Saddam managed to evade capture for more than 8 months. Maduro couldn't even last half a day?
Wtf is with this degree of incompetence lmfao
Different geostrategic environment, different degree of support/infiltration, different degree of resistance.
As others have written, the overall military seems to have stood down, and I wouldn't be surprised if most of the strikes from the US in the last few months have coincided with significant backroom contacts to tell the local military to stand down.
Russia and China of course were not in any particular position to ship meaningful weapons to Venezuela -- given the state of Venezuela's military, nation-state economics, and overall governing competence, it would've taken some 3-5 years to establish a military force capable of really resisting US military force outright, and that would require Russia or China actually bankrolling the effort in one which would ultimately fail. And that would assume the US did not simply interdict shipping of cargo ships delivering weapons as well, which neither Russia or China would be willing to escalate with military force to ensure safe passage for.
Friendly reminder that the military disparity between the US and Venezuela is magnitudes greater than that between China and Taiwan. Venezuela has a garage-industry air force with outdated handful of Su-30s and F-16s, little to no domestic weapons manufacturing capacity, and - from what the US strikes have demonstrated - little to no command & control capabilities over its military. Taiwan, on the other hand, has some ~400 fighter aircraft comprised of extremely-modernized F-16s, Mirage 2000s, and its indigenous F-CK-1, a domestic military industry that has allowed it to stockpile thousands of cruise missiles, an integrated ADS, and a functioning navy with some fairly modern vessels. I would also presume that Taiwan's command and communications are better-protected than that of Venezuela.
An operation against Taiwan's leadership and military command would look very, very different in scope and design from what we're seeing here in Venezuela.
There would be no particular parallels between the prospect of a similar PLA operation, in the sense that it would not occur in an opening phase manner. At most it might occur after weeks of bombardment in which it would require substantial elements ROC leadership (military and civil) to betray and give up on whoever the figurehead of independence is, and then possibly some sort of high effort coordinated SOF in and out operation against a mostly depleted and uncoordinated ROC military in the same way that the Venezuelan military is now (though the latter's depletion occurred over years and years of neglect).
