end up with a situation where some members want to balance against China while others want to bandwagon.
Hmm, if that is the case why did this moron send tons upon Tons of weapon reserves to Ukraine. If Russia decides to send a middle to this idiots house, he would’ve totally deserved that because not only did he send weapons to Ukraine which is already a declaration of all out war in normal terms but this idiot has the gall to say that Russia has no right to a veto and no rights to defend their sovereignty. The fact that Russia hasn’t killed his ass yet is simply a testament to Russia sheer will power not to rush into an engagement and also how Russia is starting to show just want kind of a position the EU is really in.
That can be the same for any other nation that rushes into any engagement these days. Plus Russian citizens in east Ukraine have been harmed by the Ukrainians for eight years so Russia does have good cause to do what they have done and thus is defending the sovereignty of their ethnic citizens who don’t want to be part of Ukraine anyways. Any further actions taken is done to defang these neo Nazis which to be honest, Nazi are evil no matter the nationality and unfortunately everyone knows that the azov battalion are Nazis so really, no real sympathy there. Also with the way that Russia is doing nowadays in taking the east of Ukraine bit by bit whilst managing to stabilize their economy while the west are starting to suffer real pain given that Gas, oil and food shortages are now starting to escalate in the west unless rubles are used (and we all know what that will do to the US dollar) while Russia isn’t suffering from the same seems to show Russia handing the west its ass in a silver platter. So really you could say that the west in trying to rush into a shock and awe economic engagement and thus got there asses handed to them badly. So yeah, I guess you are right in that assessment, in that those who rush into a conflict will get there asses handed to them.Sending weapons is a declaration of war? Russia can defend in sovereignty but it's not doing that in Ukraine. Russia isn't rushing into engagement because they would get their ass handed to them.