As far as I understand, Siper right now is aerodynamic only. For ABM, Turkish territory is covered by NATO assets.
Which means against Israel it is non-existent(Qatar case).
Yep, only air-breathing target set for now. (which is why Patriots defend the AN/TPY-2, and Iranian SRBMs are intercepted with SM-3s off the Turkish coast.)
Hisars are really nice systems, but they are IMHO exactly type of a system designed for 2010s threat environment. Against Israel you just need different capability sets.
Agreed here.
Aka Siper (covered by ciws), preferably it's evolving form which doesn't quite exist yet.
Last we heard, development of the ABM variant (Block-3) had been accelerated; with tests expected to begin in 2028.
The Siper IADS is an interesting system. The Block-1 missile is essentially a Hisar-RF fitted with an AShM booster, while the Block-2 is essentially an SM-2 Block IIIC without a booster. Over time, you can essentially produce the equivalent of the American sea-based ABM missile family from it. Only the missiles change; the battery elements remain the same, and the advantage of Siper's battery structure is that each element is dispersed rather than aggregated like other systems. Since its ALP‑300G search radar has received a large order under a separate contract, a larger area can be covered with fewer systems.
Probably, Block-3 will initially be against SRBMs only, which is currently more than sufficient when considering the regional threat and the fact that Turkey has no domestic ABM capability at the moment.
When you think about it, acting on that PAC-3 MSE proposal that passed through the Congress in 2019 could have not only filled an operational gap, but also supported the Siper-B3 through operational experience.
I was more along the lines of emerging need to pull them out of reserve as a backstop second time. This time - till Siper can take over ballistic missile defense.
Israel establishes precedent after precedent, sparrowing allies and foes, and Israeli politicians already talk abt next big thing.
S-400 isn't really an ABM system, but it can do it to a degree, available, and it's better than having nothing at all.
Politically, it’s not possible. Turkey has only just managed to get the Americans to listen to its case, and relations are only beginning to improve (enough to make the paranoid Israelis nervous)... Deploying them now would throw another decade of stable relations with the US out the window.