The fearmongering was indeed fascinating.
Pirates, predatory states, and the fleets of great powers did as they pleased.
dot dot dot
These events were temporary, if expensive. Imagine, though, a more permanent breakdown. A humiliated Russia could declare a large portion of the Arctic Ocean to be its own territorial waters, twisting the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea to support its claim. Russia would then allow its allies access to this route while denying it to those who dared to oppose its wishes.
Imagine if a belligerent United States declared the Taiwan Straits to be territorial wat... Oh whoops. Anyway, it is highly unlikely that any modern state would harass international shipping. If anything, owning the Arctic Ocean would give Russia greater incentive to make sure that there isn't
“If you like Walmart,” I often told my mother, “then you ought to love the U.S. Navy. It’s the Navy that makes Walmart possible.”
I would like to sink the US Navy.
Jokes aside, I do think the article is largely correct, but I do have an issue with a couple points.
Reindustrialization, in particular the restoration of merchant-shipbuilding capacity and export-oriented industries, will support the emergence of a new, more technologically advanced Navy. The cost of building Navy ships could be coaxed downward by increasing competition, expanding the number of downstream suppliers, and recruiting new shipyard workers to the industry.
I mean, compared to China we are behind, but honestly... our industrial base is really not that bad. I don't know why people automatically think that, we need to put things into perspective. We still build lots of things, especially military ships and jets. What we need, is a much better approach to civilian-military industrial cooperation and simple project planning. The Zumwalt and LCS didn't fail because our shipyards were horrible.
Similarly, the article also talks about how mergers are apparently really bad. That's not really the case though. Mergers allowed for economies of scale on big projects. What we need to do, is to reduce barriers to entry and to focus more on rewarding innovators rather than those with cozy political connections.