PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

[Abominable]

With Starlink, Internet will still be available unless PLA can jam thousand starlink sats

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Starlink won't be a problem. Anti satellite missiles will render it inoperable very fast. In fact that won't even be necessary, America would rather shut it down then have to face space being rendered unusable because of all the debris it would create.

To me the whole programme is a scam and should not be allowed, but that's another topic.

 

[Michaelsinodef]

Starlink won't be a problem. Anti satellite missiles will render it inoperable very fast. In fact that won't even be necessary, America would rather shut it down then have to face space being rendered unusable because of all the debris it would create.

To me the whole programme is a scam and should not be allowed, but that's another topic.

I think it was in this thread, but starlink doesn't need to shot down (since there are apparantly some ground stations needed for it).

 

[supersnoop]

Starlink won't be a problem. Anti satellite missiles will render it inoperable very fast. In fact that won't even be necessary, America would rather shut it down then have to face space being rendered unusable because of all the debris it would create.

To me the whole programme is a scam and should not be allowed, but that's another topic.

Your solution would cost many millions...

One phone call to Elon, "Hey, do you want to keep the Tesla Shanghai plant or not?"

Much cheaper

 

[luosifen]

Just start land reclamation towards Taiwan, won't have to conduct an amphibious assault if the Taiwan Strait doesn't exist anymore

 

[FairAndUnbiased]

Just start land reclamation towards Taiwan, won't have to conduct an amphibious assault if the Taiwan Strait doesn't exist anymore

Even minor land reclamation and bridge/tunnel building around some islands to put more rocket artillery in range is good.

 

[lych470]

Would anyone care to guess the Order of Battle for a TW contingency?

Guessing the 73rd Group Army will definitely be involved, but is one Group Army big enough? Would PAP/other paramilitary forces be brought in for peacekeeping/维稳 operations post operation?

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(Xiamen, Fujian)

• 86th Motorized Infantry Division (Fuzhou, Fujian)
• 91st Motorized Infantry Division (Zhangzhou, Fujian)
• 92nd Motorized Infantry Brigade (Quanzhou)
• 3rd Artillery Brigade (Quanzhou, Fujian)
• 13th Air Defense Brigade (Xiamen, Fujian)
• Amphibious Armored Brigade (Zhangzhou, Fujian)
• 10th Army Aviation Regiment

 

[drowingfish]

Would anyone care to guess the Order of Battle for a TW contingency?

Guessing the 73rd Group Army will definitely be involved, but is one Group Army big enough? Would PAP/other paramilitary forces be brought in for peacekeeping/维稳 operations post operation?

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(Xiamen, Fujian)

• 86th Motorized Infantry Division (Fuzhou, Fujian)
• 91st Motorized Infantry Division (Zhangzhou, Fujian)
• 92nd Motorized Infantry Brigade (Quanzhou)
• 3rd Artillery Brigade (Quanzhou, Fujian)
• 13th Air Defense Brigade (Xiamen, Fujian)
• Amphibious Armored Brigade (Zhangzhou, Fujian)
• 10th Army Aviation Regiment

judging by where it is located, 73 GA is likely going to be first used on kinmen, and later on penghu. 72 will likely be used on matsu and dongyin. none of those objectives will require the entire GA. 71 could be the one to land on Taiwan first, then followed by other GA's.

 

[lcloo]

Hualien airforce base is the largest and most fortified airforce base in Taiwan. It is about 4km X 4km in parameter, made up of two separate airfields (including dual use military-civilian Hualien airport) linked by a broad taxiway which could be used as an emergency runway. In total it has 2 main runways, and 3 taxi ways that can be used as emergency runway.

There are more than 100 fortified hangars, including tunnels dug into mountains.

To disable this airbase, at least 100 cruise missiles are need for the hangars, and at least another 30 or more for control towers, radars, sam sites, fuel tank farm and runways etc.

First wave attacks is not likely to destroy all intended targets, and run ways could be repaired within hours. Second wave and third wave might be needed to make the airbase completely un-usable for the duration of war.

If 3 waves of missiles attacks are needed, then no less than 250 cruise missles might be needed for this air base..

 

[ChongqingHotPot92]

Hualien airforce base is the largest and most fortified airforce base in Taiwan. It is about 4km X 4km in parameter, made up of two separate airfields (including dual use military-civilian Hualien airport) linked by a broad taxiway which could be used as an emergency runway. In total it has 2 main runways, and 3 taxi ways that can be used as emergency runway.

There are more than 100 fortified hangars, including tunnels dug into mountains.

To disable this airbase, at least 100 cruise missiles are need for the hangars, and at least another 30 or more for control towers, radars, sam sites, fuel tank farm and runways etc.

First wave attacks is not likely to destroy all intended targets, and run ways could be repaired within hours. Second wave and third wave might be needed to make the airbase completely un-usable for the duration of war.

If 3 waves of missiles attacks are needed, then no less than 250 cruise missles might be needed for this air base..

View attachment 86621View attachment 86622View attachment 86623

you might need tactical nukes for this base

 

[Godzilla]

you might need tactical nukes for this base

Wouldn't you just neutralize the fuel tanks and the entrances to the tunnels along with the runway/radar/SAM/hardened shelters in the first wave, and then keep real time surveillance over the area and take out the engineering units coming in with clustered munitions? I would imagine it would be alot harder to repair a fully collapsed tunnel entrance under fire than it is to repair runways and get aircrafts out of damaged hardened shelters?
Would PLAN play any role after the first wave for shore bombardment of the area? It would atleast divert the defenders from the west coast? A dozen 056s with 052D providing SAM cover might be useful here? Especially as they might be needed in the area anyway to help blockade the east coast for potential reinforcement from 3rd parties?