The Drug war in Mexico and it's implications

magmunta

New Member
Registered Member
The drug war in Mexico is an ongoing conflict involving Mexican government forces, powerful drug trafficking organizations (DTOs), and various non-state actors. It is one of the most violent conflicts in the Western Hemisphere and has deep historical, political, and economic roots.


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1. Background: Origins of the Conflict

The roots of Mexico’s drug war trace back to the 1970s and 1980s, when Mexican cartels began to play a growing role in the global drug trade, particularly as trafficking routes shifted from the Caribbean to Mexico. Over time, Mexican groups became major players in smuggling cocaine, marijuana, methamphetamine, and heroin—especially into the United States.

In the 1990s and early 2000s, corruption and institutional weakness allowed cartels to grow stronger, often with ties to law enforcement, military, and political officials.


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2. The Calderón Offensive (2006–2012)

The current phase of the drug war began in 2006, when President Felipe Calderón launched a massive military crackdown on drug cartels. He deployed tens of thousands of soldiers and federal police to combat organized crime, especially in Michoacán and the northern border regions.

Consequences of Calderón’s strategy:

Increased violence as state pressure disrupted power balances between cartels.

Fragmentation of cartels, which led to more groups fighting for control.

Widespread human rights abuses by security forces, including torture and extrajudicial killings.



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3. Major Cartels and Rivalries

Some of the most powerful and notorious drug cartels include:

Sinaloa Cartel: Once led by Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, it remains highly influential and global.

Los Zetas: Originally formed by ex-military personnel; known for extreme violence.

Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG): One of the most powerful and rapidly expanding groups today.

Gulf Cartel, Tijuana Cartel, Beltrán-Leyva Organization, and others—some have weakened or splintered.


These groups fight each other for territory (plazas), which are critical for drug routes, extortion, and smuggling.


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4. Human Cost

More than 400,000 people have been killed in violence related to organized crime since 2006 (estimate as of 2024).

Over 100,000 people are officially missing or disappeared, with many believed to be victims of cartel violence or forced disappearances.

Civilians, journalists, and human rights defenders are frequent targets.

Entire regions, especially in states like Guerrero, Michoacán, Zacatecas, and Tamaulipas, have suffered from cartel rule and lawlessness.



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5. Government Response and Challenges

Successive administrations (Calderón, Peña Nieto, López Obrador) have employed differing strategies:

Militarization of law enforcement continues despite evidence of human rights violations.

President Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) introduced a policy of "hugs, not bullets" (abrazos, no balazos), emphasizing social programs to reduce poverty and violence—but violence has persisted.

Creation of the National Guard as a new security force has not curbed insecurity.


Key challenges:

Corruption at every level of government and law enforcement.

Impunity: The vast majority of homicides are not investigated or punished.

Weak institutions: Courts, police, and local governments are often outmatched by cartels.



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6. International Dimensions

The U.S. is the largest consumer of Mexican drug cartel products (especially fentanyl), and American weapons fuel cartel violence.

Bilateral efforts like the Mérida Initiative (2008–2021) funneled U.S. aid into Mexico’s fight against drugs but had limited long-term success.

There is growing tension over cross-border fentanyl smuggling, with the U.S. pushing Mexico for stronger action.



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7. Societal Impact

Cartels are involved in extortion, kidnapping, human trafficking, and oil theft, beyond just drug smuggling.

In some areas, cartels serve as de facto authorities, offering "protection" or imposing local governance.

Self-defense groups (autodefensas) have emerged in some regions, but some have been infiltrated by cartels themselves.



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8. Current Status (as of 2025)

Violence remains widespread and persistent, though varies by region.

New cartels and splinter groups keep emerging.

The Mexican public continues to suffer under a complex mix of organized crime, poverty, state failure, and foreign pressure.



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Conclusion

The drug war in Mexico is not just a law enforcement issue—it’s a multi-layered crisis tied to poverty, corruption, institutional weakness, and global drug markets. Lasting solutions require reform at many levels, including justice, governance, internationa
l cooperation, and economic opportunity.

Let me know if you’d like a timeline, cartel map, or brief on a specific cartel.
 

zyklon

Junior Member
Registered Member
Please tell us about the role Mexican DTOs play in the circumvention of Chinese capital controls, and please do so without using AI. :p
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
If people in the states stopped buying fentanyl and meth then the cartels would lose their source of income and be a lot more manageable.
 

magmunta

New Member
Registered Member
If people in the states stopped buying fentanyl and meth then the cartels would lose their source of income and be a lot more manageable.
Funny part is that majority of the weapons that those cartels use come directly from the USA through gun smuggling. Drug smuggling takes place from Mexico to the USA and gun smuggling takes place from the USA to Mexico. I have even heard that CJNG makes more profit from scamming Americans than drug smuggling.
 

subotai1

Junior Member
Registered Member
If people in the states stopped buying fentanyl and meth then the cartels would lose their source of income and be a lot more manageable.
But if they crack down on that, then one political party will lose their made up reasons to build a wall and force tariffs and other things...
 
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