Coronavirus 2019-2020 thread (no unsubstantiated rumours!)

B.I.B.

Captain
Bro, the influenza vaccine efficacy is around 30%, so that's why CDC put a 50% efficacy as requirement for "Great" vaccine efficacy for emergency use.

Plus, mRNA vaccine is experimental without long-term side effect data, yet you don't see Western media pointing this out.
Yeah, but it won't matter for people who already have one foot in the grave, or the elderly.
 

KYli

Brigadier
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Butantan said that if the second dose is delayed by more than two weeks, the efficacy rises to 62.3%. The vaccine has an efficacy of between 83.7% and 100% at preventing those infected from requiring medical assistance, it said.


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B.I.B.

Captain
I'm having another look at the economics of vaccine production.

If I use Serum Institute as an example, it costs them $400M to build a new vaccine plant with a capacity of 80M doses per month,
With a production cost of $2, the monthly production cost is $160M.

On the open market, they could sell each dose for say $15 each, which generates revenue of $1200M.
So it takes less than 3 weeks to cover all their costs and generate a profit.

And if I run another projection, a selling price of $7 per dose means a new vaccine plant pays for itself in 1 month.
If you drop the price further to just $3, a new vaccine plant would take 5 months to breakeven.

So from that perspective, there really should be a wartime level of mobilisation in terms of new vaccine capacity, with the understanding that much of this surge capacity won't be needed in 6months time.

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Hmmmm,Serum Institue is the one producing the Astra Zenecavaccine which the the U.S. has agreed to pay under $4 a dose.

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I know I'm comparing apples with oranges, but I believe mRNA vaccines are faster to produce than the regular ones but in India one plant can turn out 80million does a month....?
According to this article Pfizer is at the time of writing{mid FEB} can only produce up to 3 million does every 110 days

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solarz

Brigadier
I blame Gao Fu for being a moron. Even though his words have been taken out of context and misrepresented by the Western media. But as China CDC head, Gao Fu should know better for saying what he has said.

Meh, if it's not this, there's always going to be something else. As we've seen with Xinjiang, Western media will even make things up if they can't find anything to twist.
 

supersnoop

Colonel
Registered Member
These western media are shameless in the way they would misrepresent in a negative way any kind of report on the Chinese vaccine. I just heard on Aljazeera news that China has just admitted that its vaccines have a low protection rate apparently in reference to China's CDC director's comment on how to improve the effectiveness of its vaccines.



Just how believable is the reported 3 percent efficacy rate after the first dose when Brazil has reported a much better efficacy rate of 50% in preventing symptomatic infection after just one dose of the Sinovac in its rollout?



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The big issues (to me at least) are the following:

1. It's obvious that the sole purpose of many of these articles is to misinform and misdirect. As I mentioned before, articles with respect to the J&J vaccine are far more conciliatory in tone, they try to explain that WHO guidelines only need above 50% efficacy to stop infections from growing, or that efficacy is not measured uniformly from study to study, and finally it was still effective in preventing hospitalization like 90% of the time. So back to the Chinese vaccines, they all comfortably meet these guidelines, but instead we see articles that trash them, why? In a time where we are always complaining about "fake news", outlets should be more responsible with their reporting. (I know, wishful thinking)

2. It's great that the mRNA vaccines are so effective, but it's totally meaningless when the US put in a complete export ban. Is this mentioned at all? If there is no Chinese vaccines for many of these countries, then there is no vaccine at all. The reduction of hospitalizations is still a huge impetus for these countries where doctors/well-trained nurses are not plentiful. The lower efficacy only means a higher threshold is needed for herd immunity.

3. Finally, mRNA was a totally untested/unproven technology and still might have unknown long term effects. It's great that it seems to be a home run so far, but at the same time we have to recognize that within the western world, it was a high risk-high reward scenario. If you ever watched Star Wars, there is the famous line "Many Bothans died for this information", in this case, "Many Americans died for this success". Because China was and continues to be pretty successful in containing outbreaks, they chose a very conservative approach to the development and even now deployment.

These articles will only encourage people to pat themselves on the back and "proving" the superiority of western methods and ideology. Furthermore, it just reinforces the Evil Chinese/Yellow peril image that is responsible for the violence going on right now (China exporting useless vaccines, tricking people)
 

gadgetcool5

Senior Member
Registered Member
Meh, if it's not this, there's always going to be something else. As we've seen with Xinjiang, Western media will even make things up if they can't find anything to twist.
I think it actually makes China look better and more transparent. The fact that China's vaccines have lower effectiveness is already no secret. 50-57% efficacy for Sinovac, it has been published by Brazil and Chile and it is going to come out no matter what. There is no point in trying to hide it. People already know the mRNA vaccines are better. But the fact that the government is not afraid to make this admission will help its image. People respect honesty. Sometimes I think people misunderstand what will win you genuine respect in the world. Admissions such as this will do more to help China's image subconsciously than most wolf warrior style diplomacy.
 
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