In parallel worlds of economic absurdity, US cannot deflate into a stock market melt-down; China cannot allow a housing market melt-down. So, paradoxically, there is no such thing as bad debts in China; there is no such thing as bad deficits in US. My point is that (1) we can forget about seeing a real bad debt crisis in China; and (2) we can forget about a real stock market crash in US.China basically needs a good recession to wipe out all these accumulated bad debts. It is an unfortunate coincidence however that it can't do that now because it is in great power contest with the US
Recession is always considered a bad thing but dig a little deeper and things become much more different
In real economic worlds of people on the ground, China is not going to have a nominal recession any time soon, while US is actually going through a stealth recession for sometime now. US can muddle through the next general election cycle, while China can muddle through the next CCP congress cycle.
On relative terms, both China and US are in much better macro economic shape than any other meaningful country in the rest of the world. If everything else fails, China still is by far the largest and most productive industrial economy in the world.