China just has to do nothing and wait till missiles from Israel and US deplete. Israel is said to be two weeks away from that. US? Depends. Does it want a war with China or not? Either it does or doesn't, the elephant in the room are rare earths.
2025 Israel - Iranian conflict
- Thread starter Maikeru
- Start date
What on earth, is this NYT: subtle way of saying 'attack Iran because of China' ??? what..
Anyone whgom think that a 20 storey big airplane can enter a airspace protected by high mobiliilty high altitude SAM systems without at least double digit loss needs a brand new bridge parking not far away from his house, for very low price.
B-2 is a STRATEGIC BOMBER, means its deisnged job is to provide counterstrike capability in the even of full out nuclear war.
It was designed because B52 against S300 has single digit chance of survival to do the strike ( be clear , it is the chance for single way success), so they had to increase this chance to 50-70% for credible deterent.
It means in pracical terms a B-2 sortie against a single target deep in Iran has in best case 50% chance of SURVIVAL. This percentage include the case when the plane turn back.
Whole Iran looks like a large hide and seek wetdream for BUK units, doesn't matter the flight path, there is allwazs a chance to see a BUK radar pop up underneath the airplane.
Again , design target of B2 is like " if we send 20 of them then with sum of 320 nuclear bomb then at least 160 bomb will be delivered "
There was an immediate refueling, which imo indicates they are fully loaded (imo with MOPs) and had to take off with not full fuel load
Could be nothing, could be signalling, could be a strike mission
It takes 2 hours to fly there before refuelling time, and you're at most bombing single trucks, it doesn't take many trucks per week to supply a garrison when not in combat.
They'll try infiltration with spies and saboteurs, that's their usual MO and because any actual ground troops will just get killed by FPV in the open long before they reach the facility.
Also the whole idea of Fordow is a manufactured issue, Fordow isn't Iran's only fortified underground facility and they're not going to store anything important at a place everyone's focused on. Fordow is played up in western media because they want to use it as an off ramp and as a way to normalize the idea of Iranian nukes, if Iran's actually building a nuke they're not doing it at a place with a big "nuke construction facility" sign outside.
solarz
Brigadier
It's an obvious attempt to bait China into getting involved in the conflict.
It will be interesting to see if Iran has any SAM left to attack the B-2 since they should be highly prepared to defend against the strikes.
If they can hit even 1 b-2, the blow to US credibility will be devastating.
Will those need to fly thru south china sea or indonesia?