US Navy DDG 1000 Zumwalt Class

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
... here's what NavalToday has to say:
US Navy to Cancel Third Zumwalt?
My same reply to the first article, applies to this one.

Other outlets are picking it up and further sensationalizing it. Which is probably what the "certain parties," (in or out of the Pentagon) intended.

We shall see.
 
...

We shall see.

I think very interesting is this:
Almost all of the money for the $22.1 billion program — about the cost of two Ford-class aircraft carriers or ten Burkes — has been authorized and cancelling Johnson will net the service a miniscule amount of money — if any.
found inside
SECNAV Mabus, Maine Delegation Back Third Zumwalt Construction
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TerraN_EmpirE

Tyrant King
Most of the cost comes from the R&D involved in developing the Zimwalt class boats. If the navy had bought the full 32 units the R&D would have been divided across the 32 units plus the end cost of actually building the boats by gutting the numbers Congress pushed the R&D $ into the three reaming units meaning that the 22.1Billion is divided by three well the actual unit cost is rather low. The main reason why it cost so much is the R&D that has to be paid for. Zimwalt is a revolutionary platform a model of what the 21st century warship will look like. But that revolution demands alot to establish the ground on which it can stand.

That said I think even though the units built has been gutted Zimwalt has already pushed its revolution. Look at the Independence class FF the ship takes alot of the ideas of zimwalt although not as ambitious a light skinned ship with extensive composite materials high degree of automation, seemingly under gunned but packing extensive sensors. Focused on Reduced detection to the point where the deck is almost impossible to work on as all functions are meant for inside.
 
Most of the cost comes from the R&D involved in developing the Zimwalt class boats. If the navy had bought the full 32 units the R&D would have been divided across the 32 units plus the end cost of actually building the boats by gutting the numbers Congress pushed the R&D $ into the three reaming units meaning that the 22.1Billion is divided by three well the actual unit cost is rather low.
is it really? "The estimated construction cost for the third destroyer, designated DDG-1002, is about $3.5 billion." according to the link inside of
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/us-navy-ddg-1000-zumwalt-class.t5546/page-35#post-363739

The main reason why it cost so much is the R&D that has to be paid for. Zimwalt is a revolutionary platform a model of what the 21st century warship will look like. But that revolution demands alot to establish the ground on which it can stand.

That said I think even though the units built has been gutted Zimwalt has already pushed its revolution.
TE, if I were you, I would make any such assessments only after sea-trials or later

Look at the Independence class FF the ship takes alot of the ideas of zimwalt although not as ambitious a light skinned ship with extensive composite materials high degree of automation, seemingly under gunned but packing extensive sensors. Focused on Reduced detection to the point where the deck is almost impossible to work on as all functions are meant for inside.

I don't LCS/FF is a successful project, for reasons I gave
https://www.sinodefenceforum.com/littoral-combat-ships-lcs.t3993/page-83#post-353949
 

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
Zumwalt is going to be a test bed for bringing new technologies to the fore. I's propulsion/electrical system, the AGS, the Rail Guns, PVLS, etc., etc.

It will be very successful at that, and the three units will be available for operations when needed...and they will be very capable.

As such, I will predict that they will be successful in all of that. And with a different admin and supporting congress...we may yet see more of them. But I am not holding my breath.

The talk about the LCS is completely OT here...except where it can be shown that the LCS incorporates lessons learned/technologies from Zumwalt...even then that should be in the LCS thread.

I will say this...despite its troubles, I am convinced now that the LCS will proceed forward and be very successful;. It will not be a "failed" project...but it will be a changed project.

All projects change to one degree or another...the LCS was on a bad path and had to be changed significantly (into the FF program) and then have the LCS vessels upgraded to match as much as possible. You may call that a failure. I call it the US being flexible enough, and open enough to make significant changes to ensure ultimate success.
 
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LesAdieux

Junior Member
the termination of the very best,
from Seawolf to F-22 to Zumwalt,
too good to be true, or too good to survive?

there're lots of speculations about the true stories behind the terminations of these programs: too good, too expensive, flawed design....

the third zumwalt is 41% completed, only the collapsed soviet union would scrap a boat at this stage.
 

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
the termination of the very best...to Zumwalt,

the third zumwalt is 41% completed, only the collapsed soviet union would scrap a boat at this stage.
This is a report of a consideration.

There is no current plan to scrap it.

The US Congress has funded it and the US Congress would have to vote to remove that funding. I do not think there is a snowballs chance of that happening.

And now that the SECNAV himself has come out in favor of keeping it...I expect it will never gain traction in any case even with this administration.
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
the termination of the very best,
from Seawolf to F-22 to Zumwalt,
too good to be true, or too good to survive?

there're lots of speculations about the true stories behind the terminations of these programs: too good, too expensive, flawed design....

the third zumwalt is 41% completed, only the collapsed soviet union would scrap a boat at this stage.

