Recently the Flight Simulator 2020 was withdraw from distribution/selling in China (only country listed as not available for sale) and many folks in China can no longer access OneDrive (even over VPN, they claim it is the US side shutdown it down) in the past several weeks, and now just today Microsoft sent out new terms of service for subscribers of its Office 365 in China highlighting that it will not be a fault for refunds if the US government request that Microsoft ceases doing business in China etc.
Just this morning, Apple is being pressured to remove TikTok and WeChat from the apple store in advance (much earlier) of/than the 45 day grace period indicated by Trumps two seperate Executive Orders...
Between this and the TikTok/WeChat ban, its clear the writing is on the wall...
To give idea how fast things are developing, I posted on r/sino about the WeChat and TikTok bans merely three weeks ago and back then many were in disbelief that WeChat could possibly get affected as well....
I'm saying it now, Microsoft is being ordered to completely remove itself from China... I wouldn't be surprised if they sent an update that crashed everyone's windows 10 in China making it unusable on the way out.
The speed and breath of such a decoupling can only point towards upcoming kinetic war.
https://www.reddit.com/r/Sino/comments/ht2wxw View attachment 62467
I have been telling here that, this is exactly what will happen. China cannot continue this kind of piece by piece self-reliance policy. If China really wants to to be self-reliant, they must adopt an Country wide policy. Which means, Huawei should not develop its own OS while Xiaomi gets to keep using Android. That undermines Huawei and also gives boost to Xiaomi short term, but a future ban will waste its investments. All Chinese companies making phones should work together to come up with a single and dominant OS-services-apps platform that will be directly competing against Android-Google-Facebook-Uber worldwide monopoly. China needs to break the monopoly of the US eco-system, otherwise it will be cutoff.
A Chinese phone that doesn't have viable alternative to Facebook will not sell outside China. A Chinese phone that doesn't have a viable alternative to Gmail/Google search will not sell outside China. On the other hand, Chinese apps that can be cutoff playstore at any time will never be able to get market share worldwide and can be destroyed anytime by US ban on playstore inclusion.
So, its a stranglehold from both sides. China needs to give up on global expansion by individual tech companies and organize them to be completely free of US influence by government mandate. Which means Chinese apps will not run without a Chinese phone OS. and Chinese phone will not sell without Chinese phone OS. That kind of strict cutoff is needed to give the companies enough push to work together and come up with a comprehensive eco-system.