War will come in much less time than that, I'd say by 2028 at the latest given all the cumulative and ongoing developments, but it's a fight that will reach the continental US itself, not only Japan. That's why WW3 will be between the Eastern members of the WWII Allies facing against the Western fascist aligned block.
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- Thread starter bd popeye
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His point is that, Takaichi‘s fiscal stimulus and tax cuts will injecte liquidity into the market, inevitably leading to a rapid depreciation of the yen, and it will faster than the rate of asset appreciation. Japan has no way to actually drivel asset appreciation, if there were, the past 30 years wouldn't have been so lifeless until now. All they need to do is follow the wealthy and then flee.
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I doubt Japan has a load hypersonic missile yet but even then, Japanese cities would have to deal with dozen of thousands Chinese missiles targeting military, power, nuclear plants, nuclear weapon stockpiles, industry, universities and economic targets in a area that is many many times smaller than China, pretty easy target.
At the end of the day war sum up as if the sacrifice is worth it and in the case nuclear weapons Japan would have to decide if sacrificing Tokyo and a million of people who live there is a worthy price for a capital that is just 100 km from the Chinese coast.
My guess is that they will conclude that sacrificing Tokyo for Taipei is not worth it. The Japanese warmongers right wingers are opportunistic but I don´t think they are that stupid.
if a war does happen there is a very real possibility of the US chickening out given all of their war games against China result in defeat or a draw, so they could be a situation were the US materially supports japan trough trade but i don't see them getting personally involved, this would be similar to Ukraine were they only support Ukraine with intelligence and weapons but don't have their soldiers actually on the ground, also we have to keep in mind that the way things are going with the decline of the US by 2028 they will be less capable to actually fight China head on then they were in 2025 and that will mean even less probability of them getting involved.
All in all Japan being left out in the cold with only some regional support like the Philippines and South Korea is a very real possibility but even that is unlikely given your 2028 time frame and the given geopolitical changes within that time frame.
Not to mention that it’s a good way to show solidarity with the Canucks to take out one of their chief competitors in the gooning sphere…
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They are fatalistic and welcome death if it means punishing their perceived enemies. The recent election results prove that. China needs to start making contingency plans to rapidly ramp up a possible military option that results in not just 1 million in Tokyo, but 50 to 100X as much. It's a stomach churning decision, but China can not shy away. It is existential.
AssassinsMace
Lieutenant General
Yes they know what everyone is thinking… That’s why they have to come out and do damage control. The Jews stereotype themselves as being neurotic so just imagine how insecure they are feeling when even though Israel has the support of the Western governments, it’s a fine line in a democracy when public opinion is not so much in their favor. I remember not too long ago where people were generally very careful not to say anything that can be interpreted as antisemitic. Remember the “War on Christmas”? That whole thing started because it was all about protecting Jewish sensitivities over Christmas but they just don’t say it. It was covered up with other competing holidays such as Kwanzaa. But these days so many are freely criticizing Israel from both sides enough that Jews are running to the protection of the traditionally antisemitic right where they immediately encounter a newly more acceptable right-wing antisemitism questioning them. I even encounter the OG right-wing antisemites because when I go into other forums to harass right-wingers, I get accused of being paid for by the Jews. I think they’re confused because they’re suppose to be on their side now and I was defending Hasan Piker.
If China doesn't start spending double triple their current military budget and prepare for War in earnest, then they will regret it later. I feel 2026 is similar to in 1933, it is a prelude to war. If CHina doesn't move to rapidly and massively improve its military, they will suffer when the war actually starts.
What about Gandhi?
hogwash. China already spends a sizable amount of its GDP for the military, and will continue doing so in the future.
There is zero need to triple that, and I'm fucking glad that CPC understands that and curbs the nationalists appropriately.
Lastly, the latest Japanese elections had almost NOTHING to do with China. Some people are running a main character syndrome here, my suggestion is to stop the hyperbole.