I thought US Congress had already set aside a budget for those Zumwalt?
 

Jeff Head

General
Registered Member
I thought US Congress had already set aside a budget for those Zumwalt?
It has...and the third one, the USS Lyndon B. Johnson...the one the folks are talking about canceling... is already 41% complete.

We see this every now and then...but I honestly do not think it is going anywhere.

The funds are already allocated by law. The congress would have to change the law and I just do not see this congress doing that.

In addition, Obama's own man at the Navy, SECNAV Mabus, has come out against any plan to do this.

So...I just do not see it happening.
 
I thought US Congress had already set aside a budget for those Zumwalt?

here's what BreakingDefence had to say:
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Under intense budget pressure, a Pentagon
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is pushing the Navy to cancel its third and last
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, the
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(DDG-1002). But two sources familiar with the program say this cost-cutting measure just doesn’t add up.

The DDG-1000 Zumwalts are expensive; three ships will cost almost $13 billion. About $9 billion of that was spent on research and development alone. As a result, they’re the most sophisticated
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in the Navy, with a radar-baffling hull and enough electrical power to run high-tech weapons like
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. To pack in all that technology, they’re also 60 percent larger than the
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. Originally intended as the follow-on to the Burkes, they grew so expensive that, in a classic death spiral, the Navy cut the production run repeatedly: from
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.

Now, according to a Pentagon memo, first reported by
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, the Defense Department’s independent Cost Assessment & Program Evaluation office (CAPE) is considering cutting the third ship —which is in large part already built and paid for.

“If they wanted to kill the third ship , they’re about two years late,” said Loren Thompson, a defense industry analyst and consultant — and member of BD’s
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who’s
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the Navy’s handling of the Zumwalt program. “You will lose an entire warship, but you will only reclaim a fraction of the cost. So, given the likely political fallout, why would you do it?”

Counting the current fiscal year (which ends nine days from now), Congress will have appropriated
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for the DDG-1000 program, out of a projected total of $12.8 billion. So the maximum possible amount left to save is $979 million, less than 8 percent of the total. (It might be more if the Pentagon somehow recouped funds spent in prior years, which is theoretically possible but awfully unlikely).

But that figure assumes you somehow manage to cancel the program immediately as of October 1st and you don’t spend another penny. That is legally and administratively impossible. The more likely scenario is that the requested figure for 2016 is appropriated too — there’s strong support for that in Congress — and the cut only takes effect with the fiscal 2017 budget, which is the one the Pentagon is currently working on. That means another
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gets spent and potential savings drop to a maximum of $458 million. And you can’t save all of that, either.

First, some of that half-billion is to complete the first two ships. They are not being canceled. Second, you would need to pay program shutdown costs and contract termination penalties. Considering
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, with the infamous A-12 case taking 23 years, there may be no net savings at all. It’s possible the cancellation would end up costing the taxpayers more.

In brief, you’re forgoing a
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ship — as third in the class, Johnson costs less than the first two — to save at most $1 billion and more likely less than half a billion (possibly zero). The marginal cost of just finishing the damn thing already is not high, in Pentagon terms.

There are of course years of operations and maintenance costs to consider, which would be higher for a Zumwalt than for a smaller, less complex destroyer like an
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. But the money saved by cancelling the last Zumwalt isn’t enough to buy you that smaller, less complex destroyer in its place, so you end up short a ship.

That is extremely unlikely to go over well with a Congress increasingly concerned about the Pacific and China. The
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has led the charge so far, since the Zumwalts are being built in their homestate’s Bath Iron Works (a General Dynamics subsidiary). But walking away from a mostly bought-and-built destroyer would also infuriate powerful chairmen like Senate Armed Services Committee’s John McCain, a retired Navy officer himself, and the House seapower subcommittee’s Randy Forbes.

“It’s unlikely that the third Zumwalt will be canceled because the amount of money saved isn’t commensurate with the political capital expended,” Thompson told me.

That said, the Navy had better find money somewhere, soon, and in quantities much larger than any fiddling with the Zumwalt class will get it.

“I would view Zumwalt as just the bow of a much bigger crunch in shipbuilding,” Thompson said. “The Navy is coming to a crisis in its
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.”

At $15 billion a year, a small fraction of the Pentagon’s $500-plus billion budget, “there’s no way it can fit its modernization requirements,” Thompson said. The near-term problem is the
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, but in the long term it’s the
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to build a new nuclear-missile submarine.

“Realistically, the Navy needs $20 billion a year for shipbuilding by the end of this decade,” Thompson said. Is that politically possible? “I think in the end, the Navy will get the money it needs, but nobody understands how to get from here to there.”
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