Ukrainian War Developments

[enroger]

Exactly. Russia's claim that this shift is due to their good will in the peace talks is simply a political fig leaf to cover a military failure and subsequent military decision to pull back. Russia will want to shorten the lines to achieve a more sustainable position, but I doubt they will withdraw from the Kyiv region entirely because by maintaining a presence there they tie down Ukrainian forces that would otherwise be available to reinforce the east.

I think at this point there is no reason to pin down Kyiv's forces, if they do reinforce the east what is there to stop Russian from bombing those reinforcement in the open?

 

[Rettam Stacf]

Eh I don't see China being a part of any such agreement unless China can somehow pull UN into it as well maybe?

Better still, wait for EU to formally ask China to be the mediator, or even the "guarantor". That will give China the authority and moral standing to tell the US to butt out.

Don't forget, the EU-China Summit is coming up this Friday (April 1st) and the Ukraine crisis will be top of the agenda. We should watch it closely.

 

[Corona]

The DPR will consider the issue of joining the Russian Federation after the liberation of the entire Republic," Pushilin

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1508842376936280066

A large convoy of equipment and personnel arrived from South Ossetia to the DPR to participate in a special operation

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1508841615191908361

(Could be from early days of war)!
Ukrainian Air Force MiG-29 fighter shot down over Kramatorsk

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1508820679814221836

 

[Topazchen]

it would interesting to evaluate in 10 years or so after ukraine joins EU how much integration of ukraine cost EU compare to how much EU sanction cost Russia.

How much sanctions cost Russia will largely be dependent on how China acts

 

[SilentObserver]

South Ossetian convoy in DPR.

 

[Stealthflanker]

(Could be from early days of war)!
Ukrainian Air Force MiG-29 fighter shot down over Kramatorsk

or from 2014.

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[tank3487]

Vladimir Shamanov, Head of the Defence Committee of Duma.

Take anything that he say with a HUGE grain of salt. He retains his meaningless position only due to his achievements during both Chechen wars. But time get toll on anyone. And he is known for bs statements to the press.

 

[Appix]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1508876474639597574

 

[Jingle Bells]

Captured MAM-L : MAM-L small-sized ammunition for the Bayraktar TB2 UAV, captured by the Russian Armed Forces in the Kherson region. Strange, to find this lying around

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1508805222285590528

Captured Ukrainian S-300 air defense system is now in the Crimea & UAV providing assistance : BM 21 Grad attacking Ukrainian positions.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1508879081558974467

Looks like Russian is really learning how to fight a high-tech information-era war, little by little.

 

[Rettam Stacf]

Says who? You think that gaining all such territory, much of it greatly hostile and unfriendly to Russia intrinsically negates from such results as:

- neutrality of Ukraine
- taking of Donbass
- recognition of Crimea

?

A neutral Ukraine goes a long way towards alleviating Russia's security concerns.

Until more information come out from both side, we do not know those are conditions for a ceasefire or a peace-security treaty.

For a ceasefire which means troops stay in place, those conditions are probably acceptable to Russia. For a peace treaty, Russia will likely demands more, and in return, allows Ukraine to join EU.

My 2 cents.