US INF withdraw and possible new land-based missiles deployed in Asia.


Broccoli

Junior Member
How could anyone tell if China increased its fissile material stockpile?
Because plutonium production requires differend kinda ractors what have unique heat signature, they release all kinda things into athmosphere where such things can be sniffed by sensors, infastructure isn't easy to hide and so on. All compact weapons China tested in 90s used plutonium or composite pits. HEU manufacturing is much easier to hide as centrifuges or other enchrichment ways don't have those problems plutonium production.


There are many possibilities.

- China's older plutonium based warheads what are/were used on DF-3, DF-4, DF-5 had lot of plutonium so they can get quite a lot by recycling.

- It's also possible that they use composite pits on their 90s warheads aka making more by using both HEU + plutonium so each new warhead takes a smaller nible of fissile material stock.

- Another possibility is that Chinese scientists have developed new HEU based weapon and trust that it works as well on real world as it does on computer simulations, etc.
 

Anlsvrthng

Senior Member
Registered Member
Because plutonium production requires differend kinda ractors what have unique heat signature, they release all kinda things into athmosphere where such things can be sniffed by sensors, infastructure isn't easy to hide and so on. All compact weapons China tested in 90s used plutonium or composite pits. HEU manufacturing is much easier to hide as centrifuges or other enchrichment ways don't have those problems plutonium production.


There are many possibilities.

- China's older plutonium based warheads what are/were used on DF-3, DF-4, DF-5 had lot of plutonium so they can get quite a lot by recycling.

- It's also possible that they use composite pits on their 90s warheads aka making more by using both HEU + plutonium so each new warhead takes a smaller nible of fissile material stock.

- Another possibility is that Chinese scientists have developed new HEU based weapon and trust that it works as well on real world as it does on computer simulations, etc.
-it require approx. 3TWyear to make one tonnes of Pu-239. This is a lot of heat , and as easy to hide as an elephant . The North38 periodically checking the NK pu reactor with satellite thermal images from commercial sources, I presume there are many hobbyist NGO who can afford the thermal images of 32°29'36.92" N 105°35'39.14" E. Up to date no one started to cry loudly due to heat emission from there.
-The U235 primary require way more uranium, that reduce the load of ICBMs, and most likely require new tests to prove the design. It should be audible from many seismic observatory .


But, interestingly, at the Chinese Oak Ridge they made a new building on the reactor site, they finished a new access bridge to the isotope separation site, and demolished the old bridge to the reactor site and there is building activity on a new bridge.

So , there has been lot of investment activity into the site.

But still no news about extreme level of continuous heat emission
 

ZeEa5KPul

Junior Member
Registered Member
I don't trust these plutonium stockpile figures for China at all. It's claimed that China has only 3 tons of Pu - for comparison, "pacifist" Japan has 46 tons. This is outlandish and if it's true then the Chinese government has been monstrously negligent. The most dangerous thing about China's nuclear doctrine is that it's morphed into a quasi-religion in the minds of Chinese strategists, rather than a policy that was suitable for its time and place. Now is no longer the time or place.

But, interestingly, at the Chinese Oak Ridge they made a new building on the reactor site
Which facility are you referring to? There's the plant at Jiuquan and the one at Guangyuan.
 

SamuraiBlue

Captain
true ....., but if the uncle Sam ask Japan, the constitution would change overnight in hurry and no question ask
You really do not know how things work do you.
To change the constitution you need 2/3 of both houses to agree to even take a national referendum in which majority of the general populous needs to agree.
No it won't change just because the US demands it.
It's up for the Japanese citizens to decide not the US.
 
You really do not know how things work do you.
To change the constitution you need 2/3 of both houses to agree to even take a national referendum in which majority of the general populous needs to agree.
No it won't change just because the US demands it.
It's up for the Japanese citizens to decide not the US.
it certainly will ..... why do you think the US has over 50k soldiers stationed in Japan ?
 

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