China's SCS Strategy Thread

GenghisCant

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View attachment 126539

There are some groups in the Philippines, like the owners of this pseudo nationalist page, who still think that the US will come to save the Philippines in a confrontation with China. Little do these Filipinos know that their country is being groomed to be the next cannon fodder to be sacrificed to advance US interests :rolleyes:
We had a similar tripartite deal in the works back in 2005 that involved China and Vietnam that was struck down by the Philippine Supreme court as unconstitutional, but apparently it’s alright now because it’s with the US. Compradors will be compradors.
 

ddd...

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No what cost China 100 years of humiliation was cowardice when Manchu troops ran away and were shot in the back during a rout instead of using their vast numbers advantage and fighting to the death with muskets that would've taken a high casualty ratio vs rifles but nonetheless were still guns.

Zulu with wooden spears, not even muskets, still savaged the British, decades later than the Qing, because they fought to the death.

There's no perfect time to go to war, you see this everywhere. What you can do is get ready, show resolve to fight to the death so you aren't seen as an easy target, and respond properly to escalations.
There are actually two very good series on youtube about the history of the opium wars.

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Cowardice was never the cause of Qing dynasty's humiliating defeat. Instead, ignorance, technological backwardness, and most importantly a political system and hierarchical bureaucracy geared to maximize the pleasure of the top and stability of their reign but oppress the telling of unpleasant truth and empowerment of the grassroots were.


"Commissar" Jin Canrong had an excellent analogy for the PH-China situation: a noisy little guy taunting Mike Tyson. If the champ even bothers to raise his fist, it's a win for the little guy. Doesn't matter if the little guy actually fights and claims a honorable defeat or simply falls to the ground as soon as seeing the fist raised and plays the victim --- the weak has everything to win since he gets nothing in the first place.

Luckily, PRC is smart enough to view and portray itself as an imperturbable and unruffled kong fu master, rather than some hotheaded muscular moron.

Think about PRC's limited number of wars. It has always followed a crouching-tiger strategy: showing restraint, allowing the opponent to make mistakes, rallying domestic support and international sympathy in this process, and waiting patiently for the right moment (when it has adequate justification for the use of violence and when the stronger hostile tigers are occupied with something else) to pounce.

And unlike the US or Russia, it actually exceled in knowing how to end wars, often event before it started them. Again, rationalized ambitions and disciplined restraint were its unique tricks.
 

Micron

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Where is the US coast guard man. US navy shadowing is not enough, they just watched.
The US has acted knowing the implication when they send CG vessels 8300 km off their shores to patrol in these hostile water instead of naval warships nowadays.
So Strait of Taiwan, Japan Sea will be next, then Strait of Malacca following the precedence set.
Bongbong Marcos Jr by acquiescing to these acts, does that implied that Philippines is still a US colony?
Apart from Bongbong Marcos Jr of Philippines, many Filipinos and all of SEA nations esp. Indonesia regarded the presence of these US CG vessels in SCS as a existential threats to their sovereignty.
They clearly have neither any jurisdictions nor locus standi in the SCS?
The US clearly understands China's redline and thinks that it will deescalated the risk of a direct US confrontation with China but in the meantime save it's face.
It will be yet another broken vow as financial crisis are beginning to surface in these nations like US, Japan, South Korea, UK and Collective West.
China can afford to wait. Time is on their side.
 

henrik

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The US has acted knowing the implication when they send CG vessels 8300 km off their shores to patrol in these hostile water instead of naval warships nowadays.
So Strait of Taiwan, Japan Sea will be next, then Strait of Malacca following the precedence set.
Bongbong Marcos Jr by acquiescing to these acts, does that implied that Philippines is still a US colony?
Apart from Bongbong Marcos Jr of Philippines, many Filipinos and all of SEA nations esp. Indonesia regarded the presence of these US CG vessels in SCS as a existential threats to their sovereignty.
They clearly have neither any jurisdictions nor locus standi in the SCS?
The US clearly understands China's redline and thinks that it will deescalated the risk of a direct US confrontation with China but in the meantime save it's face.
It will be yet another broken vow as financial crisis are beginning to surface in these nations like US, Japan, South Korea, UK and Collective West.
China can afford to wait. Time is on their side.

These US CG vessels are invited by the Philippines. There could be some international laws that allow that to happen.
 

coolgod

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34 Philippine personnel land on China's Tiexian Jiao, handled lawfully by Chinese coast guard: CCG
Thirty-four Philippine personnel have landed on Tiexian Jiao (Tiexian Reef) in the South China Sea on Thursday, ignoring warning and dissuasion from the Chinese side, said China Coast Guard (CCG). Regarding such violations, the Chinese coast guard lawfully landed on the reef to investigate and handle the situation.


Phillippines up to no good in SCS again this time around Tiexian Reef, right after Blinken left. PLAN showed up this time.
 
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ansy1968

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34 Philippine personnel land on China's Tiexian Jiao, handled lawfully by Chinese coast guard: CCG



Phillippines up to no good in SCS again this time around Tiexian Reef, right after Blinken left. PLAN showed up this time.
My take bro, they want to test Blinken commitment if they really do stand with us, Will the US afford a crisis where they were overstretch? Especially the defense instability in Europe and the Middle East? I predict that strong message will be sent to the Philippine to tone it down until the crisis in the Middle East is resolved, that's their main concern right now as the American public had a fixation about Israel and sadly we are last from the list of American priority.
 
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