2025 Israel - Iranian conflict

[Overbom]

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- : An Israeli Hermes drone operating over Tehran, Iran.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1934641788385480830

 

[texx1]

I don't see how they can negotiate when the US/Israel/NATO/EU are all acting in bad faith?

If there's some table-turner, like Russia adding Iran to its nuclear umbrella - then sure - it would make sense to have a pause to make such an announcement. And any such arrangement would likely be far to complicated to deal with as the implications are very far reaching.

I think Iran wants to prevent a US attack at all costs because they know they don't stand a chance against US bombings. Multiple B2s armed with BLU-57s could do a number on Fordow. This could also be a signaling effort, hoping to influence isolationist MAGAs to convince trump not to get involved offensively.

 

[tamsen_ikard]

I think Iran wants to prevent a US attack at all costs because they know they don't stand a chance against US bombings. Multiple B2s armed with BLU-57s could do a number on Fordow. This could also be a signaling effort, hoping to influence isolationist MAGAs to convince trump not to get involved offensively.

Best case scenario for Iran, US stays out, nuke plants survive, JCPOA like deal or no deal, Israel pounded to such an extent that it's out as an economy for several years, Iran's regional allies are energized and get breathing room.

 

[gelgoog]

SAMs getting wrecked:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1934582631984922764

Those explosions are tiny. It is most likely a drone firing munitions.
Contrary to Israeli claims of their supposed air superiority in Iran most attacks seem to be done with drones.

 

[gelgoog]

The US also bombed the TV station in Belgrade. It is all to increase chaos in the general population.

 

[sheogorath]

Those explosions are tiny. It is most likely a drone firing munitions.
Contrary to Israeli claims of their supposed air superiority in Iran most attacks seem to be done with drones.

The strike on the tv station was carried out with drones, apparently

 

[gelgoog]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1934641788385480830

The Hermes 450 has only 300 km range. If it is flying over Tehran it was likely launched inside Iran itself. Or at best from the Caspian Sea. Unless they are sending these on one way missions or something.

 

[texx1]

Best case scenario for Iran, US stays out, nuke plants survive, JCPOA like deal or no deal, Israel pounded to such an extent that it's out as an economy for several years, Iran's regional allies are energized and get breathing room.

Iran can claim victory as long as its nuclear program survives and no regime change. But the further decline of Iranian regional influence is almost a certainty after this war.

 

[Proton]

The Hermes 450 has only 300 km range. If it is flying over Tehran it was likely launched inside Iran itself. Or at best from the Caspian Sea. Unless they are sending these on one way missions or something.

Well, there's no identifiable geographical markers on that video.

 

[tonyget]