Prompted by Marcus Hellyer's
that US SSN production has fallen a further three years behind schedule
since AUKUS was announced, I decided to dive into the budget documents myself. It checks out.
The most recent boat delivered to the Navy, USS
Iowa (SSN-797), was delivered in December 2024 (and commissioned April 2025). In the FY 2016 Estimates, the first after the Block IV boats had been contracted, SSN-797 had an anticipated delivery date of August 2021. So, forty months of slippage. But that's old news, right?
In the FY 2021 Estimates, the first after the Block V boats had been contracted, SSN-802 had an anticipated delivery date of June 2025. In the latest FY 2026 Estimates, that is now out to June 2028. So, 36 months of
recent slippage. After hearing about the Virginia Payload Module for what seems like
, it's almost surreal to think that the first VPM-equipped submarine (SSN-803) is still an entire presidential administration away from entering service.
The FY 2026 estimates do have the program delivering 2+ SSNs per year from 2030. Those estimates are available
.
It's interesting that the earlier years of the program were much more successful in adhering to planned delivery dates. Indeed, at point it was considered a
. The challenges of scaling up production...