2025 Israel - Iranian conflict

yugocrosrb95

Junior Member
Registered Member
What we see in the pre- and post-strike satellite imagery at the impact locations appears to resemble a subsidence crater.

A subsidence crater forms when an underground explosion causes the overlying material to collapse into the void left behind. Unlike a traditional blast crater, which involves visible ejection of debris, a subsidence crater is caused by structural failure of underground cavities, often leaving a subtle depression with minimal surface disruption.

In military terms, a subsidence crater can be a signature of a failed or partial penetration, where the weapon either:

- Detonates in a shaft or soft medium (e.g., gravel, soil),
- Fails to reach the intended depth, or
- Triggers collapse in a tunnel or void below the surface.

Signs of a Subsidence Crater in Post-Strike Imagery
Shallow depression, not sharp or fresh-looking like a direct impact

- No surrounding blast pattern or fragmentation
- No signs of high-temperature surface exposure (scorching or soot)
- Minimal disruption to nearby structures

This type of crater suggests:

- The bomb may have entered a void or shaft—real or decoy
- The explosion may have caused a localized collapse, not structural destruction
- The target was likely not deeply affected, unless the collapse intersected a critical node (e.g., tunnel access or ventilation route)

If Iran built in structural void layers (or decoys), a subsidence crater might be exactly what they wanted attackers to hit.

It supports the idea of hitting a “camouflet” trap—a deception shaft or false structural target.

Even if real tunnels were collapsed, redundancy and clearance teams could restore functionality in weeks.

Bottom Line: A subsidence crater is not proof of a successful deep penetration, but possibly of a failed attempt to achieve one—or a successful deception by the defenders.
 

Sinnavuuty

Captain
Registered Member
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—❗️/ BREAKING: Iranian media published the first footage of a downed Israeli fighter jet, allegedly an F-35

In the video, different parts of the jet are examined, corresponding with parts of the F-35 'Adir'.

DISCLAIMER: Take this with a HUGE pinch of salt for now. I'm just sharing what's being circulated.

@Middle_East_Spectator
 
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